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Washington Commanders
Philadelphia Eagles
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Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles NFC Championship Game Prediction 1/26/2025
Commanders vs Eagles Betting Odds
Spread: | Washington Commanders 6, Philadelphia Eagles -6 |
Over/Under: | 47.5 |
Moneyline: | Washington Commanders 235, Philadelphia Eagles -275 |
Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
Washington Commanders - 29% | Washington Commanders - 35% |
Philadelphia Eagles - 71% | Philadelphia Eagles - 65% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview
Jayden Daniels and the Washington Commanders faceoff against Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles enter the game as a huge favorite (-275) as the home team. Philadelphia is currently favored by -6.0 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 47.5.
Washington's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #5 in the league while allowing just 314 yards per game. Much of their success has been in locking down the pass game, holding opposing QBs to the #2-least yards per game: 183. The Commanders pass defense has done the best job shutting down opposing running backs, holding them to 20 yards per game (#1-best). Washington's best position group in coverage has been their linebackers, which rank #4 in the league in locking down route-runners. Washington's pass rush has been strong this year, led by their linebackers, which check in as the #2-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. In terms of their offense, the Commanders have ranked #19 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 219 yards per game (#20 in football). On the ground they've ranked #10 with 4.54 yards per carry.
Philadelphia's primary disadvantage this season has been their pass offense, which has ranked #32 in football with a low 190 yards per game through the air. This presents a decided disadvantage for Philadelphia given that the Commanders pass defense has thrived this year, allowing a mere 7.7 yards per target (good for #15-best in football). When it comes to their defense, the Eagles check in at #1 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 177 yards per game against Philadelphia this year (#32 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #26 against them with 4.22 yards per ground attempt. This Eagles defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, keeping them in check at just 118 yards per game (#1-best in the league).
Commanders Look For Another Road Win, Super Bowl Berth
The Washington Commanders will be the road team for the NFC Championship Game after upsetting the Detroit Lions in the Divisional playoff round. Washington put together an offensive masterclass in Detroit, scoring 45 points and dominating that game for nearly all 60 minutes. This week, the Commanders will look for their third straight playoff road win as the NFL odds have them as an underdog in the conference championship round.
For the Commanders, the key to this game is going to be whether or not they can continue to have success without the turnover margin being in their favor. Baker Mayfield and Jared Goff both struggled with turnovers against the Commanders, with Goff drawing the ire of Tom Brady for throwing three interceptions. Washington has a 6-0 turnover margin so far in the playoffs. But Washington may not be able to count on that in this game and how the Commanders offense performs without a turnover edge could decide this matchup.
Eagles Look to Return to Super Bowl Action
The Philadelphia Eagles overcame inclement weather and a tough Rams defense to win in the Divisional playoffs. Now the Eagles are one win away from getting back to the Super Bowl, with the Eagles having home-field advantage in this conference championship contest. For the Eagles to get another win here, they will need their defense to play one of the best games they have played all season.
In two games against the Commanders this season, the Eagles have scored 29.5 points per game. But if they can’t make life tough on Jayden Daniels and the surging passing game of the Commanders, they could be in a closer game than they’d like. With Nakobe Dean out for the rest of the season, the Eagles secondary will be called upon to slow down Terry McLaurin and the rest of the Commanders’ skill position players to stop Daniels and company.
Commanders vs Eagles Prediction
Our best bet for the Commanders vs Eagles NFC Championship Game is for the Eagles to cover the spread as a home favorite. While the Commanders have had a phenomenal run this postseason, we don’t expect the turnover luck for the Commanders to continue. Look for Philly to protect the ball and for them to advance to another Super Bowl.
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Washington Commanders
Philadelphia Eagles