Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans Prediction, Odds & Picks – 11/24/2024

Titans vs Texans Betting Odds

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans Betting Preview

It was quite the blowout the last time these two teams played. The Texans won by double digits at home, outscoring the Titans 26-3 in Week 17 of 2023. They say, good teams win, but great teams cover. The Texans not only won, but covered the -5.5 spread that game. The Game Total for that game was 44.0 and which the Under hit.

Tennessee's biggest weakness has been their offense, ranking #30 in the league with a mere 280 yards per game. They've failed so much on offense in large part because of their passing attack, which checks in at #2-worst in football with 194 yards per game. And when a defense doesn't have to worry about the pass, they can key in on the run, which has led to just 3.91 yards per carry for the Titans -- bottom 10 in the league. It's tough to succeed when you don't have much time to throw, as has been the case for Tennessee. Their offensive line has ranked just #29 in pass protection. This represents a particular disadvantage for Tennessee given that the Texans have excelled in stopping the pass this year, allowing just 7.01 yards per target (#3-best in the league). In terms of their defense, the Titans have ranked #3 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 188 yards per game through the air against them (#31 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #26 with 4.21 yards per carry. Tennessee has been most effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, holding them to 119 yards per game (#1-best). Tennessee has been least effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, giving up a 78.3% completion rate (#10-highest).

Houston's primary advantage has been their defense, which has allowed a scant 281 yards per game -- #1-best in the NFL. They've succeeded in large part due to their pass defense, which has held opposing air attacks to the #1-least yards per game: 178. To give credit where credit is due, their run defense has also been terrific, checking in at #8 in yards per carry (4.32). The Houston Texans pass defense has had the most success in covering opposing tight ends, who have managed just 26 yards per game against them (#32-least in football). Houston's best coverage unit has been their cornerbacks, which grade out as the #10 unit in the NFL in this regard. Houston's pass rush has been led by their defensive ends who, ranking as the #10 unit in the NFL, have given opposing quarterbacks fits. When it comes to their offense, the Texans check in at #16 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 211 yards per game (#21 in football). Their run game has ranked #13 with 4.39 yards per attempt on the ground.

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans Prediction

Final Score: Tennessee Titans 17.46 vs Houston Texans 26.36

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NFL picks here.