Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Los Angeles Chargers Pick For 12/15/2024

Buccaneers vs Chargers Betting Odds

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Chargers Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Chargers Betting Preview

Sunday the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-6) will battle the Los Angeles Chargers (8-5). Oddsmakers peg the Chargers as the favorite with an implied win probablity of 59%, leaving the Buccaneers with a 41% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Chargers -3.0 with a Game Total of 45.5.

Los Angeles's primary disadvantage this season has been their offense, which has ranked #27 in football with a low 292 yards per game. They've been so ineffective on offense in large part because of their aerial attack, clocking in at #29 in the league with just 204 yards per game. This presents a decided disadvantage for Los Angeles given that the Buccaneers pass defense has thrived this year, allowing a mere 7.77 yards per target (good for #15-best in football). When it comes to their defense, the Chargers check in at #9 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 219 yards per game against Los Angeles this year (#25 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #16 against them with 4.59 yards per ground attempt. This Chargers defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing running backs, keeping them in check at just 4.84 yards per target (#2-best in the league). A strong argument could be made that their worst position group is their defensive tackles, who rank just #29 in the league in getting pressure on the quarterback.

Tampa Bay's biggest strength has been their offense, ranking #2 in the league with 386 yards per game. They've achieved offensive success largely through the quality of their passing attack, which is #3-best in football with 270 yards per game. Perhaps because the defense has to take their pass game so seriously, the Buccaneers have also managed to rush for 5.17 yards per carry, which puts them in the top 10. It's no wonder they've done so well through the air when their offensive line ranks #4 in the league in pass protection. In terms of their defense, the Buccaneers have ranked #26 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 262 yards per game through the air against them (#4 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #8 with 4.79 yards per carry. Tampa Bay has been most effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, holding them to 7.52 yards per target (#4-best). Tampa Bay pass defense has been least effective in shutting down opposing running backs, giving up 44 yards per game (#2-worst).

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction

Final Score: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20.84 vs Los Angeles Chargers 24.12

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