Sam LaPorta projections and prop bets for Tennessee Titans at Detroit Lions on Oct 27, 2024
Sam LaPorta Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: 110
- Receptions 3.5 under: -140
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The model projects Sam LaPorta to accumulate 5.5 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to TEs.
The projections expect Sam LaPorta to be a more important option in his team's pass game in this week's game (17.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (8.9% in games he has played).
Sam LaPorta's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 71.7% to 93.9%.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
This week's spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Lions, who are heavily favored by 11 points.
The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to be the 11th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.2 per game) this year.
Sam LaPorta's 2.3 adjusted receptions per game this year illustrates a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 5.0 mark.
Projection For Sam LaPorta Receptions Prop Bet
Sam LaPorta is projected to have 3.9 Receptions in this weeks game.
Sam LaPorta Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 35.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 35.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The model projects Sam LaPorta to accumulate 5.5 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to TEs.
The projections expect Sam LaPorta to be a more important option in his team's pass game in this week's game (17.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (8.9% in games he has played).
Sam LaPorta's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 71.7% to 93.9%.
Sam LaPorta's pass-game effectiveness has been refined this year, notching 13.32 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 7.13 rate last year.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This week's spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Lions, who are heavily favored by 11 points.
The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to be the 11th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.2 per game) this year.
After accruing 53.0 air yards per game last year, Sam LaPorta has fallen off this year, now boasting 18.0 per game.
Projection For Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Sam LaPorta is projected to have 46.5 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
