Sam LaPorta Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Sam LaPorta projections and prop bets for Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears on Dec 22, 2024

Sam LaPorta Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 44.5 over: -120
• Receiving Yards 44.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The 9th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a massive 59.4 per game on average).

The model projects Sam LaPorta to total 5.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Sam LaPorta's possession skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 71.7% to 75.4%.

Sam LaPorta's 9.6 adjusted yards per target this year reflects a material improvement in his pass-catching ability over last year's 7.1 figure.

The Bears pass defense has shown poor efficiency against TEs this year, conceding 9.27 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

With a 7-point advantage, the Lions are heavily favored in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.

The projections expect the Lions to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Lions to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.3 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Sam LaPorta has accrued far fewer air yards this year (37.0 per game) than he did last year (53.0 per game).

Sam LaPorta's 34.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 45.9.

Projection For Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Sam LaPorta is projected to have 42.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.