Michael Penix Jr. projections and prop bets for New York Giants at Atlanta Falcons on Dec 22, 2024
Michael Penix Jr. Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -105
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -125
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
At a mere 27.94 seconds per play, the Falcons offense checks in as the 8th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year.
The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
New York's defense grades out as the worst in the league this year when it comes to forcing interceptions, totaling a measly 0.05 per game.
The Giants safeties grade out as the 2nd-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
With a 8.5-point advantage, the Falcons are a massive favorite in this week's contest, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the New York Giants, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.1 per game) this year.
Projection For Michael Penix Jr. Interceptions Prop Bet
Michael Penix Jr. is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Michael Penix Jr. Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -110
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
At a mere 27.94 seconds per play, the Falcons offense checks in as the 8th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year.
The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-highest level in football vs. the Giants defense this year (75.2% Adjusted Completion%).
The Giants safeties grade out as the 2nd-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
With a 8.5-point advantage, the Falcons are a massive favorite in this week's contest, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The model projects the Falcons to be the 4th-least pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 49.0% red zone pass rate.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the New York Giants, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.1 per game) this year.
Projection For Michael Penix Jr. Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Michael Penix Jr. is projected to have 1.3 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Michael Penix Jr. Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 227.5 over: -115
- Passing Yards 227.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
At a mere 27.94 seconds per play, the Falcons offense checks in as the 8th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year.
The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-highest level in football vs. the Giants defense this year (75.2% Adjusted Completion%).
The Giants safeties grade out as the 2nd-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
With a 8.5-point advantage, the Falcons are a massive favorite in this week's contest, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the New York Giants, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.1 per game) this year.
The Giants defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.40 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-fewest in the league.
Projection For Michael Penix Jr. Passing Yards Prop Bet
Michael Penix Jr. is projected to have 222.1 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
