Justin Herbert Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Justin Herbert projections and prop bets for Los Angeles Chargers at Houston Texans on Jan 11, 2025

Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes

Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:

• Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -105
• Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

This year, the poor Texans defense has yielded a whopping 1.82 passing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the largest rate in the NFL.

Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 4th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 50.8% red zone pass rate.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projections to see just 127.9 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 55.5 plays per game.

This year, the strong Houston Texans defense has given up a paltry 63.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the smallest rate in the league.

The Houston cornerbacks project as the 4th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Projection For Justin Herbert Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Justin Herbert is projected to have 1.4 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.

Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Interceptions

Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:

• Interceptions 0.5 over: 104
• Interceptions 0.5 under: -134

Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet

With a 62.2% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Chargers.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projections to see just 127.9 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 55.5 plays per game.

In throwing a mere 0.16 interceptions per game this year, Justin Herbert ranks among the top quarterbacks in football (92nd percentile).

The Texans have intercepted 1.09 targets per game this year, ranking as the 2nd-best defense in the league by this statistic.

The Houston cornerbacks project as the 4th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Projection For Justin Herbert Interceptions Prop Bet

Justin Herbert is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.

Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Completions

Completions Prop Bet Odds:

• Completions 20.5 over: -102
• Completions 20.5 under: -128

Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet

With a 62.2% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Chargers.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projections to see just 127.9 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 55.5 plays per game.

This year, the strong Houston Texans defense has given up a paltry 63.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the smallest rate in the league.

The Houston cornerbacks project as the 4th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Projection For Justin Herbert Completions Prop Bet

Justin Herbert is projected to have 20.7 Completions in this weeks game.

Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts

Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:

• Pass Attempts 31.5 over: 108
• Pass Attempts 31.5 under: -140

Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet

With a 62.2% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Chargers.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projections to see just 127.9 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 55.5 plays per game.

Projection For Justin Herbert Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Justin Herbert is projected to have 32.7 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.

Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

• Carries 4.5 over: -105
• Carries 4.5 under: -125

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

With a 37.8% rate of rushing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-least run-heavy team in the NFL has been the Chargers.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projections to see just 127.9 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 55.5 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Houston's group of DEs has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.

Projection For Justin Herbert Carries Prop Bet

Justin Herbert is projected to have 4 Carries in this weeks game.

Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards

Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Passing Yards 228.5 over: -110
• Passing Yards 228.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet

With a 62.2% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Chargers.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projections to see just 127.9 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 55.5 plays per game.

Justin Herbert has passed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (218.0) this year than he did last year (248.0).

This year, the strong Houston Texans defense has given up a paltry 63.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the smallest rate in the league.

The Texans pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, surrendering 7.10 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

Projection For Justin Herbert Passing Yards Prop Bet

Justin Herbert is projected to have 236.7 Passing Yards in this weeks game.

Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Rushing Yards 18.5 over: -135
• Rushing Yards 18.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Justin Herbert's 6.86 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season indicates a significant boost in his rushing ability over last season's 6.01 mark.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

With a 37.8% rate of rushing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-least run-heavy team in the NFL has been the Chargers.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projections to see just 127.9 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 55.5 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

This year, the porous Houston Texans run defense has been gouged for a staggering 4.20 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing run game: the 19th-biggest rate in football.

Projection For Justin Herbert Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Justin Herbert is projected to have 17 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.