Los Angeles Chargers

Los Angeles Chargers

Nov 3, 2024

Cleveland Browns

Cleveland Browns
  • Overview
  • Props

Justin Herbert Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Justin Herbert projections and prop bets for Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers on Dec 19, 2024

Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Completions

Completions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Completions 20.5 over: -120
  • Completions 20.5 under: -108

Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet

At the moment, the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (63.3% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet

Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Chargers.

With a poor 62.7% Adjusted Completion% (24th percentile) this year, Justin Herbert stands as one of the worst precision passers in the NFL.

The Broncos cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

Projection For Justin Herbert Completions Prop Bet

Justin Herbert is projected to have 21 Completions in this weeks game.


Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes

Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:

  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 100
  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

At the moment, the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (63.3% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Chargers.

With a poor 62.7% Adjusted Completion% (24th percentile) this year, Justin Herbert stands as one of the worst precision passers in the NFL.

The Denver Broncos defense has allowed the 9th-fewest passing TDs in the NFL: 1.21 per game this year.

The Broncos cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

Projection For Justin Herbert Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Justin Herbert is projected to have 1.4 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.


Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts

Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:

  • Pass Attempts 32.5 over: 100
  • Pass Attempts 32.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet

At the moment, the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (63.3% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Chargers.

Projection For Justin Herbert Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Justin Herbert is projected to have 34.4 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.


Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 9.5 over: -113
  • Rushing Yards 9.5 under: -113

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Denver's unit has been awful this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

At the moment, the 5th-least run-oriented offense in football (36.7% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Chargers.

Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Chargers.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.

The Denver Broncos defense owns the 3rd-best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, conceding just 3.88 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

Projection For Justin Herbert Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Justin Herbert is projected to have 15.9 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Interceptions

Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Interceptions 0.5 over: 122
  • Interceptions 0.5 under: -160

Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet

At the moment, the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (63.3% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet

Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Chargers.

Justin Herbert has totaled a lowly 0.11 interceptions per game this year, checking in at the 95th percentile among QBs.

Denver's defense grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year when it comes to causing interceptions, notching 0.96 per game.

The Broncos cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

Projection For Justin Herbert Interceptions Prop Bet

Justin Herbert is projected to have 0.7 Interceptions in this weeks game.


Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards

Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Passing Yards 228.5 over: -113
  • Passing Yards 228.5 under: -113

Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet

At the moment, the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (63.3% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

This year, the deficient Broncos defense has been torched for a massive 244.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 7th-worst in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet

Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Chargers.

Justin Herbert's 201.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year reflects a meaningful drop-off in his throwing ability over last year's 248.0 rate.

With a poor 62.7% Adjusted Completion% (24th percentile) this year, Justin Herbert stands as one of the worst precision passers in the NFL.

This year, the strong Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the 8th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing offenses: a paltry 7.5 yards.

The Broncos cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

Projection For Justin Herbert Passing Yards Prop Bet

Justin Herbert is projected to have 248.1 Passing Yards in this weeks game.


Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

  • Carries 3.5 over: -115
  • Carries 3.5 under: -113

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Denver's unit has been awful this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

At the moment, the 5th-least run-oriented offense in football (36.7% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Chargers.

Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Chargers.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.

Projection For Justin Herbert Carries Prop Bet

Justin Herbert is projected to have 3.5 Carries in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • Longest Pass
  • To Throw An Interception
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Passing Attempts
  • Total Pass Completions
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Total Passing Yards
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
  • Interceptions Thrown
  • To Complete First Pass
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Longest Pass
  • To Throw An Interception
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Passing Attempts
  • Total Pass Completions
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Total Passing Yards
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
  • Interceptions Thrown
  • To Complete First Pass
  • Total Rushing Yards
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
36
35
36
35
36
35
36
35
Consensus
-111
-116
-116
-115
-118
-112
-110
-116
-123
-123
-111
-111
-111
-113
-123
-121
-110
-110
-115
-120
-120
-120
-115
-115
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-114
+136
-178
-114
-160
-114
-114
+122
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+700
-
+700
Consensus
-
+1600
-
+1600
Consensus
-
+1300
-
+1200
Consensus
-520
+385
-548
+364
Consensus
-
+850
-
+950
Consensus
-
+1200
-
+1400
Consensus
-
+2100
-
+2100
-
+650
-
+700
-
+1700
-
+1800
-
+1100
-
+1100
-
+430
-
+450
-
+850
-
+950
-
+1300
-
+1300
-
+2200
-
+2200
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
8
9
7
8
7
9
8
9
7
8
7
9
Consensus
-110
-105
-123
-118
-108
-125
-103
-105
-123
-118
-103
-125
-115
-110
-130
-115
+100
-125
-115
-105
-130
-115
+100
-125
-115
-
-125
-130
-115
-
+100
-
-115
-120
-105
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
33
32
31
32
33
31
33
32
31
32
33
31
Consensus
-116
-123
-102
-104
-128
-129
-108
-123
-106
-105
-114
-127
-103
-133
-104
-103
-133
-131
-103
-133
-104
-103
-133
-131
-110
-125
-105
-110
-115
-120
-105
-125
+100
-105
-125
-130
-
-130
-102
-108
-
-128
-
-120
-102
-125
-
-128
-110
-125
-
+100
-110
-
-110
-115
-
-105
-120
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
21
20
21
20
21
20
21
20
Consensus
-111
-136
-131
+102
-101
-131
-130
+103
-104
-135
-131
-101
-111
-135
-139
-101
+100
-130
-115
-105
-115
-135
-135
+105
-114
-
-128
-
-102
-
-114
-
-105
-135
-115
+100
+100
-125
-140
+100
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
236
242
240
235
241
238
239
237
234
242
241
240
236
237
234
239
235
238
236
242
240
235
241
238
239
237
234
242
241
240
236
237
234
239
235
238
Consensus
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-
-116
-116
-116
-117
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+3050
+2150
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
4
4
4
4
Consensus
-108
-165
-105
-118
-110
-120
+110
-130
-105
-140
-115
-135
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
226
224
231
225
228
227
222
229
223
220
221
230
46
48
47
226
221
225
231
229
228
222
223
224
220
227
230
47
46
48
226
224
231
225
228
227
222
229
223
220
221
230
46
48
47
226
221
225
231
229
228
222
223
224
220
227
230
47
46
48
Consensus
-116
-114
-
-113
-114
-111
-112
-112
-113
-112
-116
-
-
-
-
-113
-111
-117
-
-112
-115
-113
-113
-116
-113
-116
-
-
-
-
-112
-114
-
-116
-113
-115
-112
-113
-112
-113
-130
-
-
-
-
-113
+100
-112
-
-113
-118
-113
-112
-116
-112
-111
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-108
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-113
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-111
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-110
-115
-123
-123
-
-121
-111
-123
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-121
-
-121
-
-
-121
-
-121
-111
-
-111
-
-
-
-
-123
-113
-
-111
-113
-113
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-123
-
-
-123
-
-111
-111
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-115
-120
-120
-115
-115
-
-
-120
-115
-
-
-
-115
-110
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-120
-115
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-120
-115
-
-
-
-115
-110
-110
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-113
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-113
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-108
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-110
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-110
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+4000
+4500
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
2
2
2
2
Consensus
+138
-172
+132
-170
+120
-179
+129
-189
+130
-165
+135
-170
+130
-230
+154
-205
+120
-175
+125
-160
+145
-190
+150
-190
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
1
1
1
1
Consensus
-121
-108
-117
-113
-115
-111
-123
-111
-125
-110
-120
-115
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
+188
-275
+188
-275
+188
-275
+188
-275
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
11
10
9
9
10
11
11
10
9
9
10
11
Consensus
-111
-112
-112
-117
-113
-120
-112
-114
-114
-117
-113
-119
-115
-115
-115
-119
-119
-119
-115
-115
-115
-119
-119
-119
-110
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-110
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-
-113
-
-
-110
-
-
-110
-
-
-113
-
-110
-120
-110
-120
-120
-120
-110
-120
-115
-120
-115
-120
-105
-
-
-
-
-130
-105
-
-
-
-
-120