Joe Mixon projections and prop bets for Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans on Oct 27, 2024
Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 76.5 over: -125
- Rushing Yards 76.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Texans are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a running game script.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are predicted by the predictive model to run 66.1 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.9 plays per game.
Joe Mixon's 103.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year illustrates a substantial boost in his running talent over last year's 61.0 figure.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in football (154 per game) against the Colts defense this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
At the present time, the 10th-least run-focused team in the NFL (38.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Houston Texans.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Colts defensive tackles profile as the 7th-best DT corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
Projection For Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Joe Mixon is projected to have 78.1 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 17.5 over: -110
- Carries 17.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The Texans are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a running game script.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are predicted by the predictive model to run 66.1 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.9 plays per game.
Our trusted projections expect Joe Mixon to accumulate 19.8 carries in this contest, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among running backs.
Joe Mixon has earned 66.4% of his team's run game usage this year, putting him in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
At the present time, the 10th-least run-focused team in the NFL (38.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Houston Texans.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Colts defensive tackles profile as the 7th-best DT corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
Projection For Joe Mixon Carries Prop Bet
Joe Mixon is projected to have 17.7 Carries in this weeks game.
