Gardner Minshew Projections & Prop Bets – NFL Week 5

Gardner Minshew MLB projections and prop bets for Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos on Oct 6, 2024

Gardner Minshew Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes

Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:

• Touchdown Passes 0.5 over: -265
• Touchdown Passes 0.5 under: 188

Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

With a 64.0% rate of throwing the ball near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 4th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL in this respect has been the Las Vegas Raiders.

The Raiders offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

Gardner Minshew's passing accuracy has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 61.9% to 70.9%.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in the league versus the Broncos defense since the start of last season (72.9% Adjusted Completion%).

Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the Raiders to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are predicted by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 54.0 plays per game.

The projections expect Gardner Minshew to throw 28.8 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-fewest out of all QBs.

The Denver Broncos defense has yielded the 5th-fewest touchdowns through the air in the league: 0.75 per game this year.

Projection For Gardner Minshew Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Gardner Minshew is projected to have 0.8 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.

Gardner Minshew Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Rushing Yards 6.5 over: -120
• Rushing Yards 6.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Denver's DE corps has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are predicted by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 54.0 plays per game.

The model projects Gardner Minshew to earn 1.9 rush attempts in this game, on balance: the 5th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

Gardner Minshew has generated a measly 4.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest marks in the NFL when it comes to quarterbacks (17th percentile).

This year, the shaky Denver Broncos run defense has yielded a massive 3.86 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's run game: the 27th-worst rate in football.

Projection For Gardner Minshew Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Gardner Minshew is projected to have 5 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.

Gardner Minshew Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts

Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:

• Pass Attempts 29.5 over: -120
• Pass Attempts 29.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the Raiders to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are predicted by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 54.0 plays per game.

The projections expect Gardner Minshew to throw 28.8 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-fewest out of all QBs.

Projection For Gardner Minshew Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Gardner Minshew is projected to have 27.5 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.

Gardner Minshew Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards

Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Passing Yards 191.5 over: -114
• Passing Yards 191.5 under: -114

Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet

The Raiders offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

Gardner Minshew's passing accuracy has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 61.9% to 70.9%.

Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the Raiders to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are predicted by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 54.0 plays per game.

The projections expect Gardner Minshew to throw 28.8 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-fewest out of all QBs.

Opposing teams have thrown for the 5th-fewest yards in the league (just 178.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Denver Broncos defense this year.

Projection For Gardner Minshew Passing Yards Prop Bet

Gardner Minshew is projected to have 184.1 Passing Yards in this weeks game.

Gardner Minshew Player Prop Bet: Interceptions

Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:

• Interceptions 0.5 over: -148
• Interceptions 0.5 under: 112

Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet

The Raiders offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the Raiders to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are predicted by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 54.0 plays per game.

The projections expect Gardner Minshew to throw 28.8 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-fewest out of all QBs.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Denver's collection of safeties has been very good this year, projecting as the best in the league.

Projection For Gardner Minshew Interceptions Prop Bet

Gardner Minshew is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.

Gardner Minshew Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

• Carries 2.5 over: -110
• Carries 2.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Denver's DE corps has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are predicted by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 54.0 plays per game.

The model projects Gardner Minshew to earn 1.9 rush attempts in this game, on balance: the 5th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

Projection For Gardner Minshew Carries Prop Bet

Gardner Minshew is projected to have 1.5 Carries in this weeks game.

Gardner Minshew Player Prop Bet: Completions

Completions Prop Bet Odds:

• Completions 18.5 over: -120
• Completions 18.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet

The Raiders offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

Gardner Minshew's passing accuracy has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 61.9% to 70.9%.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in the league versus the Broncos defense since the start of last season (72.9% Adjusted Completion%).

Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the Raiders to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are predicted by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 54.0 plays per game.

The projections expect Gardner Minshew to throw 28.8 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-fewest out of all QBs.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Denver's collection of safeties has been very good this year, projecting as the best in the league.

Projection For Gardner Minshew Completions Prop Bet

Gardner Minshew is projected to have 18.1 Completions in this weeks game.