Jay Sanin on December 15, 2024
DK Metcalf projections and prop bets for Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks on Dec 15, 2024
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
A throwing game script is suggested by the Seahawks being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 5th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 132.6 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 9th-most in the league.
The leading projections forecast D.K. Metcalf to accrue 9.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile among WRs.
When talking about pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Seahawks ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
D.K. Metcalf comes in as one of the worst possession receivers in the league, catching a mere 58.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 24th percentile among WRs
D.K. Metcalf's 8.6 adjusted yards per target this season signifies a noteable regression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 9.9 mark.
D.K. Metcalf's 4.39 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a material reduction in his efficiency in space over last year's 5.6% figure.
This year, the formidable Green Bay Packers defense has yielded a meager 128.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 3rd-best in the NFL.
DK Metcalf is projected to have 76.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
