Derrick Henry projections and prop bets for Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers on Nov 17, 2024
Derrick Henry Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 4.5 over: -120
- Receiving Yards 4.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Derrick Henry's receiving effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 9.79 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 6.39 mark last year.
Derrick Henry's 11.90 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season marks a remarkable improvement in his efficiency in space over last season's 9.8% rate.
This year, the shaky Pittsburgh Steelers defense has yielded a colossal 41.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the 6th-most in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This week's line implies a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3.5 points.
The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 2nd-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Ravens.
Derrick Henry has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 56.4% of snaps compared to just 43.5% last season.
When talking about air yards, Derrick Henry grades out in the lowly 18th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -3.0 per game.
Projection For Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Derrick Henry is projected to have 8.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Derrick Henry Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 19.5 over: -115
- Carries 19.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
This week's line implies a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to run on 49.5% of their downs: the greatest clip on the slate this week.
In this week's game, Derrick Henry is predicted by the projection model to slot into the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs with 19.2 carries.
Derrick Henry has been given 60.4% of his team's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
At the moment, the 2nd-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Ravens.
When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Pittsburgh's collection of safeties has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the best in the league.
Projection For Derrick Henry Carries Prop Bet
Derrick Henry is projected to have 17.3 Carries in this weeks game.
Derrick Henry Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 86.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 86.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This week's line implies a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to run on 49.5% of their downs: the greatest clip on the slate this week.
In this week's game, Derrick Henry is predicted by the projection model to slot into the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs with 19.2 carries.
Derrick Henry has been given 60.4% of his team's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
Derrick Henry has run for many more adjusted yards per game (118.0) this season than he did last season (68.0).
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
At the moment, the 2nd-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Ravens.
This year, the daunting Steelers run defense has allowed a paltry 87.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.
When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Pittsburgh's collection of safeties has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the best in the league.
Projection For Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Derrick Henry is projected to have 78.4 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
