Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins

Nov 3, 2024

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills
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Dawson Knox Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Dawson Knox projections and prop bets for Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams on Dec 8, 2024

Dawson Knox Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 2.5 over: 120
  • Receptions 2.5 under: -155

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Dawson Knox has played on 60.1% of his team's snaps this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile among TEs.

The Buffalo Bills O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

Dawson Knox's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 64.8% to 69.9%.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

The Bills are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

The projections expect the Bills as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.2 plays per game.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Los Angeles Rams, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 32.3 per game) this year.

Projection For Dawson Knox Receptions Prop Bet

Dawson Knox is projected to have 2.3 Receptions in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Longest Reception
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+7600
+6750
+13000
+10000
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+3200
-
+3000
Consensus
-1168
+659
-953
+646
Consensus
-
+1100
-
+1200
Consensus
-
+2800
-
+2600
Consensus
-
+1200
-
+1200
Consensus
-
+1600
-
+1900
Consensus
-
+1800
-
+1900
-
+2600
-
+2500
-
+1900
-
+2000
-
+3100
-
+2900
-
+1900
-
+1700
-
+1300
-
+1200
-
+1300
-
+1200
-
+700
-
+650
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
1
2
1
2
1
2
1
2
Consensus
-227
+179
+167
-244
-221
+177
+168
-244
-234
+165
+152
-234
-234
+165
+165
-234
-215
+190
+180
-250
-235
+190
+175
-250
-225
+170
+170
-225
-225
+175
+170
-250
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
8
7
9
11
8
11
9
7
8
7
9
11
8
11
9
7
Consensus
-114
-119
-120
-
-116
-
-108
-109
-110
-119
-117
-
-113
-
-106
-109
-115
-120
-130
-
-115
-
+100
-110
-115
-120
-130
-
-120
-
-105
-110
-113
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-115
-120
-120
-
-115
-
-110
-110
-120
-120
-120
-
-115
-
-110
-110
-
-
-
+100
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-
+100
-
-125
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
7
8
7
8
7
8
7
8
Consensus
-119
-107
-109
-123
-119
-119
-109
-122
-123
-111
-125
-125
-119
-109
-115
-111
-115
-120
-110
-120
-115
-110
-105
-110