Dawson Knox Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Dawson Knox projections and prop bets for San Francisco 49ers at Buffalo Bills on Dec 1, 2024

Dawson Knox Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

• Receptions 2.5 over: -120
• Receptions 2.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The projections expect Dawson Knox to earn 4.4 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 78th percentile among tight ends.

The projections expect Dawson Knox to be much more involved in his team's passing offense this week (15.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.8% in games he has played).

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

With a 6-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this game, implying more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 53.2% of their plays: the 6th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see only 122.4 plays on offense run: the fewest among all games this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.

With a weak 66.5% Adjusted Catch% (12th percentile) this year, Dawson Knox rates as one of the worst possession receivers in football among TEs.

Projection For Dawson Knox Receptions Prop Bet

Dawson Knox is projected to have 2.6 Receptions in this weeks game.

Dawson Knox Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 25.5 over: -110
• Receiving Yards 25.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The projections expect Dawson Knox to earn 4.4 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 78th percentile among tight ends.

The projections expect Dawson Knox to be much more involved in his team's passing offense this week (15.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.8% in games he has played).

Dawson Knox has earned a monstrous 8.6% of his team's air yards this year: 79th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Dawson Knox's 8.5 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates an impressive gain in his pass-catching talent over last season's 5.9 rate.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

With a 6-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this game, implying more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 53.2% of their plays: the 6th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see only 122.4 plays on offense run: the fewest among all games this week.

The 5th-fewest plays in football have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (a measly 54.8 per game on average).

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.

Projection For Dawson Knox Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Dawson Knox is projected to have 26.5 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.