David Njoku projections and prop bets for Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns on Nov 21, 2024
David Njoku Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: -125
- Receptions 4.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 59.1% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.
The model projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 62.6 plays per game.
David Njoku's receiving skills have improved this season, totaling 6.5 adjusted catches compared to just 5.1 last season.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
David Njoku's 34.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 41.5.
When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the importance it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Browns grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.
This year, the strong Pittsburgh Steelers defense has allowed a measly 71.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 5th-lowest rate in the NFL.
As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Pittsburgh's LB corps has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 6th-best in football.
Projection For David Njoku Receptions Prop Bet
David Njoku is projected to have 4.2 Receptions in this weeks game.
David Njoku Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 45.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 45.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 59.1% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.
The model projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 62.6 plays per game.
In this contest, David Njoku is forecasted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 96th percentile among TEs with 7.1 targets.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
David Njoku's 34.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 41.5.
When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the importance it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Browns grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.
David Njoku's 4.51 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a material reduction in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 7.3% mark.
This year, the strong Pittsburgh Steelers defense has allowed a measly 71.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 5th-lowest rate in the NFL.
This year, the tough Steelers defense has yielded the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing tight ends: a puny 6.3 yards.
Projection For David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop Bet
David Njoku is projected to have 38.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
