Davante Adams projections and prop bets for New York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers on Oct 20, 2024

Davante Adams Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 57.5 over: -129
  • Receiving Yards 57.5 under: -106

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

With a 68.3% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league has been the Jets.

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.

Our trusted projections expect Davante Adams to accrue 7.5 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

In regards to air yards, Davante Adams grades out in the lofty 100th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 120.0 per game.

This year, the porous Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a whopping 9.11 yards.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call just 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Davante Adams's 64.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 86.5.

Davante Adams's 2.17 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a material regression in his effectiveness in space over last year's 3.2% figure.

Projection For Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Davante Adams is projected to have 53.8 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


Davante Adams Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 4.5 over: -150
  • Receptions 4.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

With a 68.3% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league has been the Jets.

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.

Our trusted projections expect Davante Adams to accrue 7.5 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

The New York offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

With an exceptional 6.0 adjusted receptions per game (96th percentile) since the start of last season, Davante Adams has been among the top WRs in the game in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call just 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Davante Adams's 64.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 86.5.

Projection For Davante Adams Receptions Prop Bet

Davante Adams is projected to have 4.1 Receptions in this weeks game.