Colby Parkinson projections and prop bets for Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams on Nov 11, 2024
Colby Parkinson Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 1.5 over: -176
- Receptions 1.5 under: 134
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Colby Parkinson has gone out for fewer passes this season (71.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (33.3%).
Colby Parkinson's play as a receiver has gotten better this season, notching 3.2 adjusted receptions vs just 1.8 last season.
As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Miami's group of LBs has been lousy this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Dolphins, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.8 per game) this year.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
Colby Parkinson's 64.7% Adjusted Catch% this season signifies a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching ability over last season's 80.9% mark.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (66.2%) vs. tight ends this year (66.2%).
Projection For Colby Parkinson Receptions Prop Bet
Colby Parkinson is projected to have 2.6 Receptions in this weeks game.
Colby Parkinson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 18.5 over: -114
- Receiving Yards 18.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Colby Parkinson has gone out for fewer passes this season (71.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (33.3%).
After accumulating 13.0 air yards per game last year, Colby Parkinson has undergone big improvement this year, currently boasting 25.0 per game.
Colby Parkinson's 30.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season reflects a noteworthy growth in his receiving proficiency over last season's 19.0 figure.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Dolphins, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.8 per game) this year.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
Colby Parkinson's 64.7% Adjusted Catch% this season signifies a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching ability over last season's 80.9% mark.
Colby Parkinson's pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this season, compiling a measly 6.00 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.39 rate last season.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (66.2%) vs. tight ends this year (66.2%).
Projection For Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Colby Parkinson is projected to have 25.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
