New Orleans Saints

New Orleans Saints

Nov 3, 2024

Carolina Panthers

Carolina Panthers
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Chris Olave Projections & Prop Bets – NFL Week 6

Chris Olave MLB projections and prop bets for Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints on Oct 13, 2024

Chris Olave Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 4.5 over: 115
  • Receptions 4.5 under: -145

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The Saints may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Spencer Rattler.

The model projects the Saints to be the 6th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.62 seconds per snap.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (43.0 per game) this year.

With a terrific 4.4 adjusted receptions per game (77th percentile) this year, Chris Olave stands as one of the leading WRs in the NFL in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Saints to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Chris Olave's 50.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 68.1.

The Saints O-line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

The Buccaneers cornerbacks project as the best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Projection For Chris Olave Receptions Prop Bet

Chris Olave is projected to have 4.7 Receptions in this weeks game.


Chris Olave Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 46.5 over: -130
  • Receiving Yards 46.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Saints may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Spencer Rattler.

The model projects the Saints to be the 6th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.62 seconds per snap.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (43.0 per game) this year.

The leading projections forecast Chris Olave to garner 8.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among wide receivers.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Saints to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Chris Olave has posted far fewer air yards this year (58.0 per game) than he did last year (125.0 per game).

Chris Olave's 50.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 68.1.

The Saints O-line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Chris Olave's 58.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season marks a noteworthy decline in his pass-catching talent over last season's 69.0 mark.

Projection For Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Chris Olave is projected to have 59.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • Total Receptions
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+850
-
+800
Consensus
-
+400
-
+390
Consensus
-
+650
-
+750
Consensus
-
+750
-
+750
Consensus
-
+500
-
+500
Consensus
-189
+135
-178
+138
Consensus
-
+300
-
+300
-
+750
-
+800
-
+390
-
+390
-
+650
-
+750
-
+800
-
+800
-
+500
-
+600
-
+145
-
+165
-
+300
-
+300
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
15
16
14
65
70
71
69
67
66
68
64
61
15
16
14
69
71
66
68
67
65
70
64
61
15
16
14
65
70
71
69
67
66
68
64
61
15
16
14
69
71
66
68
67
65
70
64
61
Consensus
-118
-106
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-114
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-111
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-115
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-120
-116
-
-122
-118
-120
-116
-
-
-
-
-
-107
-
-114
-112
-114
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-116
-
-115
-115
-120
-132
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-112
-113
-110
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-119
-119
-
-123
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-
-
-
+102
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-104
-
-
-
-
-
-119
-119
-
-139
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-
-
-
-101
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
+102
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-120
-120
-120
-115
-120
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-110
-110
-115
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-120
-120
-115
-115
-120
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-110
-110
-115
-115
-115
-110
-
-
-118
-111
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-114
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-106
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-115
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-110
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-110
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-110
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-
-120
-110
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-115
-115
-120
-120
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-120
-130
-120
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-120
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-120
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-120
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-110
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
-240
-260
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+2400
+2300
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
69
70
68
72
71
67
66
73
65
72
69
70
68
71
65
67
73
66
69
70
68
72
71
67
66
73
65
72
69
70
68
71
65
67
73
66
Consensus
-115
-120
-115
-117
-117
-117
-117
-119
-
-118
-110
-113
-118
-115
-
-115
-113
-115
-117
-117
-117
-117
-115
-117
-120
-119
-
-116
-112
-118
-118
-113
-
-115
-113
-115
-119
-119
-119
-123
-123
-119
-119
-123
-
-111
-115
-111
-115
-115
-
-115
-111
-115
-125
-123
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-123
-
-115
-115
-111
-115
-111
-
-115
-111
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-110
-120
-120
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-110
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-110
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+815
+815
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
25
24
26
25
24
26
25
24
26
25
24
26
Consensus
-110
-120
-
-116
-112
-
-115
-114
-
-117
-107
-
-119
-123
-
-121
-111
-
-113
-123
-
-115
-111
-
-118
-118
-108
-110
-110
-120
-113
-118
-108
-118
-110
-120
-115
-120
-
-115
-110
-
-110
-120
-
-120
-110
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+135
+155
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
6
6
6
6
Consensus
+105
-137
+109
-135
+100
-148
+108
-139
+105
-125
+105
-135
+108
-140
+104
-140
+110
-140
+100
-125
+100
-145
+105
-140

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