Aaron Jones Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Aaron Jones projections and prop bets for Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks on Dec 22, 2024

Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 15.5 over: -110
• Receiving Yards 15.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The model projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate.

Aaron Jones's 49.5% Route% this year marks a significant boost in his passing attack workload over last year's 37.6% figure.

Our trusted projections expect Aaron Jones to garner 3.5 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 78th percentile among RBs.

Aaron Jones has accrued a monstrous 4.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile among running backs. (This may not seem like very many, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Aaron Jones has accrued quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (25.0) this year than he did last year (20.0).

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

A rushing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a 3-point favorite this week.

The projections expect the Vikings offense to be the 10th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.53 seconds per snap.

Aaron Jones's talent in generating extra yardage have worsened this year, totaling a mere 7.90 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 9.03 mark last year.

This year, the strong Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed a feeble 80.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 8th-smallest rate in the league.

This year, the daunting Seattle Seahawks pass defense has given up the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing running backs: a measly 6.9 YAC.

Projection For Aaron Jones Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Aaron Jones is projected to have 19.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.

Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Rushing Yards 68.5 over: -110
• Rushing Yards 68.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

A rushing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a 3-point favorite this week.

The leading projections forecast Aaron Jones to accrue 15.8 carries in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 80th percentile among running backs.

Out of all running backs, Aaron Jones grades out in the 87th percentile for carries this year, making up 58.5% of the workload in his team's running game.

Aaron Jones's 74.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season conveys a significant boost in his running talent over last season's 61.0 mark.

The Seattle Seahawks defense has produced the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding 4.82 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The model projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-least run-oriented team in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 36.2% run rate.

The projections expect the Vikings offense to be the 10th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.53 seconds per snap.

Projection For Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Aaron Jones is projected to have 64.3 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.