Indianapolis Colts

Indianapolis Colts

Nov 3, 2024

Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota Vikings
  • Overview
  • Props

Aaron Jones Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Aaron Jones projections and prop bets for Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Rams on Jan 13, 2025

Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 57.5 over: -115
  • Rushing Yards 57.5 under: -113

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 132.8 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.

The projections expect Aaron Jones to accrue 16.5 carries this week, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Aaron Jones has been given 59.6% of his team's run game usage this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among running backs.

Aaron Jones has generated 70.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL among RBs (92nd percentile).

The Rams defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding 4.74 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Vikings to run on 39.1% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Los Angeles's collection of DEs has been terrific this year, ranking as the best in football.

Projection For Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Aaron Jones is projected to have 66.2 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

  • Carries 13.5 over: -130
  • Carries 13.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 132.8 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.

The projections expect Aaron Jones to accrue 16.5 carries this week, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Aaron Jones has been given 59.6% of his team's run game usage this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among running backs.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Vikings to run on 39.1% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Los Angeles's collection of DEs has been terrific this year, ranking as the best in football.

Projection For Aaron Jones Carries Prop Bet

Aaron Jones is projected to have 15.5 Carries in this weeks game.


Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 18.5 over: -110
  • Receiving Yards 18.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 60.9% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 132.8 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.

Aaron Jones has run more routes this year (49.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (37.6%).

The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (89.8%) to RBs this year (89.8%).

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Aaron Jones's 7.59 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a material reduction in his efficiency in space over last season's 9.0% figure.

Projection For Aaron Jones Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Aaron Jones is projected to have 23.8 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 2.5 over: -160
  • Receptions 2.5 under: 130

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 60.9% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 132.8 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.

With a terrific 3.0 adjusted receptions per game (91st percentile) this year, Aaron Jones ranks as one of the leading running backs in the pass game in the league.

The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (89.8%) to RBs this year (89.8%).

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

Projection For Aaron Jones Receptions Prop Bet

Aaron Jones is projected to have 3.1 Receptions in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Record 100+ Rushing Yards
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • To Score A Touchdown and Player's Team to Win
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Receptions
  • Longest Reception
  • To Record 100+ Rushing Yards
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • To Score A Touchdown and Player's Team to Win
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Receptions
  • Longest Reception
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-285
+240
-285
+240
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
24
25
99
95
100
97
101
103
98
96
102
24
25
99
101
98
96
100
102
97
103
95
24
25
99
95
100
97
101
103
98
96
102
24
25
99
101
98
96
100
102
97
103
95
Consensus
-114
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-117
-117
-115
-119
-117
-
-117
-119
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-113
-118
-
-118
-
-115
-
-
-117
-119
-117
-115
-115
-
-117
-120
-
-
-
-115
-118
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-118
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-115
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-114
-
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-110
-110
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-110
-120
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-110
-115
-
-115
-120
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-
-115
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+220
-
+190
Consensus
-
+480
-
+410
Consensus
-
+430
-
+420
Consensus
+106
-132
+115
-136
Consensus
-
+175
-
+180
Consensus
-
+320
-
+340
Consensus
-
+480
-
+500
-
+200
-
+200
-
+490
-
+420
-
+390
-
+400
-
-125
-
-135
-
+170
-
+175
-
+330
-
+310
-
+450
-
+480
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
74
69
72
73
71
70
75
76
18
19
73
72
74
71
70
75
76
69
18
19
74
69
72
73
71
70
75
76
18
19
73
72
74
71
70
75
76
69
18
19
Consensus
-112
-
-113
-113
-113
-113
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-111
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-
-117
-108
-116
-113
-
-
-
-
-114
-111
-116
-116
-115
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-108
-121
-121
-108
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-127
-113
-121
-117
-117
-
-
-113
-
-
-108
-121
-113
-108
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-117
-121
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-113
-
-
-110
-
-125
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-110
-
-
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-110
-114
-
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-114
-
-110
-
-
-
-110
-114
-
-
-
-110
-114
-
-
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-115
-115
-115
-130
-120
-110
-
-115
-
-
-
-115
-105
-120
-120
-
-115
-
-115
-
-
-110
-115
-115
-115
-110
-
-115
-
-
-
-110
-110
-115
-120
-
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-125
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+1833
+1916
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
2
1
22
23
21
26
1
2
22
21
23
26
2
1
22
23
21
26
1
2
22
21
23
26
Consensus
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-110
-112
-
-
-
-
-106
-110
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-114
-114
-119
-
-
-
-112
-110
-115
-
-
-
-114
-115
-121
-
-
-
-110
-112
-114
-
-
-
-121
-121
-121
-
-
-
-113
-113
-113
-
-
-
-121
-121
-121
-
-
-
-113
-113
-113
-
-
-
-120
-115
-120
-
-
-
-110
-110
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-
-
-
-115
-110
-115
-
-106
-110
-
-
-
-
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-110
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-115
-110
-120
-
-
-
-110
-110
-120
-
-
-
-110
-115
-120
-
-
-
-110
-110
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-130
+105
-
-
-
+100
-
-130
-
-
-
-
-130
+105
-
-
-
+100
-
-140
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+13000
+13000
+14000
+12000
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
18
17
16
15
18
16
17
15
18
17
16
15
18
16
17
15
Consensus
-110
-125
-109
-
-145
-117
-112
-
-107
-114
-108
-
-128
-120
-123
-
-115
-105
-110
-135
-135
-120
-125
+105
-105
-125
-110
-135
-110
-120
-110
+105
-114
-108
-108
-
-114
-120
-114
-
+100
-114
-114
-
-130
-114
-120
-
-115
-135
-
-
-105
-
-105
-
-120
-130
-
-
-140
-
+100
-
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-145
+125
-145
+125
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+422
+425
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
16
17
17
16
16
17
17
16
Consensus
-120
-110
-115
-108
-123
-105
-120
-110
-120
-115
-115
-110
-120
-110
-120
-110
-120
-105
-120
-105
-125
-110
-120
-110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
4
4
4
4
Consensus
+133
-161
+131
-172
+120
-179
-101
-151
+110
-150
+140
-190
+122
-160
+122
-160
+125
-140
+130
-160
+125
-165
+120
-165
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
12
13
13
12
12
13
13
12
Consensus
-127
-106
-126
-111
-129
-105
-126
-106
-129
-106
-125
-115
-119
-106
-129
-106
-120
-110
-120
-105
-130
-105
-120
-105

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