Sunday’s Week 1 meeting between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium is dripping with storylines. Pittsburgh arrives with a revamped offense led by veteran quarterback Aaron Rodgers. New York will go with Justin Fields under center. Both quarterbacks are facing the teams they were with last season and that will create plenty of drama at MetLife Stadium. Before kickoff from the Meadowlands, continue reading to get my Steelers vs Jets prediction.
Our Steelers vs Jets Pick
- Pick: New York Jets +3
- Confidence: 3 out of 5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Jets
- Date & Time: Sunday, September 7, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
- Broadcast: CBS
Steelers vs Jets Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Steelers -3 | Steelers -155 / Jets +130 | 38.5 |
Key Storylines
- Aaron Rodgers and Justin Fields are in new uniforms facing their former teams for the first time since joining their current groups. How those two quarterbacks perform will help determine which team gets through Week 1 with a win.
- The Steelers’ pass rush is led by T.J. Watt and Alex Highsmith. That group to disrupt a Jets offensive line that has question marks at tackle. Justin Fields’ mobility will be important in terms of evading oncoming rushers and extending plays to allow receivers to get open.
Quarterback Play
Aaron Rodgers provides Pittsburgh with a veteran presence who has championship experience. The question for Rodgers is whether he can play like he did before joining the Jets two seasons ago. Injuries and the inevitable passage of time made Rodgers look washed up last year. But it is always possible that his poor play last year was a product of being with the Jets organization more than any flaws in Rodgers’ game.
Justin Fields brings mobility and big-play upside to the Jets’ huddle. Fields’ consistency has been a question mark so far in his pro career but his ability to make plays with his leg and his arms makes him a weapon worth having.
Best Player Props
| Player Prop | Suggested Market |
|---|---|
| Garrett Wilson | Anytime touchdown scorer |
| Justin Fields | Anytime touchdown scorer |
| Aaron Rodgers | Under 203.5 passing yards |
| T.J. Watt | Over 0.5 sacks |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Pittsburgh is 12-6 straight up in its last 18 games against New York.
- Pittsburgh is 1-4 straight up in its last 5 games on the road.
- The Jets have won 2 of their last 10 season openers.
Steelers vs Jets Model Projection
- Score Projection: Jets 23 – Steelers 20
- Win Probability: Jets 50%, Steelers 50%
Final Thoughts
I am not buying into Aaron Rodgers as a viable solution at quarterback at this stage of his NFL career. His mobility is mostly gone, which takes away his ability to improvise as effectively as he once did. He is facing a Jets team here that will want nothing more than to put constant pressure on him. I think the Jets will do just that and surprise the Steelers at home. I’ll take the field goal with the Jets, who could very well win this game outright.
