Los Angeles Rams vs New England Patriots Prediction & Picks 11/17/2024

Rams vs Patriots Betting Odds

Los Angeles Rams vs New England Patriots Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Los Angeles Rams vs New England Patriots Betting Preview

It was quite the blowout the last time these two teams played. The road Rams won by double digits, defeating the Patriots 24-3 in Week 14 of 2020.

New England's primary disadvantage this season has been their offense, which has ranked #32 in football with a low 272 yards per game. They've been so ineffective on offense in large part because of their aerial attack, clocking in at #30 in the league with just 192 yards per game. And if the opposing defense doesn't need to go all out to stop the passing game, they can focus more on stopping the run, which has led New England managing just 3.69 yards per carry -- bottom 10 in the league. Partially to blame is New England's offensive line, which has given the quarterback very little protection, ranking just #31 in the NFL. When it comes to their defense, the Patriots check in at #22 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 228 yards per game against New England this year (#15 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #16 against them with 4.59 yards per ground attempt. This Patriots pass defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing running backs, keeping them in check at just 26 yards per game (#5-best in the league). New England's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, who have caught 69.5% of their passes, #6-highest in the league.

Los Angeles's biggest strength has been their pass defense, which ranks #6 in the league while allowing just 201 yards per game this season. That's not to take anything away from their run defense, though, which checks in at #7 in yards per carry (4.37). The Rams have done the best job shutting down opposing wide receivers, holding them to a 58.1% completion rate (#4-lowest). Los Angeles's pass rush has been strong this year, led by their defensive ends, which check in as the #8-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. This represents a particular advantage for Los Angeles given that the Patriots have struggled so much with their pass game this year, managing just 6.21 yards per target (#5-worst in the league). In terms of their offense, the Rams have ranked #19 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 216 yards per game (#18 in football). On the ground they've ranked #22 with 3.96 yards per carry.

Los Angeles Rams vs New England Patriots Prediction

Final Score: Los Angeles Rams 23.46 vs New England Patriots 18.67

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