Las Vegas Raiders at Miami Dolphins Prediction For 11/17/2024

Raiders vs Dolphins Betting Odds

Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins Betting Preview

Sunday the Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) will battle the Miami Dolphins (3-6). Oddsmakers peg the Dolphins as the huge favorite with an implied win probablity of 76%, leaving the Raiders with a 24% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Dolphins -7.5 with a Game Total of 44.0.

Miami's primary disadvantage this season has been their offense, which has ranked #32 in football with a low 272 yards per game. They've been so ineffective on offense in large part because of their aerial attack, clocking in at #32 in the league with just 174 yards per game. And if the opposing defense doesn't need to go all out to stop the passing game, they can focus more on stopping the run, which has led Miami managing just 3.91 yards per carry -- bottom 10 in the league. When it comes to their defense, the Dolphins check in at #1 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 170 yards per game against Miami this year (#32 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #18 against them with 4.56 yards per ground attempt. This Dolphins defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, keeping them in check at just 103 yards per game (#1-best in the league). Miami's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, who have caught 69.9% of their passes, #4-highest in the league.

Las Vegas's biggest weakness has been their offense, checking in at #24 in the league with a mere 292 yards per game. A big part of their failure has been the quality (or lack thereof) of their rushing attack, which has been #1-worst in football with just 3.33 yards per carry. In failing to successfully establish the run, Las Vegas has also had trouble moving the ball through the air, averaging a paltry 6.43 yards per target, which ranks them #24 in football. In terms of their defense, the Raiders have ranked #15 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 208 yards per game through the air against them (#24 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #5 with 5.02 yards per carry. Las Vegas has been most effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, holding them to 7.16 yards per target (#2-best). Las Vegas has been least effective in shutting down opposing running backs, giving up a 98.2% completion rate (#1-highest).

Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins Prediction

Final Score: Las Vegas Raiders 17.76 vs Miami Dolphins 27.44

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