Kansas City Chiefs

4:25 PM Nov 17, 2024

Buffalo Bills

Overview
Consensus
Stats
Odds
Trends
Props

Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills Pick For 11/17/2024

Chiefs vs Bills Betting Odds

Spread:	Kansas City Chiefs 2, Buffalo Bills -2
Over/Under:	46
Moneyline:	Kansas City Chiefs 115, Buffalo Bills -135

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:	Projected Win %:
Kansas City Chiefs - 45%	Kansas City Chiefs - 38%
Buffalo Bills - 55%	Buffalo Bills - 62%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Betting Preview

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs faceoff against Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills. The Bills enter the game as a favorite (-135) as the home team. Buffalo is currently favored by -2.0 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 46.0.

Buffalo's primary advantage has been their run offense, which ranks #8 in football at 4.77 yards per carry. When it comes to their defense, the Bills check in at #21 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 239 yards per game against Buffalo this year (#9 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #11 against them with 4.77 yards per ground attempt. This Bills defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing running backs, allowing them to complete just 78.8% of their passes (#4-lowest in the league). Buffalo's defensive effectiveness in the pass game bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have scorched them for 50 yards per game (#1-worst in the league).

Kansas City's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #4 in the league while allowing just 299 yards per game. Much of their success has been in shutting down the run game, holding opposing ball-carriers to the #2-least yards per carry: 3.69. The Chiefs linebackers have played a big part in their ability to stop the run, ranking #3-best in the NFL by this measure. In terms of their offense, the Chiefs have ranked #9 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 255 yards per game (#7 in football). On the ground they've ranked #27 with 3.68 yards per carry.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Prediction

Final Score: Kansas City Chiefs 21.24 vs Buffalo Bills 24.63

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.5/+100

86% KC

-2.5/-120

14% BUF

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+124

41% KC

-148

59% BUF

Total Pick Consensus

47.0/-110

24% UN

47.0/-110

76% OV

Stats

Offense/Defense

Team Stats

BUF

385

PTs

368

22.6

PPG

21.6

5570

YDS

5806

327.6

YDS/G

341.5

2.4

TD/G

2.4

43.2

SC%

36.3

8.3

TO%

17.5

Defense/Offense

Team Stats

BUF

326

PTs

525

19.2

PPG

30.9

5451

YDS

6105

320.6

YDS/G

359.1

2.2

TD/G

3.6

36.5

SC%

49.7

11.4

TO%

4.6

Offense/Defense

Rushing

BUF

450

ATT

435

1790

YDS

1963

105.3

Y/G

115.5

4.0

Y/A

4.5

0.9

TD/G

0.8

Defense/Offense

Rushing

BUF

418

ATT

491

1731

YDS

2230

101.8

Y/G

131.2

4.1

Y/A

4.5

0.8

TD/G

1.9

Offense/Defense

Passing

BUF

404

CMP

396

600

ATT

578

67.3

CMP%

68.5

222.4

YDS/GM

226.1

6.7

Y/A

7.1

5.9

NY/A

6.2

INT

Defense/Offense

Passing

BUF

375

CMP

329

569

ATT

520

65.9

CMP%

63.3

218.8

YDS/GM

227.9

7.0

Y/A

7.6

6.1

NY/A

7.3

INT

Offense/Defense

Special Teams

BUF

Punts/Ret

307

Punt/Yds

213

9.9

Punt/Y/R

9.3

Kick Off/Ret

785

Kick Off/Yds

770

27.1

Kick Off/Y/rt

30.8

Defense/Offense

Special Teams

BUF

Punts/Ret

253

Punt/Yds

313

10.1

Punt/Y/R

11.6

Kick Off/Ret

741

Kick Off/Yds

621

28.5

Kick Off/Y/rt

25.9

Odds

Open

Current

Book

KC BUF

Consensus

-1.0 (-118)

+1.0 (-110)

+3.0 (-118)

-3.0 (-104)

DraftKings $150 Bonus

-1.0 (100)

+1.0 (-110)

+2.5 (+100)

-2.5 (-120)

FanDuel $200 Bonus

-1.5 (-102)

+1.5 (-120)

+2.5 (-102)

-2.5 (-120)

BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus

-1.0 (-118)

+1.0 (-109)

+3.0 (-118)

-3.0 (-104)

Caesars

Double Your Winnings

-1.0 (100)

+1.0 (-110)

+2.5 (+100)

-2.5 (-120)

BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus

-1.5 (-105)

+1.5 (-115)

+2.5 (-105)

-2.5 (-115)

Open

Current

Book

KC BUF

Consensus

-113

-105

+127

-150

DraftKings $150 Bonus

-118

-102

+124

-148

FanDuel $200 Bonus

-108

+128

-152

BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus

-118

-104

+120

-148

Caesars

Double Your Winnings

+100

-120

+135

-160

BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus

-115

-105

+130

-150

Open

Current

Book

Over Under

Consensus

46.5 (-113)

46.5 (-108)

47.0 (-110)

47.0 (-111)

DraftKings $150 Bonus

47.0 (-110)

FanDuel $200 Bonus

46.5 (-115)

46.5 (-105)

46.5 (-118)

46.5 (-104)

BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus

47.0 (-112)

47.0 (-109)

47.0 (-110)

Caesars

Double Your Winnings

46.5 (-110)

47.0 (-115)

47.0 (-105)

BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus

46.5 (-110)

47.0 (-110)

Betting trends

BUF

3-0-0

Win/Loss/Tie

3-0-0

0-3-0

ATS W/L/P

2-1-0

24.33

Avg Score

30.33

19.33

Avg Opp Score

5-0-0

Win/Loss/Tie

5-0-0

2-3-0

ATS W/L/P

4-1-0

25.4

Avg Score

29.6

17.8

Avg Opp Score

17.4

10-0-0

Win/Loss/Tie

8-2-0

5-4-1

ATS W/L/P

6-4-0

24.4

Avg Score

18.3

Avg Opp Score

19.3

DATE

1st

01/21/24

+124

BUF

-2.5

-150

12/10/23

BUF

49.5

+102

-1.5

-123

10/16/22

BUF

54.5

-148

2.5

+124

01/23/22

BUF

+113

-2

-132

10/10/21

BUF

56.5

+124

-2.5

-147

01/24/21

BUF

+135

-3

-162

10/19/20

54.5

-246

BUF

5.5

+204

11/26/17

BUF

+320

-8

-355

11/29/15

BUF

N/A

-4

N/A

11/09/14

+105

BUF

-2

-125

Kansas City Chiefs

02/09/25

24.4

23:02

PHI

0.3

36:58

01/26/25

BUF

45.3

30:32

-0.9

29:28

01/18/25

HOU

18.4