Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City Chiefs

Nov 17, 2024

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills Pick For 11/17/2024

Chiefs vs Bills Betting Odds

Spread:Kansas City Chiefs 2, Buffalo Bills -2
Over/Under:46
Moneyline:Kansas City Chiefs 115, Buffalo Bills -135


Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Kansas City Chiefs - 45%Kansas City Chiefs - 38%
Buffalo Bills - 55%Buffalo Bills - 62%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Betting Preview

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs faceoff against Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills. The Bills enter the game as a favorite (-135) as the home team. Buffalo is currently favored by -2.0 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 46.0.

Buffalo's primary advantage has been their run offense, which ranks #8 in football at 4.77 yards per carry. When it comes to their defense, the Bills check in at #21 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 239 yards per game against Buffalo this year (#9 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #11 against them with 4.77 yards per ground attempt. This Bills defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing running backs, allowing them to complete just 78.8% of their passes (#4-lowest in the league). Buffalo's defensive effectiveness in the pass game bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have scorched them for 50 yards per game (#1-worst in the league).

Kansas City's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #4 in the league while allowing just 299 yards per game. Much of their success has been in shutting down the run game, holding opposing ball-carriers to the #2-least yards per carry: 3.69. The Chiefs linebackers have played a big part in their ability to stop the run, ranking #3-best in the NFL by this measure. In terms of their offense, the Chiefs have ranked #9 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 255 yards per game (#7 in football). On the ground they've ranked #27 with 3.68 yards per carry.


Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Prediction

Final Score: Kansas City Chiefs 21.24 vs Buffalo Bills 24.63

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.5/+100
86% KC
-2.5/-120
14% BUF

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+124
41% KC
-148
59% BUF

Total Pick Consensus

47.0/-110
24% UN
47.0/-110
76% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Passing
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

KC
Team Stats
BUF
10
G
11
240
PTs
214
24
PPG
19.5
3379
YDS
3620
337.9
YDS/G
329.1
26
TD
22
2.6
TD/G
2
44.9
SC%
33.9
14.3
TO%
17.9

Defense/Offense

KC
Team Stats
BUF
10
G
11
191
PTs
320
19.1
PPG
29.1
2975
YDS
3798
297.5
YDS/G
345.3
22
TD
36
2.2
TD/G
3.3
37.1
SC%
49.1
9.3
TO%
6.3

Offense/Defense

KC
Rushing
BUF
10
G
11
289
ATT
270
1114
YDS
1310
111.4
Y/G
119.1
3.9
Y/A
4.9
11
TD
6
1.1
TD/G
0.5

Defense/Offense

KC
Rushing
BUF
10
G
11
236
ATT
307
853
YDS
1311
85.3
Y/G
119.2
3.6
Y/A
4.3
8
TD
18
0.8
TD/G
1.6

Offense/Defense

KC
Passing
BUF
239
CMP
257
344
ATT
373
69.5
CMP%
68.9
226.5
YDS/GM
210
7.0
Y/A
6.7
6.2
NY/A
5.8
11
INT
13
22
SK
27

Defense/Offense

KC
Passing
BUF
218
CMP
219
330
ATT
342
66.1
CMP%
64.0
212.2
YDS/GM
226.1
6.7
Y/A
7.5
6.1
NY/A
7.0
6
INT
5
19
SK
13

Offense/Defense

KC
Special Teams
BUF
17
Punts/Ret
15
199
Punt/Yds
129
11.7
Punt/Y/R
8.6
11
Kick Off/Ret
11
275
Kick Off/Yds
349
25.0
Kick Off/Y/rt
31.7

Defense/Offense

KC
Special Teams
BUF
14
Punts/Ret
20
164
Punt/Yds
243
11.7
Punt/Y/R
12.2
10
Kick Off/Ret
11
293
Kick Off/Yds
300
29.3
Kick Off/Y/rt
27.3

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
KC BUF
KC BUF
Consensus
-1.0 (-118)
+1.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-118)
-3.0 (-104)
-1.0 (100)
+1.0 (-110)
+2.5 (+100)
-2.5 (-120)
-1.5 (-102)
+1.5 (-120)
+2.5 (-102)
-2.5 (-120)
-1.0 (-118)
+1.0 (-109)
+3.0 (-118)
-3.0 (-104)
-1.0 (100)
+1.0 (-110)
+2.5 (+100)
-2.5 (-120)
-1.5 (-105)
+1.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
KC BUF
KC BUF
Consensus
-113
-105
+127
-150
-118
-102
+124
-148
-108
-108
+128
-152
-118
-104
+120
-148
+100
-120
+135
-160
-115
-105
+130
-150
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
46.5 (-113)
46.5 (-108)
47.0 (-110)
47.0 (-111)
47.0 (-110)
47.0 (-110)
47.0 (-110)
47.0 (-110)
46.5 (-115)
46.5 (-105)
46.5 (-118)
46.5 (-104)
47.0 (-112)
47.0 (-109)
47.0 (-110)
47.0 (-110)
46.5 (-110)
46.5 (-110)
47.0 (-115)
47.0 (-105)
46.5 (-110)
46.5 (-110)
47.0 (-110)
47.0 (-110)