Kansas City Chiefs

4:25 PM Nov 17, 2024

Buffalo Bills

Overview
Consensus
Stats
Odds
Trends
Props

Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills Pick For 11/17/2024

Chiefs vs Bills Betting Odds

Spread:	Kansas City Chiefs 2, Buffalo Bills -2
Over/Under:	46
Moneyline:	Kansas City Chiefs 115, Buffalo Bills -135

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:	Projected Win %:
Kansas City Chiefs - 45%	Kansas City Chiefs - 38%
Buffalo Bills - 55%	Buffalo Bills - 62%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Betting Preview

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs faceoff against Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills. The Bills enter the game as a favorite (-135) as the home team. Buffalo is currently favored by -2.0 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 46.0.

Buffalo's primary advantage has been their run offense, which ranks #8 in football at 4.77 yards per carry. When it comes to their defense, the Bills check in at #21 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 239 yards per game against Buffalo this year (#9 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #11 against them with 4.77 yards per ground attempt. This Bills defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing running backs, allowing them to complete just 78.8% of their passes (#4-lowest in the league). Buffalo's defensive effectiveness in the pass game bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have scorched them for 50 yards per game (#1-worst in the league).

Kansas City's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #4 in the league while allowing just 299 yards per game. Much of their success has been in shutting down the run game, holding opposing ball-carriers to the #2-least yards per carry: 3.69. The Chiefs linebackers have played a big part in their ability to stop the run, ranking #3-best in the NFL by this measure. In terms of their offense, the Chiefs have ranked #9 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 255 yards per game (#7 in football). On the ground they've ranked #27 with 3.68 yards per carry.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Prediction

Final Score: Kansas City Chiefs 21.24 vs Buffalo Bills 24.63

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.0/-108

78% KC

-2.0/-112

22% BUF

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+110

61% KC

-130

39% BUF

Total Pick Consensus

46.0/-112

26% UN

46.0/-108

74% OV

Stats

Offense/Defense

Team Stats

BUF

219

PTs

193

24.3

PPG

19.3

3120

YDS

3361

346.7

YDS/G

336.1

2.6

TD/G

1.9

46.1

SC%

34.0

13.5

TO%

17.5

Defense/Offense

Team Stats

BUF

161

PTs

290

17.9

PPG

2609

YDS

3432

289.9

YDS/G

343.2

TD/G

3.2

35.6

SC%

49.0

9.2

TO%

5.9

Offense/Defense

Rushing

BUF

272

ATT

253

1036

YDS

1232

115.1

Y/G

123.2

3.8

Y/A

4.9

1.2

TD/G

0.6

Defense/Offense

Rushing

BUF

205

ATT

276

749

YDS

1207

83.2

Y/G

120.7

3.7

Y/A

4.4

0.6

TD/G

1.5

Offense/Defense

Passing

BUF

216

CMP

234

311

ATT

340

69.5

CMP%

68.8

231.6

YDS/GM

212.9

7.1

Y/A

6.8

6.3

NY/A

5.8

INT

Defense/Offense

Passing

BUF

191

CMP

192

290

ATT

302

65.9

CMP%

63.6

206.7

YDS/GM

222.5

6.8

Y/A

7.6

6.0

NY/A

7.1

INT

Offense/Defense

Special Teams

BUF

Punts/Ret

191

Punt/Yds

121

11.9

Punt/Y/R

8.6

Kick Off/Ret

275

Kick Off/Yds

349

25.0

Kick Off/Y/rt

31.7

Defense/Offense

Special Teams

BUF

Punts/Ret

108

Punt/Yds

187

10.8

Punt/Y/R

11.7

Kick Off/Ret

270

Kick Off/Yds

277

30.0

Kick Off/Y/rt

27.7

Odds

Open

Current

Book

KC BUF

Consensus

-1.0 (-110)

+1.0 (-110)

+2.0 (-110)

-2.0 (-112)

DraftKings $200 Bonus

-1.0 (-108)

+1.0 (-110)

+2.0 (-108)

-2.0 (-112)

FanDuel $150 Bonus

-1.5 (-115)

+1.5 (-120)

+2.5 (-115)

-2.5 (-105)

BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus

-1.0 (-109)

+1.0 (-109)

+2.0 (-109)

-2.0 (-112)

Caesars Up To $1000 Bonus

-1.0 (-115)

+1.0 (-110)

+2.5 (-115)

-2.5 (-105)

BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus

-1.5 (-110)

+1.5 (-115)

+2.5 (-110)

-2.5 (-110)

Open

Current

Book

KC BUF

Consensus

-113

-105

+113

-134

DraftKings $200 Bonus

-118

-102

+110

-130

FanDuel $150 Bonus

-108

+114

-134

BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus

-118

-104

+112

-136

Caesars Up To $1000 Bonus

+100

-120

+115

-135

BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus

-115

-105

+115

-135

Open

Current

Book

Over Under

Consensus

46.5 (-113)

46.5 (-108)

46.0 (-110)

46.0 (-111)

DraftKings $200 Bonus

47.0 (-110)

46.0 (-108)

46.0 (-112)

FanDuel $150 Bonus

46.5 (-115)

46.5 (-105)

46.5 (-115)

BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus

47.0 (-112)

47.0 (-109)

46.0 (-109)

46.0 (-112)

Caesars Up To $1000 Bonus

46.5 (-110)

46.0 (-110)

BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus

46.5 (-110)

46.0 (-110)

Betting trends

BUF

3-0-0

Win/Loss/Tie

3-0-0

0-3-0

ATS W/L/P

2-1-0

24.33

Avg Score

30.33

19.33

Avg Opp Score

5-0-0

Win/Loss/Tie

5-0-0

2-3-0

ATS W/L/P

4-1-0

25.4

Avg Score

29.6

17.8

Avg Opp Score

17.4

10-0-0

Win/Loss/Tie

8-2-0

5-4-1

ATS W/L/P

6-4-0

24.4

Avg Score

18.3

Avg Opp Score

19.3

DATE

1st

01/21/24

+124

BUF

-2.5

-150

12/10/23

BUF

49.5

+102

-1.5

-123

10/16/22

BUF

54.5

-148

2.5

+124

01/23/22

BUF

+113

-2

-132

10/10/21

BUF

56.5

+124

-2.5

-147

01/24/21

BUF

+135

-3

-162

10/19/20

54.5

-246

BUF

5.5

+204

11/26/17

BUF

+320

-8

-355

11/29/15

BUF

N/A

-4

N/A

11/09/14

+105

BUF

-2

-125

Kansas City Chiefs

11/10/24

DEN

44.7