Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, Odds & Picks – 9/23/2024

Jaguars vs Bills Betting Odds

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills Betting Preview

Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars faceoff against Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills. The Bills enter the game as a big favorite (-235) as the home team. Buffalo is currently favored by -5.0 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 45.5.

Buffalo's primary advantage has been their offense, which ranks #5 in football at 358 yards per game. The quality of their rushing attack has led to much of their success. The Bills 4.61 yards per carry ranks #5-best in the NFL. Given their ground game success, this has opened up opportunities through the air too; Buffalo's 7.79 yards per target puts them #3 in football. This presents a decided advantage for Buffalo given that the Jaguars haven't had much success in stopping the run this year, giving up 4.46 yards per carry (#15-worst in the NFL). When it comes to their defense, the Bills check in at #12 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 210 yards per game against Buffalo this year (#24 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #10 against them with 4.6 yards per ground attempt. This Bills defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, keeping them in check at just 120 yards per game (#5-best in the league). Buffalo's defensive effectiveness in the pass game bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have scorched them for 41 yards per game (#3-worst in the league).

Jacksonville's biggest weakness has been their rushing offense, checking in at #29 in the league with a mere 3.62 yards per carry. In terms of their defense, the Jaguars have ranked #24 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 246 yards per game through the air against them (#4 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #15 with 4.46 yards per carry. Jacksonville has been most effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to a 66.1% completion rate (#2-lowest). Jacksonville pass defense has been least effective in shutting down opposing running backs, giving up 43 yards per game (#2-worst).

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills Prediction

Final Score: Jacksonville Jaguars 22.55 vs Buffalo Bills 26.86

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