Jacksonville Jaguars at Detroit Lions Best Bet – 11/17/2024

Jaguars vs Lions Betting Odds

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Detroit Lions Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Detroit Lions Betting Preview

Mac Jones and the Jacksonville Jaguars faceoff against Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions. The Lions enter the game as a huge favorite (-700) as the home team. Detroit is currently favored by -13.0 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 47.0.

Jacksonville's biggest weakness has been their defense, ranking #31 in the league while allowing 409 yards per game. Much of their struggle has come in trying to lock down the pass game, as they've allowed opposing QBs pass for the #2-most yards per game: 277. The Jaguars pass defense has been at their worst when it comes to shutting down opposing running backs, allowing them to rack up 49 yards per game (#2-worst). Jacksonville's worst position group in coverage has been their safeties, which rank just #32 in the league in locking down route-runners. Jacksonville's pass rush has been weak this year, being weighed down by their defensive tackles, which check in as just the #29-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. This represents a particular disadvantage for Jacksonville given that the Lions have excelled in the pass game this year, accumulating 8.59 yards per target (#3-best in the league). In terms of their offense, the Jaguars have ranked #20 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 211 yards per game (#21 in football). On the ground they've ranked #6 with 4.96 yards per carry.

Detroit's primary advantage has been their offense, which ranks #3 in football at 385 yards per game. The quality of their rushing attack has led to much of their success. The Lions 5.26 yards per carry ranks #3-best in the NFL. Given their ground game success, this has opened up opportunities through the air too; Detroit's 8.59 yards per target puts them #3 in football. When it comes to their defense, the Lions check in at #18 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 254 yards per game against Detroit this year (#5 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #27 against them with 4.24 yards per ground attempt. This Lions defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, keeping them in check at just 7.26 yards per target (#3-best in the league). Detroit's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, who have scorched them for 185 yards per game (#2-worst in the league).

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Detroit Lions Prediction

Final Score: Jacksonville Jaguars 17.47 vs Detroit Lions 30.45

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