Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys Betting Pick & Preview – 11/18/2024

Texans vs Cowboys Betting Odds

Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview

The last time these two teams played each other was Week 14 in 2022. That game resulted in a win for the Cowboys with a final score of 27-23. Although the Cowboys recorded the win, they failed to cover the -17.0 point spread that game. The Game Total for that game was 44.5 and which the Over hit.

Houston's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #5 in the league while allowing just 303 yards per game. Much of their success has been in locking down the pass game, holding opposing QBs to the #4-least yards per game: 195. That's not to take anything away from their run defense, though, which checks in at #8 in yards per carry (4.39). The Texans have done the best job shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to 29 yards per game (#1-best). Houston's best position group in coverage has been their cornerbacks, which rank #10 in the league in locking down route-runners. Houston's pass rush has been strong this year, led by their defensive ends, which check in as the #9-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. This represents a particular advantage for Houston given that the Cowboys have struggled so much with their pass game this year, managing just 6.35 yards per target (#8-worst in the league). In terms of their offense, the Texans have ranked #13 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 233 yards per game (#13 in football). On the ground they've ranked #15 with 4.2 yards per carry.

Dallas's primary disadvantage this season has been their rushing offense, which has ranked #31 in football with a low 3.59 yards per carry. Perhaps because they routinely failt to successfully establish the run, Dallas has also lacked effectiveness through the air. They've scraped together a measly 6.35 yards per target, ranking the bottom 10 in football. When it comes to their defense, the Cowboys check in at #26 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 225 yards per game against Dallas this year (#17 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #6 against them with 5.01 yards per ground attempt. This Cowboys defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, keeping them in check at just 42 yards per game (#10-best in the league). Dallas's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, who have scorched them for 10.16 yards per target (#1-worst in the league).

Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction

Final Score: Houston Texans 24.1 vs Dallas Cowboys 19.79

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