Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 11/17/2024

Packers vs Bears Betting Odds

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Betting Preview

Their last head-to-head matchup was a low scoring slugfest. In Week 18 of 2023 the Packers won on the road beating the Bears 17-9. The Packers entered that game as a slight road favorite. They were favored by 2.5 points before covering the spread. The Game Total for that game was 46.0 and which the Under hit.

Chicago's primary disadvantage this season has been their offense, which has ranked #32 in football with a low 272 yards per game. They've been so ineffective on offense in large part because of their aerial attack, clocking in at #28 in the league with just 195 yards per game. And if the opposing defense doesn't need to go all out to stop the passing game, they can focus more on stopping the run, which has led Chicago managing just 3.67 yards per carry -- bottom 10 in the league. When it comes to their defense, the Bears check in at #13 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 204 yards per game against Chicago this year (#25 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #7 against them with 5 yards per ground attempt. This Bears defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing running backs, keeping them in check at just 5.19 yards per target (#3-best in the league). Chicago's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, who have scorched them for 9.08 yards per target (#5-worst in the league).

Green Bay's biggest strength has been their offense, ranking #5 in the league with 366 yards per game. They've achieved offensive success largely through the quality of their passing attack, which is #9-best in football with 248 yards per game. It's no wonder they've done so well through the air when their offensive line ranks #4 in the league in pass protection. In terms of their defense, the Packers have ranked #16 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 230 yards per game through the air against them (#12 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #22 with 4.44 yards per carry. Green Bay has been most effective in shutting down opposing running backs, holding them to a 80.1% completion rate (#7-lowest). Green Bay pass defense has been least effective in shutting down opposing running backs, giving up 42 yards per game (#5-worst).

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Prediction

Final Score: Green Bay Packers 25.55 vs Chicago Bears 18.42

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