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Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 11/24/2024
Broncos vs Raiders Betting Odds
Spread: | Denver Broncos -5.5, Las Vegas Raiders 5.5 |
Over/Under: | 41 |
Moneyline: | Denver Broncos -245, Las Vegas Raiders 205 |
Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
Denver Broncos - 68% | Denver Broncos - 67% |
Las Vegas Raiders - 32% | Las Vegas Raiders - 33% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders Betting Preview
The last time these two teams played each other was Week 5 in 2024. That game resulted in a win for the Broncos with a final score of 34-18. The Game Total for that game was 36.0 and which the Over hit.
Las Vegas's primary disadvantage this season has been their offense, which has ranked #23 in football with a low 297 yards per game. They've been so ineffective on offense in large part because of their ground attack, clocking in at #32 in the league with just 3.26 yards per carry. Perhaps because they routinely failt to successfully establish the run, Las Vegas has also lacked effectiveness through the air. They've scraped together a measly 6.54 yards per target, ranking the bottom 10 in football. When it comes to their defense, the Raiders check in at #14 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 218 yards per game against Las Vegas this year (#21 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #10 against them with 4.82 yards per ground attempt. This Raiders defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, keeping them in check at just 122 yards per game (#2-best in the league). Las Vegas's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have caught 98.5% of their passes, #1-highest in the league.
Denver's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #5 in the league while allowing just 313 yards per game. Much of their success has been in shutting down the run game, holding opposing ball-carriers to the #4-least yards per carry: 3.83. That's not to take anything away from their pass defense, though, which checks in at #6 in yards per target (7.28). The Broncos linebackers have played a big part in their ability to stop the run, ranking #4-best in the NFL by this measure. This represents a particular advantage for Denver given that the Raiders have struggled so much with their run game this year, managing just 3.26 yards per carry (#1-worst in the league). In terms of their offense, the Broncos have ranked #21 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 219 yards per game (#18 in football). On the ground they've ranked #14 with 4.16 yards per carry.
Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction
Final Score: Denver Broncos 24.18 vs Las Vegas Raiders 19.39
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