Denver Broncos at New York Jets Pick & Prediction – 9/29/2024

Broncos vs Jets Betting Odds

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets Betting Preview

The last time these two teams played each other was Week 5 in 2023. That game resulted in a win for the Jets with a final score of 31-21. The Broncos entered that game as a slight road favorite. They were favored by 2.5 points before covering the spread. The Game Total for that game was 42.5 and the Over hit.

New York's primary advantage has been their defense, which has allowed a scant 304 yards per game -- #2-best in the NFL. They've succeeded in large part due to their pass defense, which has held opposing air attacks to the #2-least yards per game: 180. To give credit where credit is due, their run defense has also been terrific, checking in at #7 in yards per carry (4.22). The New York Jets pass defense has had the most success in covering opposing wide receivers, who have managed just 99 yards per game against them (#32-least in football). New York's best coverage unit has been their linebackers, which grade out as the #2 unit in the NFL in this regard. New York's pass rush has been led by their defensive tackles who, ranking as the #9 unit in the NFL, have given opposing quarterbacks fits. This presents a decided advantage for New York given that the Broncos haven't had much success throwing the ball this year, managing a mere 6.66 yards per target (good for #10-worst in the league). When it comes to their offense, the Jets check in at #28 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 205 yards per game (#25 in football). Their run game has ranked #21 with 3.89 yards per attempt on the ground.

Denver's biggest weakness has been their defense, ranking #31 in the league while allowing 366 yards per game. Much of their struggle has come in trying to shut down the run game, as they've allowed opposing ball-carriers to rush for the #1-most yards per carry: 5.07. That's not to give any unnecessary credit to their pass defense, though, which checks in at #6-worst in yards per target (8.03). The Broncos defensive ends have played a big part in their inability to stop the run, ranking #1-worst in the NFL by this measure. In terms of their offense, the Broncos have ranked #26 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 209 yards per game (#22 in football). On the ground they've ranked #19 with 3.94 yards per carry.

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets Prediction

Final Score: Denver Broncos 14.96 vs New York Jets 24.93

NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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