Cleveland Browns vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 9/29/2024

Browns vs Raiders Betting Odds

Cleveland Browns vs Las Vegas Raiders Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Cleveland Browns vs Las Vegas Raiders Betting Preview

Their last head-to-head matchup was a low scoring affair. In Week 15 of 2021 the Raiders won at home beating the Browns 16-14. The Game Total for that game was 41.5 and the Under hit.

Las Vegas's primary disadvantage this season has been their rushing offense, which has ranked #27 in football with a low 3.7 yards per carry. When it comes to their defense, the Raiders check in at #20 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 221 yards per game against Las Vegas this year (#23 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #14 against them with 4.53 yards per ground attempt. A strong argument could be made that their best position group is their linebackers, who rank #2 in the league in getting pressure on the quarterback. Las Vegas's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, who have caught 68.7% of their passes, #5-highest in the league.

Cleveland's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #1 in the league while allowing just 285 yards per game. Much of their success has been in locking down the pass game, holding opposing QBs to the #3-least yards per game: 181. The Browns have done the best job shutting down opposing wide receivers, holding them to a 54.3% completion rate (#1-lowest). Cleveland's pass rush has been strong this year, led by their linebackers, which check in as the #3-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. In terms of their offense, the Browns have ranked #16 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 224 yards per game (#21 in football). On the ground they've ranked #28 with 3.69 yards per carry.

Cleveland Browns vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction

Final Score: Cleveland Browns 21.8 vs Las Vegas Raiders 20.74

NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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