Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers Prediction, Odds & Picks – 9/29/2024

Bengals vs Panthers Betting Odds

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers Betting Preview

It was quite the blowout the last time these two teams played. The visiting Bengals won by double digits, defeating the Panthers 42-21 in Week 9 of 2022. They say, good teams win, but great teams cover. The Bengals not only won, but covered the -7.0 spread that game. The Game Total for that game was 42.5 and the Over hit.

Carolina's primary disadvantage this season has been their offense, which has ranked #31 in football with a low 268 yards per game. They've been so ineffective on offense in large part because of their aerial attack, clocking in at #32 in the league with just 188 yards per game. And if the opposing defense doesn't need to go all out to stop the passing game, they can focus more on stopping the run, which has led Carolina managing just 3.59 yards per carry -- bottom 10 in the league. Partially to blame is Carolina's offensive line, which has given the quarterback very little protection, ranking just #31 in the NFL. This presents a decided disadvantage for Carolina given that the Bengals pass defense has thrived this year, allowing a mere 8.66 yards per target (good for #32-best in football). When it comes to their defense, the Panthers check in at #5 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 176 yards per game against Carolina this year (#32 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #3 against them with 4.91 yards per ground attempt. This Panthers pass defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing running backs, keeping them in check at just 19 yards per game (#1-best in the league). Carolina's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, who have scorched them for 8.42 yards per target (#5-worst in the league).

Cincinnati's biggest weakness has been their defense, ranking #30 in the league while allowing 364 yards per game. Much of their struggle has come in trying to lock down the pass game, as they've allowed opposing QBs pass for the #5-most yards per game: 237. That's not to give any unnecessary credit to their run defense, though, which checks in at #7-worst in yards per carry (4.67). The Bengals have been at their worst when it comes to shutting down opposing wide receivers, allowing them to rack up 10.04 yards per target (#1-worst). Cincinnati's pass rush has been weak this year, being weighed down by their defensive tackles, which check in as just the #27-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. In terms of their offense, the Bengals have ranked #15 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 239 yards per game (#12 in football). On the ground they've ranked #15 with 4.08 yards per carry.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers Prediction

Final Score: Cincinnati Bengals 23.62 vs Carolina Panthers 20.27

NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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