Buffalo Bills
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Buffalo Bills at Detroit Lions Pick For 12/15/2024
Bills vs Lions Betting Odds
Spread: | Buffalo Bills 1.5, Detroit Lions -1.5 |
Over/Under: | 54.5 |
Moneyline: | Buffalo Bills 120, Detroit Lions -140 |
Buffalo Bills vs Detroit Lions Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
Buffalo Bills - 44% | Buffalo Bills - 38% |
Detroit Lions - 56% | Detroit Lions - 62% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Buffalo Bills vs Detroit Lions Betting Preview
The last time these two teams played each other was Week 12 in 2022. That game resulted in a win for the Bills with a final score of 28-25. Although the Bills recorded the win, they failed to cover the -9.5 point spread that game. The Game Total for that game was 54.5 and which the Under hit.
Detroit's primary advantage has been their offense, which ranks #1 in football at 407 yards per game. The quality of their rushing attack has led to much of their success. The Lions 5.21 yards per carry ranks #3-best in the NFL. Given their ground game success, this has opened up opportunities through the air too; Detroit's 8.49 yards per target puts them #5 in football. When it comes to their defense, the Lions check in at #5 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 234 yards per game against Detroit this year (#14 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #27 against them with 4.22 yards per ground attempt. This Lions defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, keeping them in check at just 37 yards per game (#2-best in the league). Detroit's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, who have scorched them for 173 yards per game (#3-worst in the league).
Buffalo's biggest strength has been their rushing offense, ranking #7 in the league with 4.79 yards per carry. With how successful they've been on the ground, this has opened up opportunities through the air as well; Buffalo has averaged 7.77 yards per target, which ranks them #7 in football. In terms of their defense, the Bills have ranked #14 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 225 yards per game through the air against them (#23 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #12 with 4.73 yards per carry. Buffalo has been most effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to 6.11 yards per target (#3-best). Buffalo has been least effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, giving up a 71% completion rate (#3-highest).
Buffalo Bills vs Detroit Lions Prediction
Final Score: Buffalo Bills 24.75 vs Detroit Lions 28.16
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