Washington Wizards

Washington Wizards

Mar 3, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Pick – 3/3/2025


On March 3, 2025, the Washington Wizards (11-48) will face off against the Miami Heat (28-31) in a matchup that carries significant divisional rivalry implications. Scheduled for 7:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center, this game promises to be an intriguing contest, particularly as both teams seek motivation to secure a win.

The Miami Heat enter this game as heavy favorites, with a current spread of Heat -9.0 and a moneyline of -380, giving them an implied win probability of 76%. However, the Heat are coming off a back-to-back situation, having played just a day earlier, which could hinder their performance due to fatigue. In their last outing, the Heat fell to the New York Knicks, losing 116-112, marking their 7th loss in the last 10 games.

On the other hand, the Wizards will look to build on their recent upset victory over the Charlotte Hornets, where they won 113-100 despite entering as 4.0-point underdogs with only a 39% chance of winning. While the Wizards have struggled overall, losing 41 of their last 50 games, this recent win could provide a much-needed confidence boost.

For those interested in player prop markets, Tyler Herro’s Points and Rebounds have emerged as a popular betting option. The prop total opened at Under 32.5 Points and Rebounds (-115) and has since moved to Under 31.5 (-110), indicating sharp bettors are leaning towards the under.


Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Washington Wizards 104.52 vs Miami Heat 126.8


Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Wizards24%5%
Heat76%95%

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+8.5/-108
47% WAS
FanDuel
-8.5/-112
53% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+285
10% WAS
BetMGM
-360
90% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

218.5/-110
16% UN
DraftKings
218.5/-110
84% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

WAS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
59
Games
59
39.6
FG
41.5
89.8
FGA
89.5
.441
FG%
.464
13.0
3Pt-FG
13.8
38.8
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.334
3Pt%
.359
26.6
2Pt-FG
27.7
51.0
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.522
2Pt%
.543
16.3
FT
14.0
20.9
FTA
17.9
.779
FT%
.782
10.6
ORB
11.0
33.3
DRB
34.2
43.8
TRB
45.2
25.2
AST
27.0
7.6
STL
7.5
5.1
BLK
4.8
16.2
TOV
13.6
20.4
PF
17.6
108.4
PTS
110.9

Defense/Offense

WAS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
59
Games
59
43.7
FG
39.8
92.4
FGA
86.8
.473
FG%
.458
14.3
3Pt-FG
13.9
39.1
3Pt-FGA
38.6
.367
3Pt%
.361
29.4
2Pt-FG
25.8
53.2
2Pt-FGA
48.2
.552
2Pt%
.536
19.1
FT
16.9
24.0
FTA
21.3
.796
FT%
.793
12.2
ORB
9.7
35.4
DRB
34.0
47.6
TRB
43.7
28.7
AST
26.3
9.3
STL
7.8
5.4
BLK
3.8
13.5
TOV
13.8
18.7
PF
15.7
120.8
PTS
110.3

Offense/Defense

WAS
Four Factors
MIA
.513
eFG%
.541
14.1
TOV%
12.3
23.0
RB%
75.5
.181
FT/FGA
.157

Defense/Offense

WAS
Four Factors
MIA
.551
eFG%
.538
11.6
TOV%
12.5
73.1
RB%
22.1
.206
FT/FGA
.194

Offense/Defense

WAS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
59
Games
59
38.9
FG
42.5
88.3
FGA
91.5
.441
FG%
.464
12.7
3Pt-FG
14.1
38.2
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.334
3Pt%
.359
26.1
2Pt-FG
28.3
50.1
2Pt-FGA
52.2
.522
2Pt%
.543
16.0
FT
14.3
20.5
FTA
18.3
.779
FT%
.782
10.4
ORB
11.3
32.7
DRB
34.9
43.1
TRB
46.2
24.8
AST
27.6
7.4
STL
7.6
5.0
BLK
4.9
15.9
TOV
13.9
20.1
PF
18.0
106.5
PTS
113.4

Defense/Offense

WAS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
59
Games
59
43.0
FG
40.7
90.8
FGA
88.7
.473
FG%
.458
14.1
3Pt-FG
14.2
38.5
3Pt-FGA
39.4
.367
3Pt%
.361
28.9
2Pt-FG
26.4
52.3
2Pt-FGA
49.3
.552
2Pt%
.536
18.7
FT
17.2
23.6
FTA
21.7
.796
FT%
.793
12.0
ORB
9.9
34.8
DRB
34.8
46.8
TRB
44.7
28.2
AST
26.9
9.2
STL
8.0
5.3
BLK
3.9
13.3
TOV
14.1
18.4
PF
16.1
118.8
PTS
112.8

WAS
Analytics
MIA
11
Pythag Wins
28
48
Pythag Losses
31
-12.46
Margin Of Victory
-0.56
106.5
O Rtg
112.8
118.8
D Rtg
113.4
101.4
Pace
96.3
.233
FTr
.245
.432
3PAr
.444
.547
TS%
.574

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
WAS MIA
WAS MIA
Consensus
+12.5 (-109)
-12.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-109)
-8.5 (-111)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
+12.5 (-108)
-12.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-108)
-8.5 (-112)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+12.0 (-110)
-12.0 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+10.5 (-107)
-10.5 (-107)
+8.5 (-107)
-8.5 (-114)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-105)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
WAS MIA
WAS MIA
Consensus
+500
-750
+285
-354
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
+525
-750
+285
-360
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+450
-600
+295
-370
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+375
-500
+275
-345
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+500
-700
+275
-350
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+375
-500
+280
-350
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-111)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
218.5 (-108)
218.5 (-112)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
222.0 (-109)
222.0 (-112)
218.5 (-109)
218.5 (-112)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
219.5 (-115)
219.5 (-105)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
WAS
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
MIA
2-1-0
Win/Loss/Tie
2-1-0
2-1-0
ATS W/L/P
3-0-0
113.67
Avg Score
122.67
109.33
Avg Opp Score
115
2-3-0
Win/Loss/Tie
2-3-0
3-2-0
ATS W/L/P
3-2-0
106.4
Avg Score
113.4
108.4
Avg Opp Score
112.6
3-7-0
Win/Loss/Tie
3-7-0
7-3-0
ATS W/L/P
4-5-1
113.7
Avg Score
107.2
116.8
Avg Opp Score
111.2
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
11/02/24
MIA
224.5
-454
31
WAS
10.0
+353
21
03/31/24
MIA
213.5
-661
29
WAS
11.0
+472
29
03/10/24
WAS
228.5
+457
25
MIA
-11.5
-635
27
02/02/24
MIA
228.5
-332
31
WAS
8.0
+259
33
11/03/23
WAS
224.5
+306
34
MIA
-8.5
-392
34
04/07/23
MIA
217.0
-172
23
WAS
3.5
+144
26
11/25/22
WAS
212.5
+121
38
MIA
-3.0
-145
28
11/23/22
WAS
208.0
+158
26
MIA
-5.0
-193
28
11/18/22
MIA
216.5
+241
31
WAS
-7.5
-302
33
02/07/22
MIA
207.0
-286
39
WAS
7.0
+230
24

Washington Wizards

03/01/25
WAS
92.9
+59
4
CHA
-1.7
-70
10
02/26/25
POR
228.3
-231
33
WAS
5.8
+191
27
02/24/25
BKN
199.5
-135
18
WAS
2.5
+114
27
02/23/25
WAS
86.2
+230
12
ORL
-5.4
-333
11
02/21/25
MIL
76.8
-69
2
WAS
0.6
+58
11
02/10/25
SA
347.0
-853
58
WAS
16.8
+630
44
02/08/25
ATL
385.2
-431
42
WAS
11.3
+359
48
02/07/25
CLE
134.6
-994
20
WAS
5.5
+544
19
02/05/25
WAS
107.2
+87
16
BKN
-2.7
-103
13
02/03/25
WAS
150.6
+110
22
CHA
-3.1
-131
20

Miami Heat

02/28/25
IND
294.6
-199
46
MIA
5.2
+167
38
02/26/25
ATL
225.4
+123
27
MIA
-2.9
-146
28
02/24/25
MIA
211.8
+102
20
ATL
-1.8
-121
21
02/23/25
MIA
88.4
+60
15
MIL
-1.8
-72
4
02/13/25
MIA
176.6
-119
18
DAL
2.0
+101
17
02/12/25
MIA
340.0
+892
53
OKC
-21.4
-1302
35
02/10/25
BOS
309.0
-473
26
MIA
12.4
+383
35
02/07/25
MIA
117.7
-112
15
BKN
1.6
+95
16
02/05/25
MIA
109.1
+54
14
PHI
-1.0
-64
12
02/04/25
MIA
276.7
-194
45
CHI
5.1
+163
39

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