Washington Wizards

Washington Wizards

Mar 3, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Pick – 3/3/2025


On March 3, 2025, the Washington Wizards (11-48) will face off against the Miami Heat (28-31) in a matchup that carries significant divisional rivalry implications. Scheduled for 7:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center, this game promises to be an intriguing contest, particularly as both teams seek motivation to secure a win.

The Miami Heat enter this game as heavy favorites, with a current spread of Heat -9.0 and a moneyline of -380, giving them an implied win probability of 76%. However, the Heat are coming off a back-to-back situation, having played just a day earlier, which could hinder their performance due to fatigue. In their last outing, the Heat fell to the New York Knicks, losing 116-112, marking their 7th loss in the last 10 games.

On the other hand, the Wizards will look to build on their recent upset victory over the Charlotte Hornets, where they won 113-100 despite entering as 4.0-point underdogs with only a 39% chance of winning. While the Wizards have struggled overall, losing 41 of their last 50 games, this recent win could provide a much-needed confidence boost.

For those interested in player prop markets, Tyler Herro’s Points and Rebounds have emerged as a popular betting option. The prop total opened at Under 32.5 Points and Rebounds (-115) and has since moved to Under 31.5 (-110), indicating sharp bettors are leaning towards the under.


Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Washington Wizards 104.52 vs Miami Heat 126.8


Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Wizards24%5%
Heat76%95%

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+8.5/-112
47% WAS
-8.5/-108
53% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+283
10% WAS
-354
90% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

217.0/-108
16% UN
217.0/-112
84% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

WAS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
39.4
FG
41.3
89.9
FGA
88.6
.439
FG%
.466
13.1
3Pt-FG
13.6
39.1
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.335
3Pt%
.360
26.3
2Pt-FG
27.6
50.7
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.519
2Pt%
.545
16.0
FT
13.9
20.6
FTA
17.9
.778
FT%
.776
10.6
ORB
10.7
33.1
DRB
33.9
43.7
TRB
44.7
25.1
AST
26.5
7.6
STL
7.5
5.1
BLK
4.7
15.6
TOV
13.8
19.7
PF
17.0
108.0
PTS
110.0

Defense/Offense

WAS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
43.7
FG
40.5
92.8
FGA
87.0
.471
FG%
.465
14.3
3Pt-FG
13.7
39.2
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.364
3Pt%
.367
29.4
2Pt-FG
26.8
53.6
2Pt-FGA
49.7
.549
2Pt%
.538
18.8
FT
16.0
23.7
FTA
20.2
.793
FT%
.791
12.9
ORB
9.7
36.0
DRB
33.7
48.9
TRB
43.4
28.5
AST
26.4
9.1
STL
8.1
5.2
BLK
3.8
13.3
TOV
13.6
18.2
PF
15.5
120.4
PTS
110.6

Offense/Defense

WAS
Four Factors
MIA
.512
eFG%
.543
13.6
TOV%
12.5
22.7
RB%
75.8
.178
FT/FGA
.157

Defense/Offense

WAS
Four Factors
MIA
.548
eFG%
.544
11.4
TOV%
12.4
71.9
RB%
22.3
.202
FT/FGA
.183

Offense/Defense

WAS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
39.0
FG
42.3
88.9
FGA
90.9
.439
FG%
.466
13.0
3Pt-FG
14.0
38.7
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.335
3Pt%
.360
26.0
2Pt-FG
28.3
50.2
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.519
2Pt%
.545
15.9
FT
14.3
20.4
FTA
18.4
.778
FT%
.776
10.5
ORB
11.0
32.7
DRB
34.8
43.2
TRB
45.8
24.8
AST
27.2
7.5
STL
7.7
5.1
BLK
4.8
15.4
TOV
14.2
19.5
PF
17.4
106.8
PTS
112.9

Defense/Offense

WAS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
43.2
FG
41.5
91.8
FGA
89.3
.471
FG%
.465
14.1
3Pt-FG
14.1
38.7
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.364
3Pt%
.367
29.1
2Pt-FG
27.5
53.0
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.549
2Pt%
.538
18.6
FT
16.4
23.4
FTA
20.7
.793
FT%
.791
12.8
ORB
10.0
35.6
DRB
34.5
48.3
TRB
44.5
28.1
AST
27.1
9.0
STL
8.4
5.2
BLK
3.9
13.2
TOV
13.9
18.0
PF
16.0
119.1
PTS
113.5

WAS
Analytics
MIA
15
Pythag Wins
42
67
Pythag Losses
40
-12.44
Margin Of Victory
0.56
106.8
O Rtg
113.5
119.1
D Rtg
112.9
100.9
Pace
96.2
.229
FTr
.232
.435
3PAr
.429
.546
TS%
.576

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
WAS MIA
WAS MIA
Consensus
+12.5 (-111)
-12.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-111)
-8.5 (-107)
+12.5 (-112)
-12.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-112)
-8.5 (-108)
+12.0 (-106)
-12.0 (-110)
+8.0 (-106)
-8.0 (-114)
+10.5 (-115)
-10.5 (-107)
+9.0 (-115)
-9.0 (-106)
+12.5 (-105)
-12.5 (-110)
+8.0 (-105)
-8.0 (-115)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-105)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
WAS MIA
WAS MIA
Consensus
+500
-750
+283
-354
+525
-750
+285
-360
+450
-600
+290
-360
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
217.0 (-110)
217.0 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
217.5 (-112)
217.5 (-108)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
217.0 (-110)
217.0 (-110)
222.0 (-109)
222.0 (-112)
218.0 (-112)
218.0 (-109)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
217.0 (-110)
217.0 (-110)
219.5 (-115)
219.5 (-105)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)

Related Articles