Toronto Raptors

Toronto Raptors

Nov 4, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Toronto Raptors at Denver Nuggets Pick For 11/4/2024

  • Date: November 4, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Betting Odds

Spread: Toronto Raptors 10.5 (-110), Denver Nuggets -10.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 231.5
Moneyline: Toronto Raptors 420, Denver Nuggets -530

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Toronto Raptors - 19% Toronto Raptors - 20%
Denver Nuggets - 81% Denver Nuggets - 80%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

As the Toronto Raptors (2-5) face off against the Denver Nuggets (3-3) on Monday night at Ball Arena, there’s more than just pride on the line. Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET, and the stakes are high for both teams, especially in terms of betting.

Denver enters the game as a massive favorite. Currently, the spread stands at Nuggets -10.5, reflecting their recent success, having secured victories in three of their last four games. Meanwhile, the Raptors struggled, dropping four of their last five, but are coming off a surprising 131-128 win over the Sacramento Kings. Their upset against Sacramento, where they defied a 9.5-point underdog status, indicates they can surprise even the most confident bettors.

The moneyline paints a stark picture of expectations. With the Nuggets at -530 and the Raptors at +420, Denver holds an implied win probability of 81%, compared to Toronto’s 19%. Despite the odds, the Raptors' recent unexpected victory provides a glimmer of hope for those considering a wager on a possible repeat performance.

Another intriguing aspect for bettors revolves around player props, particularly Davion Mitchell’s Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA). This market has attracted significant attention, with sharp bettors eyeing the Under at 18.5 PRA (-125). Many believe there’s value here, suggesting potential mispricing.

As the game approaches, fans and bettors alike will be keen to see if the Raptors can replicate their surprise victory or if the Nuggets will continue their strong form at home. With Denver positioned as favorites, the narrative sets the stage for an exciting matchup under the bright lights of Ball Arena.

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Toronto Raptors 106.48 vs Denver Nuggets 117.05

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+11.0/-112
64% TOR
-11.0/-108
36% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+397
3% TOR
-526
97% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

231.0/-112
9% UN
231.0/-108
91% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

TOR
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
12
Games
10
42.3
FG
44.1
92.3
FGA
93.5
.458
FG%
.472
10.6
3Pt-FG
14.0
31.8
3Pt-FGA
39.5
.332
3Pt%
.354
31.8
2Pt-FG
30.1
60.5
2Pt-FGA
54.0
.525
2Pt%
.557
17.5
FT
15.8
23.3
FTA
20.3
.753
FT%
.778
13.8
ORB
11.1
30.9
DRB
31.7
44.7
TRB
42.8
28.9
AST
30.7
8.4
STL
8.4
5.1
BLK
6.3
16.8
TOV
14.6
24.4
PF
23.3
112.8
PTS
118.0

Defense/Offense

TOR
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
12
Games
10
41.9
FG
43.0
87.8
FGA
90.3
.478
FG%
.476
12.1
3Pt-FG
12.8
34.8
3Pt-FGA
31.7
.347
3Pt%
.404
29.8
2Pt-FG
30.2
52.9
2Pt-FGA
58.6
.564
2Pt%
.515
24.8
FT
22.1
31.3
FTA
28.3
.795
FT%
.781
11.5
ORB
13.3
30.6
DRB
33.7
42.1
TRB
47.0
26.3
AST
30.7
9.5
STL
8.6
6.7
BLK
5.0
13.8
TOV
14.3
20.0
PF
19.1
120.8
PTS
120.9

Offense/Defense

TOR
Four Factors
DEN
.516
eFG%
.547
14.0
TOV%
12.5
31.0
RB%
75.2
.190
FT/FGA
.169

Defense/Offense

TOR
Four Factors
DEN
.547
eFG%
.547
11.9
TOV%
12.2
72.9
RB%
29.6
.283
FT/FGA
.245

Offense/Defense

TOR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
12
Games
10
41.8
FG
43.2
91.2
FGA
91.6
.458
FG%
.472
10.5
3Pt-FG
13.7
31.4
3Pt-FGA
38.7
.332
3Pt%
.354
31.4
2Pt-FG
29.5
59.8
2Pt-FGA
52.9
.525
2Pt%
.557
17.3
FT
15.5
23.0
FTA
19.9
.753
FT%
.778
13.6
ORB
10.9
30.5
DRB
31.1
44.1
TRB
41.9
28.6
AST
30.1
8.3
STL
8.2
5.0
BLK
6.2
16.5
TOV
14.3
24.1
PF
22.8
111.4
PTS
115.6

Defense/Offense

TOR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
12
Games
10
41.4
FG
42.1
86.7
FGA
88.5
.478
FG%
.476
11.9
3Pt-FG
12.5
34.4
3Pt-FGA
31.1
.347
3Pt%
.404
29.5
2Pt-FG
29.6
52.3
2Pt-FGA
57.4
.564
2Pt%
.515
24.5
FT
21.7
30.9
FTA
27.7
.795
FT%
.781
11.4
ORB
13.0
30.2
DRB
33.0
41.6
TRB
46.1
25.9
AST
30.1
9.4
STL
8.4
6.6
BLK
4.9
13.6
TOV
14.0
19.8
PF
18.7
119.3
PTS
118.5

TOR
Analytics
DEN
3
Pythag Wins
6
9
Pythag Losses
4
-8.00
Margin Of Victory
2.90
111.4
O Rtg
118.5
119.3
D Rtg
115.6
99.5
Pace
100.0
.252
FTr
.313
.345
3PAr
.351
.550
TS%
.588

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
TOR DEN
TOR DEN
Consensus
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+11.0 (-110)
-11.0 (-109)
+8.5 (-112)
-8.5 (-110)
+11.0 (-112)
-11.0 (-108)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+11.0 (-110)
-11.0 (-110)
+8.5 (-114)
-8.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-114)
-10.5 (-107)
+8.5 (-105)
-8.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-105)
-10.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
TOR DEN
TOR DEN
Consensus
+330
-435
+397
-526
+320
-410
+410
-550
+285
-355
+410
-550
+295
-375
+380
-500
+310
-400
+400
-550
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
231.0 (-109)
231.0 (-112)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
232.0 (-108)
232.0 (-112)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
225.5 (-113)
225.5 (-108)
233.0 (-112)
233.0 (-109)
228.5 (-105)
228.5 (-115)
231.5 (-115)
231.5 (-105)