Toronto Raptors

Toronto Raptors

Nov 4, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Toronto Raptors at Denver Nuggets Pick For 11/4/2024

  • Date: November 4, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Betting Odds

Spread: Toronto Raptors 10.5 (-110), Denver Nuggets -10.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 231.5
Moneyline: Toronto Raptors 420, Denver Nuggets -530

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Toronto Raptors - 19% Toronto Raptors - 20%
Denver Nuggets - 81% Denver Nuggets - 80%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

As the Toronto Raptors (2-5) face off against the Denver Nuggets (3-3) on Monday night at Ball Arena, there’s more than just pride on the line. Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET, and the stakes are high for both teams, especially in terms of betting.

Denver enters the game as a massive favorite. Currently, the spread stands at Nuggets -10.5, reflecting their recent success, having secured victories in three of their last four games. Meanwhile, the Raptors struggled, dropping four of their last five, but are coming off a surprising 131-128 win over the Sacramento Kings. Their upset against Sacramento, where they defied a 9.5-point underdog status, indicates they can surprise even the most confident bettors.

The moneyline paints a stark picture of expectations. With the Nuggets at -530 and the Raptors at +420, Denver holds an implied win probability of 81%, compared to Toronto’s 19%. Despite the odds, the Raptors' recent unexpected victory provides a glimmer of hope for those considering a wager on a possible repeat performance.

Another intriguing aspect for bettors revolves around player props, particularly Davion Mitchell’s Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA). This market has attracted significant attention, with sharp bettors eyeing the Under at 18.5 PRA (-125). Many believe there’s value here, suggesting potential mispricing.

As the game approaches, fans and bettors alike will be keen to see if the Raptors can replicate their surprise victory or if the Nuggets will continue their strong form at home. With Denver positioned as favorites, the narrative sets the stage for an exciting matchup under the bright lights of Ball Arena.

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Toronto Raptors 106.48 vs Denver Nuggets 117.05

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+11.0/-112
64% TOR
-11.0/-108
36% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+397
3% TOR
-526
97% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

231.0/-112
9% UN
231.0/-108
91% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

TOR
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
56
Games
56
41.6
FG
43.1
89.5
FGA
93.4
.465
FG%
.462
11.5
3Pt-FG
13.9
32.9
3Pt-FGA
38.6
.350
3Pt%
.360
30.1
2Pt-FG
29.2
56.5
2Pt-FGA
54.8
.533
2Pt%
.533
15.8
FT
15.7
21.1
FTA
20.2
.748
FT%
.778
11.6
ORB
11.8
32.2
DRB
30.5
43.8
TRB
42.3
28.6
AST
29.3
7.8
STL
8.7
4.6
BLK
5.2
15.5
TOV
13.3
21.6
PF
19.0
110.6
PTS
115.8

Defense/Offense

TOR
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
56
Games
56
41.5
FG
45.9
88.3
FGA
90.1
.470
FG%
.509
13.5
3Pt-FG
12.0
37.8
3Pt-FGA
31.4
.357
3Pt%
.380
27.9
2Pt-FG
33.9
50.4
2Pt-FGA
58.6
.554
2Pt%
.578
20.1
FT
17.9
26.0
FTA
23.1
.773
FT%
.777
11.7
ORB
11.3
32.9
DRB
34.7
44.6
TRB
45.9
26.1
AST
31.3
9.3
STL
8.3
5.7
BLK
4.8
14.5
TOV
14.1
18.5
PF
17.5
116.6
PTS
121.7

Offense/Defense

TOR
Four Factors
DEN
.530
eFG%
.536
13.6
TOV%
11.5
26.1
RB%
74.6
.176
FT/FGA
.168

Defense/Offense

TOR
Four Factors
DEN
.546
eFG%
.576
12.7
TOV%
12.4
73.4
RB%
27.0
.228
FT/FGA
.199

Offense/Defense

TOR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
56
Games
56
41.7
FG
42.7
89.5
FGA
92.5
.465
FG%
.462
11.5
3Pt-FG
13.8
33.0
3Pt-FGA
38.2
.350
3Pt%
.360
30.1
2Pt-FG
29.0
56.6
2Pt-FGA
54.3
.533
2Pt%
.533
15.8
FT
15.6
21.1
FTA
20.0
.748
FT%
.778
11.6
ORB
11.7
32.2
DRB
30.2
43.9
TRB
41.9
28.6
AST
29.0
7.8
STL
8.6
4.6
BLK
5.2
15.5
TOV
13.2
21.6
PF
18.9
110.6
PTS
114.8

Defense/Offense

TOR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
56
Games
56
41.5
FG
45.5
88.3
FGA
89.3
.470
FG%
.509
13.5
3Pt-FG
11.9
37.9
3Pt-FGA
31.2
.357
3Pt%
.380
28.0
2Pt-FG
33.6
50.5
2Pt-FGA
58.1
.554
2Pt%
.578
20.1
FT
17.8
26.1
FTA
22.9
.773
FT%
.777
11.7
ORB
11.2
32.9
DRB
34.4
44.6
TRB
45.5
26.1
AST
31.0
9.3
STL
8.2
5.7
BLK
4.7
14.5
TOV
14.0
18.5
PF
17.4
116.6
PTS
120.6

TOR
Analytics
DEN
18
Pythag Wins
37
38
Pythag Losses
19
-6.00
Margin Of Victory
5.82
110.6
O Rtg
120.6
116.6
D Rtg
114.8
99.2
Pace
100.1
.235
FTr
.257
.368
3PAr
.349
.560
TS%
.607

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
TOR DEN
TOR DEN
Consensus
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+11.0 (-110)
-11.0 (-109)
+8.5 (-112)
-8.5 (-110)
+11.0 (-112)
-11.0 (-108)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+11.0 (-110)
-11.0 (-110)
+8.5 (-114)
-8.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-114)
-10.5 (-107)
+8.5 (-105)
-8.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-105)
-10.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
TOR DEN
TOR DEN
Consensus
+330
-435
+397
-526
+320
-410
+410
-550
+285
-355
+410
-550
+295
-375
+380
-500
+310
-400
+400
-550
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
231.0 (-109)
231.0 (-112)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
232.0 (-108)
232.0 (-112)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
225.5 (-113)
225.5 (-108)
233.0 (-112)
233.0 (-109)
228.5 (-105)
228.5 (-115)
231.5 (-115)
231.5 (-105)

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