San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio Spurs

Mar 9, 2025

Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Pick – 3/9/2025


On March 9, 2025, the San Antonio Spurs (26-35) will face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (36-29) in a Sunday Night matchup set to tip off at 8:00 PM ET at Target Center. The Timberwolves enter this contest as significant favorites, boasting a -10.5 spread and a moneyline of -460, while the Spurs sit at +370 on the moneyline, reflecting an implied win probability of just 21%. In stark contrast, the Timberwolves are riding high with a 79% implied win probability, fueled by a four-game winning streak.

San Antonio has struggled recently, losing 25 of their last 40 games, including a tough 127-109 defeat to the Sacramento Kings in their last outing. Meanwhile, Minnesota managed a nail-biting 106-104 victory over the Miami Heat, showcasing their ability to close out tight games.

For those interested in player prop bets, attention should be directed toward Julius Randle's points and assists, which have emerged as the most popular betting market for this game. Initial prop totals opened at Over 24.5 Points and Assists (-120) before moving to 25.5 (-115), indicating sharp bettors are leaning towards the over.

With the Timberwolves in strong form and the Spurs struggling to find their rhythm, this matchup could provide an intriguing opportunity for bettors looking for value. The contrasting trends of the two teams suggest that Minnesota is poised to capitalize on their home advantage, making them a team to watch in this matchup.


San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

Predicted Final Score: San Antonio Spurs 111.28 vs Minnesota Timberwolves 119.21


San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Spurs20%27%
Timberwolves80%73%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+11.0/-112
48% SA
-11.0/-108
52% MIN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+404
6% SA
-531
94% MIN

Total Pick Consensus

232.5/-110
39% UN
232.5/-110
61% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

SA
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
82
Games
82
41.8
FG
40.5
89.8
FGA
88.0
.465
FG%
.460
14.1
3Pt-FG
12.7
39.6
3Pt-FGA
36.0
.357
3Pt%
.353
27.7
2Pt-FG
27.8
50.2
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.551
2Pt%
.534
16.2
FT
15.7
21.0
FTA
20.4
.774
FT%
.767
10.9
ORB
11.0
32.7
DRB
31.8
43.7
TRB
42.9
28.6
AST
24.8
8.2
STL
8.4
5.5
BLK
4.5
13.9
TOV
14.7
16.6
PF
19.2
113.9
PTS
109.3

Defense/Offense

SA
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
82
Games
82
43.8
FG
41.0
92.5
FGA
87.6
.474
FG%
.468
14.4
3Pt-FG
15.0
39.3
3Pt-FGA
39.9
.365
3Pt%
.377
29.5
2Pt-FG
26.0
53.2
2Pt-FGA
47.7
.554
2Pt%
.545
14.6
FT
17.2
18.5
FTA
21.8
.790
FT%
.789
12.1
ORB
11.1
34.1
DRB
33.2
46.2
TRB
44.3
28.0
AST
26.1
8.1
STL
8.0
4.3
BLK
5.0
13.7
TOV
14.5
17.4
PF
18.3
116.7
PTS
114.3

Offense/Defense

SA
Four Factors
MIN
.544
eFG%
.532
12.3
TOV%
13.2
24.3
RB%
75.1
.181
FT/FGA
.178

Defense/Offense

SA
Four Factors
MIN
.551
eFG%
.554
12.0
TOV%
13.0
73.0
RB%
25.8
.158
FT/FGA
.196

Offense/Defense

SA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
82
Games
82
42.0
FG
41.3
90.2
FGA
89.7
.465
FG%
.460
14.2
3Pt-FG
12.9
39.8
3Pt-FGA
36.7
.357
3Pt%
.353
27.8
2Pt-FG
28.3
50.4
2Pt-FGA
53.0
.551
2Pt%
.534
16.3
FT
16.0
21.1
FTA
20.8
.774
FT%
.767
11.0
ORB
11.3
32.9
DRB
32.5
43.9
TRB
43.7
28.8
AST
25.3
8.3
STL
8.5
5.6
BLK
4.6
13.9
TOV
15.0
16.7
PF
19.5
114.4
PTS
111.5

Defense/Offense

SA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
82
Games
82
44.0
FG
41.8
92.9
FGA
89.3
.474
FG%
.468
14.4
3Pt-FG
15.3
39.5
3Pt-FGA
40.7
.365
3Pt%
.377
29.6
2Pt-FG
26.5
53.4
2Pt-FGA
48.7
.554
2Pt%
.545
14.7
FT
17.6
18.6
FTA
22.3
.790
FT%
.789
12.1
ORB
11.3
34.2
DRB
33.9
46.4
TRB
45.2
28.1
AST
26.6
8.1
STL
8.1
4.4
BLK
5.1
13.7
TOV
14.8
17.5
PF
18.6
117.2
PTS
116.6

SA
Analytics
MIN
34
Pythag Wins
53
48
Pythag Losses
29
-2.76
Margin Of Victory
5.00
114.4
O Rtg
116.6
117.2
D Rtg
111.5
99.3
Pace
97.3
.234
FTr
.249
.441
3PAr
.455
.575
TS%
.588

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
SA MIN
SA MIN
Consensus
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
+11.0 (-110)
-11.0 (-107)
+9.5 (-112)
-9.5 (-110)
+11.0 (-112)
-11.0 (-108)
+9.0 (-108)
-9.0 (-110)
+11.0 (-108)
-11.0 (-112)
+10.0 (-110)
-10.0 (-112)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.0 (-115)
-10.0 (-110)
+11.0 (-115)
-11.0 (-105)
+9.5 (-105)
-9.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-105)
-10.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
SA MIN
SA MIN
Consensus
+330
-425
+404
-531
+330
-425
+410
-550
+300
-375
+420
-560
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
232.5 (-108)
232.5 (-111)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
232.5 (-106)
232.5 (-114)
229.0 (-113)
229.0 (-108)
233.0 (-113)
233.0 (-108)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
232.0 (-105)
232.0 (-115)
228.5 (-115)
228.5 (-105)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)

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Home NBA Picks San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Pick – 3/9/2025