San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio Spurs

Mar 9, 2025

Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Pick – 3/9/2025


On March 9, 2025, the San Antonio Spurs (26-35) will face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (36-29) in a Sunday Night matchup set to tip off at 8:00 PM ET at Target Center. The Timberwolves enter this contest as significant favorites, boasting a -10.5 spread and a moneyline of -460, while the Spurs sit at +370 on the moneyline, reflecting an implied win probability of just 21%. In stark contrast, the Timberwolves are riding high with a 79% implied win probability, fueled by a four-game winning streak.

San Antonio has struggled recently, losing 25 of their last 40 games, including a tough 127-109 defeat to the Sacramento Kings in their last outing. Meanwhile, Minnesota managed a nail-biting 106-104 victory over the Miami Heat, showcasing their ability to close out tight games.

For those interested in player prop bets, attention should be directed toward Julius Randle's points and assists, which have emerged as the most popular betting market for this game. Initial prop totals opened at Over 24.5 Points and Assists (-120) before moving to 25.5 (-115), indicating sharp bettors are leaning towards the over.

With the Timberwolves in strong form and the Spurs struggling to find their rhythm, this matchup could provide an intriguing opportunity for bettors looking for value. The contrasting trends of the two teams suggest that Minnesota is poised to capitalize on their home advantage, making them a team to watch in this matchup.


San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

Predicted Final Score: San Antonio Spurs 111.28 vs Minnesota Timberwolves 119.21


San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Spurs20%27%
Timberwolves80%73%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+11.5/-112
50% SA
DraftKings
-11.5/-108
50% MIN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+410
6% SA
BetMGM
-550
94% MIN

Total Pick Consensus

234.0/-112
33% UN
BetMGM
234.0/-108
67% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

SA
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
61
Games
65
41.5
FG
40.3
89.9
FGA
88.0
.462
FG%
.458
13.8
3Pt-FG
12.6
39.6
3Pt-FGA
36.2
.349
3Pt%
.348
27.7
2Pt-FG
27.7
50.2
2Pt-FGA
51.8
.551
2Pt%
.534
16.3
FT
15.8
21.1
FTA
20.4
.774
FT%
.773
10.9
ORB
11.3
33.4
DRB
32.5
44.3
TRB
43.7
29.1
AST
24.6
8.1
STL
8.7
6.2
BLK
4.7
14.0
TOV
14.8
16.5
PF
19.1
113.2
PTS
109.0

Defense/Offense

SA
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
61
Games
65
43.6
FG
40.1
93.3
FGA
87.1
.467
FG%
.460
13.7
3Pt-FG
15.1
38.5
3Pt-FGA
40.0
.356
3Pt%
.377
29.9
2Pt-FG
25.0
54.7
2Pt-FGA
47.2
.546
2Pt%
.531
14.5
FT
17.1
18.4
FTA
21.6
.787
FT%
.794
12.5
ORB
10.9
34.2
DRB
33.0
46.7
TRB
43.9
26.9
AST
25.6
8.2
STL
8.1
4.5
BLK
4.9
13.4
TOV
14.6
17.9
PF
18.1
115.4
PTS
112.4

Offense/Defense

SA
Four Factors
MIN
.539
eFG%
.530
12.4
TOV%
13.2
24.2
RB%
74.6
.182
FT/FGA
.179

Defense/Offense

SA
Four Factors
MIN
.541
eFG%
.547
11.7
TOV%
13.1
72.8
RB%
25.1
.155
FT/FGA
.196

Offense/Defense

SA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
61
Games
65
41.7
FG
41.2
90.1
FGA
90.0
.462
FG%
.458
13.9
3Pt-FG
12.9
39.7
3Pt-FGA
37.1
.349
3Pt%
.348
27.8
2Pt-FG
28.3
50.4
2Pt-FGA
52.9
.551
2Pt%
.534
16.4
FT
16.1
21.1
FTA
20.9
.774
FT%
.773
10.9
ORB
11.5
33.5
DRB
33.2
44.5
TRB
44.7
29.2
AST
25.1
8.2
STL
8.9
6.2
BLK
4.8
14.0
TOV
15.1
16.5
PF
19.5
113.6
PTS
111.4

Defense/Offense

SA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
61
Games
65
43.7
FG
41.0
93.6
FGA
89.1
.467
FG%
.460
13.8
3Pt-FG
15.4
38.7
3Pt-FGA
40.8
.356
3Pt%
.377
30.0
2Pt-FG
25.6
54.9
2Pt-FGA
48.2
.546
2Pt%
.531
14.5
FT
17.5
18.4
FTA
22.0
.787
FT%
.794
12.5
ORB
11.2
34.3
DRB
33.7
46.8
TRB
44.9
27.0
AST
26.1
8.2
STL
8.3
4.6
BLK
5.0
13.5
TOV
14.9
17.9
PF
18.5
115.7
PTS
114.9

SA
Analytics
MIN
26
Pythag Wins
39
35
Pythag Losses
26
-2.18
Margin Of Victory
3.38
113.6
O Rtg
114.9
115.7
D Rtg
111.4
99.4
Pace
97.4
.234
FTr
.247
.441
3PAr
.459
.571
TS%
.582

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
SA MIN
SA MIN
Consensus
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-109)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
+9.5 (-112)
-9.5 (-110)
+11.5 (-112)
-11.5 (-108)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+9.0 (-112)
-9.0 (-110)
+11.5 (-112)
-11.5 (-108)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+10.0 (-114)
-10.0 (-112)
+11.5 (-114)
-11.5 (-107)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+10.0 (-110)
-10.0 (-110)
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
SA MIN
SA MIN
Consensus
+330
-425
+427
-579
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
+330
-425
+410
-550
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+300
-375
+410
-550
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+350
-455
+420
-560
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+345
-455
+430
-600
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+340
-450
+425
-600
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-111)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
234.0 (-108)
234.0 (-112)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
233.5 (-106)
233.5 (-114)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
229.0 (-113)
229.0 (-108)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
233.0 (-110)
233.0 (-110)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
228.5 (-115)
228.5 (-105)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
SA
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
MIN
1-2-0
Win/Loss/Tie
3-0-0
1-2-0
ATS W/L/P
2-1-0
122.67
Avg Score
119
128.67
Avg Opp Score
108.67
2-3-0
Win/Loss/Tie
4-1-0
2-3-0
ATS W/L/P
3-2-0
120.8
Avg Score
117.8
126.4
Avg Opp Score
108.2
3-7-0
Win/Loss/Tie
6-4-0
3-7-0
ATS W/L/P
6-4-0
113.6
Avg Score
117.6
120.5
Avg Opp Score
113.2
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
12/29/24
SA
216.5
+193
33
MIN
-6.0
-230
25
12/15/24
MIN
214.5
-189
28
SA
4.5
+158
19
11/02/24
MIN
214.5
-170
32
SA
4.0
+144
32
02/27/24
SA
222.0
+578
21
MIN
-12.5
-863
29
01/27/24
MIN
227.5
-515
36
SA
10.5
+384
23
12/06/23
SA
231.0
+532
22
MIN
-11.5
-770
25
11/10/23
MIN
225.0
-315
22
SA
7.5
+255
27
04/08/23
MIN
234.0
-1318
35
SA
15.0
+777
35
10/30/22
MIN
238.0
-227
23
SA
6.0
+186
26
10/26/22
SA
234.5
+334
28
MIN
-9.5
-428
39

San Antonio Spurs

03/07/25
SA
112.3
+99
13
SAC
-3.1
-119
5
03/04/25
BKN
305.7
+178
33
SA
-4.7
-208
41
03/02/25
OKC
269.5
-901
46
SA
14.7
+624
43
03/01/25
SA
100.4
+73
13
MEM
-2.3
-87
12
02/26/25
SA
223.4
+235
20
HOU
-6.9
-290
33
02/25/25
SA
406.7
+195
51
NO
-4.2
-233
27
02/23/25
SA
97.0
+44
12
NO
-0.8
-52
10
02/21/25
DET
78.3
-59
12
SA
0.5
+50
3
02/20/25
PHO
250.2
-146
22
SA
2.8
+124
33
02/12/25
SA
354.5
+373
29
BOS
-12.2
-454
57

Minnesota Timberwolves

03/07/25
MIN
104.9
-76
16
MIA
0.8
+65
12
03/05/25
MIN
124.1
-209
21
CHA
2.7
+165
15
03/04/25
PHI
297.0
+757
29
MIN
-17.3
-1099
32
03/02/25
MIN
263.9
-133
32
PHO
1.3
-114
38
02/28/25
MIN
299.8
-221
53
UTA
6.9
+187
50
02/27/25
MIN
60.8
+53
1
LAL
-1.6
-63
2
02/23/25
OKC
91.0
-146
14
MIN
1.4
+116
4
02/21/25
MIN
74.1
+48
13
HOU
-1.3
-57
16
02/13/25
OKC
185.5
-353
19
MIN
6.3
+278
30
02/12/25
MIL
333.9
+486
55
MIN
-13.8
-616
37

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