San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio Spurs

Nov 16, 2024

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Picks 11/16/2024

  • Date: November 16, 2024
  • Venue: American Airlines Center


Betting Odds

Spread:San Antonio Spurs 10.5 (-110), Dallas Mavericks -10.5 (-110)
Over/Under:228
Moneyline:San Antonio Spurs 420, Dallas Mavericks -530


San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
San Antonio Spurs - 19%San Antonio Spurs - 30%
Dallas Mavericks - 81%Dallas Mavericks - 70%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The San Antonio Spurs and the Dallas Mavericks are set to clash in a Saturday night showdown at the American Airlines Center, with tip-off scheduled for 8:30 PM ET. This matchup pits two Texas rivals against each other, adding an extra layer of intensity as both squads look to secure a critical divisional victory.

The Spurs come into this game on the back end of a back-to-back, having narrowly fallen to the Los Angeles Lakers, 120-115, just a day prior. This quick turnaround could pose a challenge for San Antonio, as the lack of rest may impact their performance. On the road, the Spurs have struggled recently, losing four of their last five away games. With a moneyline of +420, San Antonio enters the contest with an implied win probability of just 19%, highlighting the uphill battle they face.

On the other side, the Mavericks are looking to snap a four-game losing streak, with their most recent defeat being a close 115-113 loss to the Utah Jazz. Despite their recent cold streak, Dallas remains a heavy favorite at home, with a spread of -10.5 and a moneyline of -530, translating to an implied win probability of 81%.

For those interested in player props, Luka Doncic's scoring output has been a hot topic among bettors. The prop market for his points opened at 28.5 (-115) but has since moved to 29.5 (-110), suggesting that sharp bettors are leaning towards the over.

As both teams are eager to turn their fortunes around, this game promises to be a compelling battle, with the Mavericks looking to capitalize on their home-court advantage and the Spurs aiming to defy the odds.


San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Final Score: San Antonio Spurs 113.2 vs Dallas Mavericks 120.31

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+13.0/-105
73% SA
-13.0/-115
27% DAL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+558
6% SA
-802
94% DAL

Total Pick Consensus

229.0/-105
8% UN
229.0/-115
92% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

SA
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
28
Games
28
40.2
FG
41.0
88.1
FGA
90.5
.456
FG%
.452
13.8
3Pt-FG
13.3
39.7
3Pt-FGA
37.4
.346
3Pt%
.355
26.4
2Pt-FG
27.7
48.4
2Pt-FGA
53.1
.547
2Pt%
.521
17.7
FT
17.0
22.3
FTA
22.1
.792
FT%
.769
11.2
ORB
12.0
33.7
DRB
31.6
44.9
TRB
43.6
28.6
AST
27.1
7.8
STL
8.4
6.8
BLK
4.2
14.9
TOV
14.3
16.3
PF
19.1
111.8
PTS
112.2

Defense/Offense

SA
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
28
Games
28
42.3
FG
43.3
91.2
FGA
88.9
.463
FG%
.486
13.4
3Pt-FG
13.4
37.4
3Pt-FGA
35.5
.358
3Pt%
.378
28.9
2Pt-FG
29.8
53.9
2Pt-FGA
53.4
.536
2Pt%
.558
14.9
FT
18.4
18.6
FTA
23.9
.797
FT%
.770
11.4
ORB
11.3
33.1
DRB
34.3
44.5
TRB
45.6
25.7
AST
25.8
8.8
STL
8.5
4.6
BLK
5.5
14.1
TOV
14.3
19.0
PF
19.4
112.7
PTS
118.4

Offense/Defense

SA
Four Factors
DAL
.534
eFG%
.526
13.2
TOV%
12.4
25.3
RB%
74.2
.201
FT/FGA
.187

Defense/Offense

SA
Four Factors
DAL
.536
eFG%
.562
12.4
TOV%
12.6
74.7
RB%
26.3
.163
FT/FGA
.207

Offense/Defense

SA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
28
Games
28
40.5
FG
41.0
88.7
FGA
90.6
.456
FG%
.452
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.3
40.0
3Pt-FGA
37.5
.346
3Pt%
.355
26.6
2Pt-FG
27.7
48.7
2Pt-FGA
53.1
.547
2Pt%
.521
17.8
FT
17.0
22.5
FTA
22.1
.792
FT%
.769
11.3
ORB
12.0
33.9
DRB
31.6
45.2
TRB
43.6
28.8
AST
27.1
7.8
STL
8.4
6.8
BLK
4.2
15.0
TOV
14.3
16.4
PF
19.1
112.6
PTS
112.3

Defense/Offense

SA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
28
Games
28
42.6
FG
43.3
91.9
FGA
89.0
.463
FG%
.486
13.5
3Pt-FG
13.4
37.6
3Pt-FGA
35.5
.358
3Pt%
.378
29.1
2Pt-FG
29.8
54.3
2Pt-FGA
53.5
.536
2Pt%
.558
15.0
FT
18.4
18.8
FTA
23.9
.797
FT%
.770
11.5
ORB
11.3
33.4
DRB
34.3
44.8
TRB
45.6
25.9
AST
25.8
8.9
STL
8.5
4.7
BLK
5.5
14.2
TOV
14.3
19.2
PF
19.4
113.6
PTS
118.4

SA
Analytics
DAL
13
Pythag Wins
19
15
Pythag Losses
9
-0.93
Margin Of Victory
6.18
112.6
O Rtg
118.4
113.6
D Rtg
112.3
98.9
Pace
99.6
.253
FTr
.269
.451
3PAr
.399
.571
TS%
.595

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
SA DAL
SA DAL
Consensus
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-108)
-9.5 (-105)
+9.5 (-110)
+13.0 (-105)
-13.0 (-115)
+10.0 (-110)
-10.0 (-110)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
+10.0 (-110)
-10.0 (-113)
+13.0 (-110)
-13.0 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
SA DAL
SA DAL
Consensus
-450
+350
+558
-802
-470
+360
+575
-850
+385
-500
+570
-820
+370
-480
+500
-715
+400
-550
+650
-1000
+375
-500
+575
-900
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
229.0 (-109)
229.0 (-111)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
228.5 (-115)
228.5 (-105)
223.0 (-110)
223.0 (-110)
229.5 (-106)
229.5 (-114)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
229.0 (-108)
229.0 (-113)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
229.5 (-115)
229.5 (-105)
227.5 (-105)
227.5 (-115)
228.5 (-115)
228.5 (-105)