San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio Spurs

Nov 16, 2024

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Picks 11/16/2024

  • Date: November 16, 2024
  • Venue: American Airlines Center


Betting Odds

Spread:San Antonio Spurs 10.5 (-110), Dallas Mavericks -10.5 (-110)
Over/Under:228
Moneyline:San Antonio Spurs 420, Dallas Mavericks -530


San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
San Antonio Spurs - 19%San Antonio Spurs - 30%
Dallas Mavericks - 81%Dallas Mavericks - 70%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The San Antonio Spurs and the Dallas Mavericks are set to clash in a Saturday night showdown at the American Airlines Center, with tip-off scheduled for 8:30 PM ET. This matchup pits two Texas rivals against each other, adding an extra layer of intensity as both squads look to secure a critical divisional victory.

The Spurs come into this game on the back end of a back-to-back, having narrowly fallen to the Los Angeles Lakers, 120-115, just a day prior. This quick turnaround could pose a challenge for San Antonio, as the lack of rest may impact their performance. On the road, the Spurs have struggled recently, losing four of their last five away games. With a moneyline of +420, San Antonio enters the contest with an implied win probability of just 19%, highlighting the uphill battle they face.

On the other side, the Mavericks are looking to snap a four-game losing streak, with their most recent defeat being a close 115-113 loss to the Utah Jazz. Despite their recent cold streak, Dallas remains a heavy favorite at home, with a spread of -10.5 and a moneyline of -530, translating to an implied win probability of 81%.

For those interested in player props, Luka Doncic's scoring output has been a hot topic among bettors. The prop market for his points opened at 28.5 (-115) but has since moved to 29.5 (-110), suggesting that sharp bettors are leaning towards the over.

As both teams are eager to turn their fortunes around, this game promises to be a compelling battle, with the Mavericks looking to capitalize on their home-court advantage and the Spurs aiming to defy the odds.


San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Final Score: San Antonio Spurs 113.2 vs Dallas Mavericks 120.31

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+10.5/-108
74% SA
-10.5/-112
26% DAL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+390
5% SA
-520
95% DAL

Total Pick Consensus

229.5/-112
9% UN
229.5/-108
91% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

SA
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
13
Games
12
40.2
FG
40.4
85.6
FGA
88.3
.469
FG%
.458
14.0
3Pt-FG
12.7
39.1
3Pt-FGA
36.8
.358
3Pt%
.345
26.2
2Pt-FG
27.8
46.5
2Pt-FGA
51.6
.562
2Pt%
.538
15.9
FT
17.8
19.5
FTA
24.8
.815
FT%
.721
10.4
ORB
12.9
34.2
DRB
33.2
44.5
TRB
46.1
27.8
AST
26.9
7.5
STL
6.8
6.4
BLK
3.8
16.1
TOV
14.6
16.3
PF
18.3
110.2
PTS
111.3

Defense/Offense

SA
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
13
Games
12
41.0
FG
42.9
89.2
FGA
89.5
.459
FG%
.480
13.2
3Pt-FG
12.5
36.5
3Pt-FGA
36.5
.363
3Pt%
.342
27.8
2Pt-FG
30.4
52.8
2Pt-FGA
53.0
.526
2Pt%
.574
14.8
FT
15.9
19.4
FTA
20.8
.762
FT%
.764
11.1
ORB
10.6
30.8
DRB
32.1
41.9
TRB
42.7
23.6
AST
25.6
9.1
STL
7.8
4.2
BLK
4.8
14.0
TOV
12.7
18.0
PF
21.6
110.0
PTS
114.3

Offense/Defense

SA
Four Factors
DAL
.551
eFG%
.529
14.6
TOV%
12.8
25.2
RB%
71.3
.186
FT/FGA
.202

Defense/Offense

SA
Four Factors
DAL
.534
eFG%
.549
12.5
TOV%
11.4
75.5
RB%
24.2
.166
FT/FGA
.178

Offense/Defense

SA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
13
Games
12
41.1
FG
41.1
87.5
FGA
89.9
.469
FG%
.458
14.3
3Pt-FG
12.9
40.0
3Pt-FGA
37.4
.358
3Pt%
.345
26.7
2Pt-FG
28.2
47.6
2Pt-FGA
52.5
.562
2Pt%
.538
16.3
FT
18.1
20.0
FTA
25.2
.815
FT%
.721
10.6
ORB
13.1
34.9
DRB
33.8
45.5
TRB
46.9
28.4
AST
27.4
7.6
STL
7.0
6.5
BLK
3.8
16.4
TOV
14.8
16.7
PF
18.6
112.7
PTS
113.3

Defense/Offense

SA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
13
Games
12
41.9
FG
43.7
91.2
FGA
91.1
.459
FG%
.480
13.5
3Pt-FG
12.7
37.3
3Pt-FGA
37.1
.363
3Pt%
.342
28.4
2Pt-FG
31.0
54.0
2Pt-FGA
53.9
.526
2Pt%
.574
15.1
FT
16.2
19.8
FTA
21.2
.762
FT%
.764
11.3
ORB
10.8
31.5
DRB
32.6
42.9
TRB
43.4
24.1
AST
26.0
9.3
STL
8.0
4.3
BLK
4.8
14.3
TOV
12.9
18.4
PF
22.0
112.5
PTS
116.3

SA
Analytics
DAL
7
Pythag Wins
7
6
Pythag Losses
5
0.23
Margin Of Victory
2.92
112.7
O Rtg
116.3
112.5
D Rtg
113.3
97.8
Pace
98.3
.228
FTr
.233
.456
3PAr
.408
.585
TS%
.579

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
SA DAL
SA DAL
Consensus
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-111)
-9.5 (-108)
+9.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-108)
-10.5 (-112)
+10.0 (-110)
-10.0 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.0 (-110)
-10.0 (-113)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
SA DAL
SA DAL
Consensus
-450
+350
+388
-510
-470
+360
+390
-520
+385
-500
+420
-560
+370
-480
+380
-500
+400
-550
+400
-550
+375
-500
+375
-500
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-109)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
229.5 (-108)
229.5 (-112)
223.0 (-110)
223.0 (-110)
229.5 (-112)
229.5 (-108)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
227.5 (-105)
227.5 (-115)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)