Sacramento Kings

Sacramento Kings

Nov 4, 2024

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Sacramento Kings at Miami Heat Pick For 11/4/2024

  • Date: November 4, 2024
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Sacramento Kings 1 (-110), Miami Heat -1 (-110)
Over/Under: 224.5
Moneyline: Sacramento Kings -110, Miami Heat -110

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Sacramento Kings - 50% Sacramento Kings - 53%
Miami Heat - 50% Miami Heat - 47%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Sacramento Kings, holding a 3-3 record, are set to face off against the Miami Heat, who are 3-2, in a highly anticipated Monday night matchup. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:15 PM ET at the Kaseya Center, the Heat's home court. Both teams have been in good form recently, each winning three of their last four games. However, the Kings are coming off a narrow 131-128 loss to the Toronto Raptors, while the Heat secured a commanding 118-98 victory over the Washington Wizards in their previous outing.

The Kings face the challenge of a cross-country trip, crossing two time zones to reach Miami. This extended travel could potentially impact their performance, giving the Heat a slight edge at home. Oddsmakers have the Heat as a slight favorite with a spread of -1.0, while both teams have identical moneyline odds of -110, indicating an even matchup with each team having an implied win probability of 50%.

For those interested in player prop bets, Keegan Murray's Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA) total has caught the attention of bettors. The Over on Murray's PRA is set at 23.5, priced at -115, and has been a popular market, with sharp bettors leaning towards the Over, believing it offers value.

As both teams have shown strong performances recently, this game promises to be a competitive contest. The Kings will need to overcome the travel disadvantage, while the Heat will aim to capitalize on their home-court advantage. Bettors and fans alike will be keenly watching to see which team can maintain their momentum and secure a crucial win early in the season.

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Sacramento Kings 111.64 vs Miami Heat 110.45

Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-112
61% SAC
BetRivers
-1.5/-108
39% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-102
35% SAC
DraftKings
-117
65% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

226.0/-110
8% UN
BetMGM
226.0/-110
92% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

SAC
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
55
Games
53
43.3
FG
41.4
91.4
FGA
89.6
.474
FG%
.462
12.4
3Pt-FG
13.7
35.9
3Pt-FGA
38.4
.345
3Pt%
.357
30.9
2Pt-FG
27.7
55.5
2Pt-FGA
51.2
.558
2Pt%
.540
17.8
FT
14.2
22.1
FTA
18.1
.804
FT%
.784
11.1
ORB
11.1
33.9
DRB
34.6
45.0
TRB
45.7
26.9
AST
26.9
7.8
STL
7.4
4.7
BLK
5.0
13.3
TOV
13.6
19.3
PF
17.5
116.8
PTS
110.7

Defense/Offense

SAC
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
55
Games
53
41.7
FG
39.5
89.1
FGA
87.1
.468
FG%
.454
14.5
3Pt-FG
14.0
38.5
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.377
3Pt%
.360
27.2
2Pt-FG
25.5
50.6
2Pt-FGA
48.2
.538
2Pt%
.529
18.1
FT
16.8
22.7
FTA
21.4
.797
FT%
.788
10.1
ORB
9.7
33.2
DRB
34.3
43.3
TRB
44.1
26.7
AST
26.2
7.9
STL
7.9
4.7
BLK
3.8
14.3
TOV
13.7
19.0
PF
15.8
116.0
PTS
109.8

Offense/Defense

SAC
Four Factors
MIA
.542
eFG%
.539
11.6
TOV%
12.2
25.1
RB%
75.6
.195
FT/FGA
.158

Defense/Offense

SAC
Four Factors
MIA
.550
eFG%
.534
12.6
TOV%
12.4
77.1
RB%
21.9
.203
FT/FGA
.193

Offense/Defense

SAC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
55
Games
53
43.0
FG
42.2
90.7
FGA
91.5
.474
FG%
.462
12.3
3Pt-FG
14.0
35.6
3Pt-FGA
39.2
.345
3Pt%
.357
30.7
2Pt-FG
28.2
55.1
2Pt-FGA
52.2
.558
2Pt%
.540
17.7
FT
14.5
21.9
FTA
18.5
.804
FT%
.784
11.0
ORB
11.3
33.6
DRB
35.3
44.7
TRB
46.6
26.7
AST
27.4
7.7
STL
7.6
4.6
BLK
5.1
13.2
TOV
13.9
19.1
PF
17.9
115.9
PTS
113.0

Defense/Offense

SAC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
55
Games
53
41.4
FG
40.3
88.4
FGA
88.8
.468
FG%
.454
14.4
3Pt-FG
14.3
38.2
3Pt-FGA
39.6
.377
3Pt%
.360
27.0
2Pt-FG
26.0
50.2
2Pt-FGA
49.2
.538
2Pt%
.529
18.0
FT
17.2
22.5
FTA
21.8
.797
FT%
.788
10.0
ORB
9.9
33.0
DRB
35.0
43.0
TRB
45.0
26.5
AST
26.8
7.8
STL
8.1
4.6
BLK
3.9
14.2
TOV
14.0
18.9
PF
16.1
115.2
PTS
112.1

SAC
Analytics
MIA
29
Pythag Wins
25
26
Pythag Losses
28
0.76
Margin Of Victory
-0.87
115.9
O Rtg
112.1
115.2
D Rtg
113.0
99.4
Pace
96.7
.242
FTr
.245
.393
3PAr
.446
.577
TS%
.569

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
SAC MIA
SAC MIA
Consensus
+3.0 (-111)
-3.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-111)
-1.0 (-109)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
-2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-112)
-1.5 (-108)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+3.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+2.0 (-113)
-2.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-113)
-1.0 (-108)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+2.0 (-115)
-2.0 (-115)
+2.0 (-115)
-2.0 (-105)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
SAC MIA
SAC MIA
Consensus
+125
-154
-102
-117
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
-142
+120
+102
-122
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+132
-156
+108
-126
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+108
-129
-106
-112
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+120
-145
+100
-120
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
224.5 (-105)
224.5 (-115)
226.0 (-108)
226.0 (-113)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
225.0 (-108)
225.0 (-112)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
224.0 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
225.0 (-110)
225.0 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
226.0 (-108)
226.0 (-113)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
225.0 (-105)
225.0 (-115)
224.0 (-105)
224.0 (-115)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
223.5 (-115)
223.5 (-105)
224.5 (-115)
224.5 (-105)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
SAC
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
MIA
2-1-0
Win/Loss/Tie
2-1-0
2-1-0
ATS W/L/P
1-2-0
121.33
Avg Score
110.33
114
Avg Opp Score
104
3-2-0
Win/Loss/Tie
3-2-0
3-2-0
ATS W/L/P
2-3-0
120.4
Avg Score
108.4
114.2
Avg Opp Score
106.8
5-5-0
Win/Loss/Tie
4-6-0
6-4-0
ATS W/L/P
3-7-0
116.1
Avg Score
100.3
107.7
Avg Opp Score
107.3
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
02/26/24
MIA
224.5
+226
32
SAC
-7.0
-284
33
01/31/24
SAC
228.0
+110
22
MIA
-2.5
-132
28
11/02/22
SAC
220.5
+148
32
MIA
-4.5
-180
33
10/29/22
MIA
228.0
-174
23
SAC
4.0
+144
32
03/28/22
SAC
217.5
+688
19
MIA
-14.0
-1101
31
01/02/22
MIA
222.5
-163
18
SAC
3.5
+136
26
02/18/21
MIA
226.0
-106
31
SAC
-1.0
-115
21
01/30/21
SAC
223.0
+206
35
MIA
-6.5
-253
24
02/07/20
MIA
219.5
-114
28
SAC
1.0
-105
30
01/20/20
SAC
221.0
+131
24
MIA
-3.5
-160
21

Sacramento Kings

02/21/25
GS
78.9
-44
10
SAC
0.2
+37
3
02/12/25
SAC
366.7
-336
52
NO
14.0
+283
40
02/08/25
NO
386.8
+418
50
SAC
-12.9
-517
39
02/06/25
SAC
295.4
-147
35
POR
1.6
-132
35
02/05/25
ORL
108.2
+72
18
SAC
-2.0
-85
15
02/03/25
SAC
154.7
+114
26
MIN
-3.5
-135
24
02/01/25
SAC
149.6
+147
20
OKC
-4.7
-180
23
01/29/25
SAC
265.0
-370
34
PHI
10.4
+299
32
01/27/25
SAC
182.1
-527
18
BKN
7.8
+386
24
01/25/25
SAC
171.9
+116
18
NY
-3.3
-137
28

Miami Heat

02/13/25
MIA
176.6
-119
18
DAL
2.0
+101
17
02/12/25
MIA
340.0
+892
53
OKC
-21.4
-1302
35
02/10/25
BOS
309.0
-473
26
MIA
12.4
+383
35
02/07/25
MIA
117.7
-112
15
BKN
1.6
+95
16
02/05/25
MIA
109.1
+54
14
PHI
-1.0
-64
12
02/04/25
MIA
276.7
-194
45
CHI
5.1
+163
39
02/01/25
MIA
140.5
-93
21
SA
1.2
+79
21
01/29/25
CLE
256.5
-256
35
MIA
7.8
+214
24
01/25/25
MIA
155.3
-202
18
BKN
3.8
+167
13
01/23/25
MIA
211.0
+184
28
MIL
-6.1
-225
25
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