Sacramento Kings

Sacramento Kings

Nov 4, 2024

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Sacramento Kings at Miami Heat Pick For 11/4/2024

  • Date: November 4, 2024
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Sacramento Kings 1 (-110), Miami Heat -1 (-110)
Over/Under: 224.5
Moneyline: Sacramento Kings -110, Miami Heat -110

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Sacramento Kings - 50% Sacramento Kings - 53%
Miami Heat - 50% Miami Heat - 47%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Sacramento Kings, holding a 3-3 record, are set to face off against the Miami Heat, who are 3-2, in a highly anticipated Monday night matchup. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:15 PM ET at the Kaseya Center, the Heat's home court. Both teams have been in good form recently, each winning three of their last four games. However, the Kings are coming off a narrow 131-128 loss to the Toronto Raptors, while the Heat secured a commanding 118-98 victory over the Washington Wizards in their previous outing.

The Kings face the challenge of a cross-country trip, crossing two time zones to reach Miami. This extended travel could potentially impact their performance, giving the Heat a slight edge at home. Oddsmakers have the Heat as a slight favorite with a spread of -1.0, while both teams have identical moneyline odds of -110, indicating an even matchup with each team having an implied win probability of 50%.

For those interested in player prop bets, Keegan Murray's Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA) total has caught the attention of bettors. The Over on Murray's PRA is set at 23.5, priced at -115, and has been a popular market, with sharp bettors leaning towards the Over, believing it offers value.

As both teams have shown strong performances recently, this game promises to be a competitive contest. The Kings will need to overcome the travel disadvantage, while the Heat will aim to capitalize on their home-court advantage. Bettors and fans alike will be keenly watching to see which team can maintain their momentum and secure a crucial win early in the season.

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Sacramento Kings 111.64 vs Miami Heat 110.45

Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-112
61% SAC
Fanatics
-1.5/-108
39% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-102
35% SAC
FanDuel
-117
65% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

226.0/-110
8% UN
BetMGM
226.0/-110
92% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

SAC
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
42
Games
41
43.2
FG
41.1
91.1
FGA
89.1
.475
FG%
.462
12.6
3Pt-FG
13.6
36.1
3Pt-FGA
37.8
.349
3Pt%
.358
30.6
2Pt-FG
27.6
55.0
2Pt-FGA
51.3
.557
2Pt%
.538
17.7
FT
14.2
21.8
FTA
17.9
.809
FT%
.793
10.8
ORB
11.2
34.0
DRB
34.5
44.8
TRB
45.6
26.5
AST
27.0
8.2
STL
7.3
4.7
BLK
5.1
13.2
TOV
14.5
19.7
PF
17.9
116.7
PTS
110.0

Defense/Offense

SAC
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
42
Games
41
40.6
FG
39.8
87.8
FGA
86.9
.463
FG%
.458
14.4
3Pt-FG
14.3
38.5
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.372
3Pt%
.370
26.3
2Pt-FG
25.5
49.3
2Pt-FGA
48.3
.533
2Pt%
.528
18.3
FT
17.3
23.0
FTA
22.0
.797
FT%
.790
9.8
ORB
9.3
33.3
DRB
34.2
43.1
TRB
43.5
25.7
AST
26.3
7.8
STL
8.6
4.5
BLK
3.8
15.0
TOV
13.5
18.9
PF
15.8
113.9
PTS
111.2

Offense/Defense

SAC
Four Factors
MIA
.544
eFG%
.538
11.6
TOV%
13.0
24.5
RB%
75.4
.194
FT/FGA
.159

Defense/Offense

SAC
Four Factors
MIA
.544
eFG%
.540
13.3
TOV%
12.3
77.7
RB%
21.3
.208
FT/FGA
.200

Offense/Defense

SAC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
42
Games
41
43.0
FG
41.9
90.6
FGA
90.7
.475
FG%
.462
12.5
3Pt-FG
13.8
35.9
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.349
3Pt%
.358
30.5
2Pt-FG
28.1
54.7
2Pt-FGA
52.2
.557
2Pt%
.538
17.6
FT
14.4
21.7
FTA
18.2
.809
FT%
.793
10.7
ORB
11.4
33.8
DRB
35.1
44.6
TRB
46.5
26.4
AST
27.5
8.1
STL
7.5
4.7
BLK
5.2
13.1
TOV
14.7
19.6
PF
18.2
116.0
PTS
112.0

Defense/Offense

SAC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
42
Games
41
40.4
FG
40.5
87.3
FGA
88.4
.463
FG%
.458
14.3
3Pt-FG
14.5
38.3
3Pt-FGA
39.2
.372
3Pt%
.370
26.1
2Pt-FG
26.0
49.0
2Pt-FGA
49.2
.533
2Pt%
.528
18.2
FT
17.7
22.8
FTA
22.3
.797
FT%
.790
9.7
ORB
9.5
33.1
DRB
34.8
42.9
TRB
44.3
25.6
AST
26.8
7.8
STL
8.8
4.5
BLK
3.9
14.9
TOV
13.7
18.8
PF
16.1
113.3
PTS
113.2

SAC
Analytics
MIA
25
Pythag Wins
22
17
Pythag Losses
19
2.79
Margin Of Victory
1.22
116.0
O Rtg
113.2
113.3
D Rtg
112.0
99.3
Pace
97.0
.240
FTr
.253
.396
3PAr
.443
.579
TS%
.576

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
SAC MIA
SAC MIA
Consensus
+3.0 (-111)
-3.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-111)
-1.0 (-109)
DraftKings
DraftKings $200 Bonus
-2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-112)
-1.5 (-108)
FanDuel
FanDuel $300 Bonus
+3.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+2.0 (-113)
-2.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-113)
-1.0 (-108)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+2.0 (-115)
-2.0 (-115)
+2.0 (-115)
-2.0 (-105)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
SAC MIA
SAC MIA
Consensus
+125
-154
-102
-117
DraftKings
DraftKings $200 Bonus
-142
+120
+102
-122
FanDuel
FanDuel $300 Bonus
+132
-156
+108
-126
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+108
-129
-106
-112
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+120
-145
+100
-120
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
224.5 (-105)
224.5 (-115)
226.0 (-108)
226.0 (-113)
DraftKings
DraftKings $200 Bonus
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
225.0 (-108)
225.0 (-112)
FanDuel
FanDuel $300 Bonus
224.0 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
225.0 (-110)
225.0 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
226.0 (-108)
226.0 (-113)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
225.0 (-105)
225.0 (-115)
224.0 (-105)
224.0 (-115)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
223.5 (-115)
223.5 (-105)
224.5 (-115)
224.5 (-105)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
SAC
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
MIA
2-1-0
Win/Loss/Tie
2-1-0
2-1-0
ATS W/L/P
1-2-0
121.33
Avg Score
110.33
114
Avg Opp Score
104
3-2-0
Win/Loss/Tie
3-2-0
3-2-0
ATS W/L/P
2-3-0
120.4
Avg Score
108.4
114.2
Avg Opp Score
106.8
5-5-0
Win/Loss/Tie
4-6-0
6-4-0
ATS W/L/P
3-7-0
116.1
Avg Score
100.3
107.7
Avg Opp Score
107.3
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
02/26/24
MIA
224.5
+226
32
SAC
-7.0
-284
33
01/31/24
SAC
228.0
+110
22
MIA
-2.5
-132
28
11/02/22
SAC
220.5
+148
32
MIA
-4.5
-180
33
10/29/22
MIA
228.0
-174
23
SAC
4.0
+144
32
03/28/22
SAC
217.5
+688
19
MIA
-14.0
-1101
31
01/02/22
MIA
222.5
-163
18
SAC
3.5
+136
26
02/18/21
MIA
226.0
-106
31
SAC
-1.0
-115
21
01/30/21
SAC
223.0
+206
35
MIA
-6.5
-253
24
02/07/20
MIA
219.5
-114
28
SAC
1.0
-105
30
01/20/20
SAC
221.0
+131
24
MIA
-3.5
-160
21

Sacramento Kings

01/19/25
WAS
172.2
+735
19
SAC
-12.7
-1407
23
01/16/25
HOU
248.7
+174
28
SAC
-5.0
-207
29
01/14/25
SAC
236.8
+113
27
MIL
-2.1
-134
49
01/12/25
SAC
295.8
-242
40
CHI
7.7
+204
37
01/10/25
SAC
266.4
+567
40
BOS
-14.1
-786
32
01/05/25
SAC
166.0
+99
27
GS
-2.6
-117
15
01/03/25
MEM
130.0
+70
17
SAC
-1.6
-81
25
01/01/25
PHI
133.2
+123
18
SAC
-3.9
-148
15
12/30/24
DAL
202.7
+248
34
SAC
-7.7
-301
21
12/28/24
SAC
94.4
-64
13
LAL
0.5
+54
17

Miami Heat

01/19/25
SA
159.8
+95
22
MIA
-2.5
-113
15
01/17/25
DEN
89.6
-59
12
MIA
0.5
+51
4
01/15/25
MIA
69.7
+51
12
LAL
-1.5
-60
11
01/13/25
MIA
114.1
+143
18
LAC
-4.5
-178
15
01/11/25
MIA
100.5
-85
13
POR
0.9
+72
11
01/09/25
MIA
74.0
-70
2
UTA
0.6
+60
3
01/07/25
MIA
145.3
+205
19
GS
-6.0
-258
15
01/04/25
UTA
340.9
+437
33
MIA
-12.9
-549
33
01/02/25
IND
297.7
+148
50
MIA
-2.6
-176
33
01/01/25
NO
133.2
+176
14
MIA
-5.4
-220
22
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