Miami Heat
Points Prop Odds:
Points 15.5 over: -129
Points 15.5 under: -106
Trends Favoring The Over Points Prop
Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 59.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 13.9% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 73.3% of his treys over the last 5 games, 44.1% more than he's made overall this year.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 15.7 points per game (7th-highest in the league) against the Wizards, creating a good matchup for offensive productivity.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Heat rank 6th-best in in the league with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Washington may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Washington Wizards are away from home (7th-most in the NBA).
Trends Favoring The Under Points Shots Prop
In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 4th-least aggressive team in the league while on their home court over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat.
The slowest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Miami Heat.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. is projected to have 15.4 Points in today's game.