NBA Player Prop Predictions & Best Bets

A Closer Look at NBA Prop Bets

While traditional betting markets like point spreads and over/under bets are popular in the NBA, prop bets are growing in popularity every year as well. These types of bets allow bettors to enjoy action on every basketball game regardless of the outcome of each contest, while testing their knowledge of individual player performance each night.

Here at ATS.io, we provide NBA player prop projections on a regular basis. These will allow you to make the most informed decisions possible each night of the NBA season, from the opening tip-off of the season to the final buzzer of the NBA Finals.

Popular NBA Prop Bets

When it comes to NBA player props, our projections will focus on the major statistical categories for the most part. Below are the types of prop projections you will find from us along with some things to consider before betting into these markets the next time you make your NBA betting picks.

Points Props

Points are the most popular prop market in the NBA, as scoring points is the entire goal of the sport of basketball. This can also be one of the trickiest markets to bet into, as human nature typically leads bettors to inflate the number of points a player will score in a game relative to realistic expectations. Fortunately, our prop projections in the NBA give a level-headed projection for players, which can take some of the difficulty out of betting on points props.

Rebounds Props

While scoring is the most glamorous part of NBA basketball, rebounding might be the most important facet of the game, as getting second chances on offense and limiting second chances for the other team can make or break teams throughout the year. We regularly project rebounding totals for players in the NBA, spotlighting where players may exceed expectations or fall short of them on the glass.

Assists Props

In the NBA, assists can come from anywhere now, as an era of positionless basketball has created elite passers in both the frontcourt and backcourt for many teams. With our NBA assist projections, we will give you the tools to understand which players are primed for big nights distributing the basketball and which players might have trouble finding teammates for good looks each night.

Other NBA Props

On top of the prop categories listed above, you may find other player prop projections from our team of NBA experts each night. Some of the categories you will find NBA player prop projections for include the following:

• Blocked shots
• Steals
• Made Threes
• Double-Doubles
• Triple-Doubles
• Stat Combos (Points + Rebounds + Assists)

Team Props

Our NBA prop projections are focused on player-specific props. But those projections can be used to determine where there is value in team-specific prop markets as well. Team props include markets like team totals, where you wager on the amount of scoring just one team will do, rather than an over/under that combines the score of both teams. We also offer team output projections in our NBA betting picks articles each night, as you can combine the two to come up with team performance predictions.

NBA Prop Betting Strategies

Strategy is everything in sports betting, as you need to have a plan to have success. Along with consulting our projections for NBA player props, there are some strategic recommendations that bettors should take into account before placing any prop bets. Below are a few of our most highly recommended NBA prop betting strategies that help us make our projections, which you should use when placing bets as well.

Individual Matchups

The first thing bettors should consider when making NBA prop bets is the individual matchup that player is up against that night. A player can be one of the best scorers in the NBA, but if they are going up against an elite individual defender, they could underperform relative to their prop expectations. Conversely, a player could play better than usual if they are up against a bad individual defender.

Who a player is matched up with can impact more than just their scoring output, as other prop categories can be impacted. If a player is forced to give the ball up more often than usual against a quality defender, their assist numbers can fluctuate from the norm. Or if a player is given more or less of a cushion than normal, three-point makes can fluctuate. Bettors must examine every angle of these matchups to make the most informed decisions possible.

Team Matchups

How two teams stack up against one another as a whole is important to evaluate when betting on NBA props. For example, a team may have to dedicate more help defense than usual to provide assistance to a defender that can’t keep up with his individual matchup. That can change the prop expectations for several players on each side of a matchup. Bettors must consider all of the ways teams have advantages and disadvantages over each other to find the best prop angles each night.

Realistic Expectations

Finally, it is so important for bettors to understand that fluctuations happen all the time in the NBA. In today’s perimeter-oriented league, teams regularly overperform or underperform from the outside, which can mean volatility in prop outcomes. Bettors have to be prepared for any possibility and manage their money responsibly when betting on NBA props.

Using Stats to Win NBA Prop Bets

Without using statistical analysis, winning with NBA prop bets is a difficult task. Fortunately, our team of NBA betting professionals uses a number of statistical models and projection methods to come up with prop picks in the NBA on a regular basis. While no form of statistical projection is perfect, our projections give bettors a better chance to come away from each NBA slate with winning prop picks.