Portland Trail Blazers

Portland Trail Blazers

Nov 4, 2024

New Orleans Pelicans

New Orleans Pelicans
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Portland Trail Blazers vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction – 11/4/2024

  • Date: November 4, 2024
  • Venue: Smoothie King Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Portland Trail Blazers 2.5 (-110), New Orleans Pelicans -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 219
Moneyline: Portland Trail Blazers 115, New Orleans Pelicans -135

Portland Trail Blazers vs New Orleans Pelicans Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Portland Trail Blazers - 45% Portland Trail Blazers - 69%
New Orleans Pelicans - 55% New Orleans Pelicans - 31%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Portland Trail Blazers vs New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview

As the Portland Trail Blazers (2-5) gear up to face the New Orleans Pelicans (3-4) at Smoothie King Center, betting enthusiasts are eyeing a clash where both teams are eager to rebound from recent struggles. The Monday night tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 PM ET, promising an intriguing matchup between two squads looking to reverse their fortunes.

The Pelicans, coming off a 126-111 loss to the Atlanta Hawks, will be dealing with fatigue as this is a back-to-back game. With minimal rest, New Orleans could find themselves at a disadvantage, despite playing on their home court where they hold a slight edge as 2.5-point favorites. This comes with a moneyline of -135, translating to an implied win probability of 55%.

Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers, who recently dropped a 103-97 decision to the Phoenix Suns, have had their own challenges to grapple with. Traveling cross-country for this road game adds to their woes, reflected in their underdog status with a moneyline of +115, pegging their implied win probability at 45%.

Both teams have struggled recently, with Portland losing three of their last four games and New Orleans dropping four of their last five. However, the betting market has shown particular interest in Zion Williamson’s performance, specifically his points and assists. The player prop market opened at under 34.5 points and assists (-120) but has since shifted to 32.5 (-110), indicating sharp bettors are leaning toward the under.

Given the circumstances surrounding both teams, this matchup could be a tight contest. Bettors looking for value might consider the under on Williamson’s combined points and assists, along with the potential for a close game that could swing either way.

Portland Trail Blazers vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction

Final Score: Portland Trail Blazers 111.33 vs New Orleans Pelicans 104.54

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-112
35% POR
-1.5/-108
65% NO

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-101
12% POR
-118
88% NO

Total Pick Consensus

219.0/-108
12% UN
219.0/-112
88% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

POR
Team Stats Per Game
NO
13
Games
12
39.2
FG
43.6
90.2
FGA
89.0
.434
FG%
.490
10.6
3Pt-FG
14.3
32.6
3Pt-FGA
36.8
.325
3Pt%
.388
28.5
2Pt-FG
29.3
57.5
2Pt-FGA
52.3
.496
2Pt%
.561
17.9
FT
14.3
23.1
FTA
18.4
.777
FT%
.774
13.0
ORB
11.2
30.9
DRB
31.0
43.9
TRB
42.2
21.1
AST
27.8
9.2
STL
8.2
6.0
BLK
6.7
16.7
TOV
14.4
19.1
PF
18.3
106.8
PTS
115.7

Defense/Offense

POR
Team Stats Per Game
NO
13
Games
12
41.2
FG
39.0
87.8
FGA
88.5
.470
FG%
.441
14.4
3Pt-FG
11.2
40.2
3Pt-FGA
32.1
.358
3Pt%
.348
26.8
2Pt-FG
27.8
47.6
2Pt-FGA
56.4
.564
2Pt%
.493
17.7
FT
16.3
22.3
FTA
20.8
.793
FT%
.783
11.5
ORB
12.7
33.8
DRB
29.7
45.3
TRB
42.3
27.6
AST
24.2
10.2
STL
8.3
6.4
BLK
5.4
16.8
TOV
15.4
20.8
PF
17.1
114.5
PTS
105.4

Offense/Defense

POR
Four Factors
NO
.493
eFG%
.570
14.3
TOV%
12.9
27.8
RB%
72.7
.199
FT/FGA
.160

Defense/Offense

POR
Four Factors
NO
.552
eFG%
.504
14.7
TOV%
13.6
73.0
RB%
29.0
.202
FT/FGA
.184

Offense/Defense

POR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
NO
13
Games
12
39.0
FG
44.9
89.7
FGA
91.6
.434
FG%
.490
10.6
3Pt-FG
14.7
32.5
3Pt-FGA
37.8
.325
3Pt%
.388
28.4
2Pt-FG
30.2
57.3
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.496
2Pt%
.561
17.8
FT
14.7
23.0
FTA
19.0
.777
FT%
.774
12.9
ORB
11.5
30.8
DRB
31.9
43.7
TRB
43.4
21.0
AST
28.6
9.1
STL
8.4
6.0
BLK
6.9
16.6
TOV
14.8
19.0
PF
18.9
106.4
PTS
119.0

Defense/Offense

POR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
NO
13
Games
12
41.0
FG
40.1
87.4
FGA
91.1
.470
FG%
.441
14.3
3Pt-FG
11.5
40.0
3Pt-FGA
33.0
.358
3Pt%
.348
26.7
2Pt-FG
28.6
47.4
2Pt-FGA
58.1
.564
2Pt%
.493
17.6
FT
16.7
22.2
FTA
21.4
.793
FT%
.783
11.4
ORB
13.0
33.7
DRB
30.5
45.1
TRB
43.6
27.5
AST
24.9
10.2
STL
8.6
6.4
BLK
5.6
16.7
TOV
15.9
20.7
PF
17.6
114.0
PTS
108.5

POR
Analytics
NO
4
Pythag Wins
3
9
Pythag Losses
9
-7.69
Margin Of Victory
-10.25
106.4
O Rtg
108.5
114.0
D Rtg
119.0
100.5
Pace
97.2
.256
FTr
.234
.362
3PAr
.363
.533
TS%
.540

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
POR NO
POR NO
Consensus
+2.5 (-109)
-2.5 (-115)
+1.0 (-109)
-1.0 (-113)
+2.5 (-112)
-2.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-112)
-1.5 (-108)
+2.0 (-114)
-2.0 (-108)
+1.0 (-114)
-1.0 (-106)
+2.0 (-108)
-2.0 (-113)
+1.0 (-108)
-1.0 (-113)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
POR NO
POR NO
Consensus
+120
-142
-101
-118
+120
-142
-105
-115
+114
-134
-104
-112
+112
-134
+100
-118
+120
-145
+100
-120
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
219.0 (-108)
219.0 (-113)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
218.0 (-112)
218.0 (-108)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
222.5 (-109)
222.5 (-112)
219.0 (-108)
219.0 (-113)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
218.5 (-105)
218.5 (-115)