Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Mar 2, 2025

San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio Spurs
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Pick – 3/2/2025


The Oklahoma City Thunder (48-12) are set to face off against the San Antonio Spurs (25-33) in a Sunday Night showdown on March 2, 2025, at 7:00 PM ET. This game will take place at the Frost Bank Center, the home arena of the Spurs.

As the Thunder continue their impressive season, having won 40 of their last 50 games, they enter this matchup as heavy favorites. The current spread is set at Thunder -13.5, reflecting the substantial gap in performance between these two teams. With an implied win probability of 86%, the Thunder are expected to continue their strong form, especially after their recent victory over the Atlanta Hawks, where they triumphed 135-119.

In contrast, the Spurs have struggled lately, losing 25 of their last 40 games. Adding to their challenges, this game marks a back-to-back situation for San Antonio, coming off a hard-fought win against the Memphis Grizzlies, where they pulled off an upset as 6.0-point underdogs. Despite this victory, their overall inconsistency could hinder their chances against a powerhouse like Oklahoma City.

For those interested in player props, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's Points and Assists line is drawing considerable attention, with many betting on the Over at 39.5 (-110). With the Thunder's offensive firepower, this prop could present value.

As the game approaches, sharp bettors are leaning towards the Over, believing the total may be mispriced. With the Thunder's high-scoring capability and the Spurs' recent form, this matchup promises to be an exciting one for fans and bettors alike.


Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 123.18 vs San Antonio Spurs 108.73


Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Thunder86%90%
Spurs14%10%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-12.5/-110
57% OKC
+12.5/-110
43% SA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-797
89% OKC
+552
11% SA

Total Pick Consensus

238.5/-110
24% UN
238.5/-110
76% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
SA
59
Games
58
44.2
FG
43.4
92.8
FGA
93.2
.477
FG%
.466
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.5
39.0
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.363
3Pt%
.354
30.1
2Pt-FG
29.9
53.8
2Pt-FGA
55.0
.559
2Pt%
.543
16.3
FT
14.4
19.8
FTA
18.3
.822
FT%
.787
11.0
ORB
12.4
33.6
DRB
34.3
44.7
TRB
46.8
26.7
AST
26.7
10.8
STL
8.2
5.6
BLK
4.6
11.9
TOV
13.7
20.5
PF
17.9
118.9
PTS
114.7

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
SA
59
Games
58
37.1
FG
41.2
85.9
FGA
89.8
.432
FG%
.459
12.9
3Pt-FG
13.7
38.6
3Pt-FGA
39.5
.334
3Pt%
.345
24.3
2Pt-FG
27.6
47.3
2Pt-FGA
50.3
.513
2Pt%
.548
19.1
FT
16.6
24.8
FTA
21.3
.768
FT%
.781
12.1
ORB
11.0
33.5
DRB
33.6
45.6
TRB
44.6
24.4
AST
28.9
6.7
STL
8.2
4.7
BLK
6.3
17.9
TOV
14.1
18.2
PF
16.5
106.2
PTS
112.7

Offense/Defense

OKC
Four Factors
SA
.553
eFG%
.538
10.5
TOV%
11.9
24.8
RB%
73.0
.176
FT/FGA
.154

Defense/Offense

OKC
Four Factors
SA
.508
eFG%
.535
15.6
TOV%
12.4
73.6
RB%
24.3
.222
FT/FGA
.185

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
SA
59
Games
58
44.3
FG
43.5
92.9
FGA
93.4
.477
FG%
.466
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.6
39.0
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.363
3Pt%
.354
30.1
2Pt-FG
29.9
53.9
2Pt-FGA
55.1
.559
2Pt%
.543
16.3
FT
14.4
19.9
FTA
18.3
.822
FT%
.787
11.0
ORB
12.5
33.7
DRB
34.4
44.7
TRB
46.9
26.7
AST
26.7
10.8
STL
8.3
5.7
BLK
4.6
12.0
TOV
13.7
20.6
PF
18.0
119.1
PTS
114.9

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
SA
59
Games
58
37.2
FG
41.3
86.0
FGA
90.0
.432
FG%
.459
12.9
3Pt-FG
13.7
38.6
3Pt-FGA
39.6
.334
3Pt%
.345
24.3
2Pt-FG
27.6
47.3
2Pt-FGA
50.4
.513
2Pt%
.548
19.1
FT
16.7
24.8
FTA
21.4
.768
FT%
.781
12.1
ORB
11.0
33.6
DRB
33.7
45.7
TRB
44.7
24.5
AST
29.0
6.7
STL
8.3
4.8
BLK
6.4
17.9
TOV
14.1
18.2
PF
16.5
106.4
PTS
113.0

OKC
Analytics
SA
49
Pythag Wins
25
10
Pythag Losses
33
12.69
Margin Of Victory
-1.98
119.1
O Rtg
113.0
106.4
D Rtg
114.9
99.7
Pace
99.4
.214
FTr
.237
.420
3PAr
.440
.586
TS%
.568

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OKC SA
OKC SA
Consensus
-14.5 (-112)
+14.5 (-105)
-13.0 (-112)
+13.0 (-107)
-13.0 (-110)
+13.0 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
+12.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-108)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.0 (-108)
+13.0 (-112)
-13.5 (-112)
+13.5 (-109)
-13.0 (-112)
+13.0 (-109)
-14.5 (-115)
+14.5 (-105)
-13.0 (-115)
+13.0 (-105)
-12.5 (-115)
+12.5 (-105)
-12.5 (-115)
+12.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
OKC SA
OKC SA
Consensus
-800
+550
-797
+552
-750
+525
-750
+525
-820
+570
-770
+530
-770
+550
-715
+500
-900
+600
-800
+550
-800
+550
-800
+550
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-112)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
239.0 (-110)
239.0 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-112)
238.5 (-109)
238.5 (-112)
238.5 (-109)
240.0 (-115)
240.0 (-105)
238.0 (-110)
238.0 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)

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