Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Mar 2, 2025

San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio Spurs
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Pick – 3/2/2025


The Oklahoma City Thunder (48-12) are set to face off against the San Antonio Spurs (25-33) in a Sunday Night showdown on March 2, 2025, at 7:00 PM ET. This game will take place at the Frost Bank Center, the home arena of the Spurs.

As the Thunder continue their impressive season, having won 40 of their last 50 games, they enter this matchup as heavy favorites. The current spread is set at Thunder -13.5, reflecting the substantial gap in performance between these two teams. With an implied win probability of 86%, the Thunder are expected to continue their strong form, especially after their recent victory over the Atlanta Hawks, where they triumphed 135-119.

In contrast, the Spurs have struggled lately, losing 25 of their last 40 games. Adding to their challenges, this game marks a back-to-back situation for San Antonio, coming off a hard-fought win against the Memphis Grizzlies, where they pulled off an upset as 6.0-point underdogs. Despite this victory, their overall inconsistency could hinder their chances against a powerhouse like Oklahoma City.

For those interested in player props, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's Points and Assists line is drawing considerable attention, with many betting on the Over at 39.5 (-110). With the Thunder's offensive firepower, this prop could present value.

As the game approaches, sharp bettors are leaning towards the Over, believing the total may be mispriced. With the Thunder's high-scoring capability and the Spurs' recent form, this matchup promises to be an exciting one for fans and bettors alike.


Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 123.18 vs San Antonio Spurs 108.73


Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Thunder86%90%
Spurs14%10%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-12.5/-110
57% OKC
+12.5/-110
43% SA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-797
89% OKC
+552
11% SA

Total Pick Consensus

238.5/-110
24% UN
238.5/-110
76% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
SA
82
Games
82
44.6
FG
43.8
92.7
FGA
92.5
.482
FG%
.474
14.5
3Pt-FG
14.4
38.8
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.374
3Pt%
.365
30.1
2Pt-FG
29.5
53.9
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.559
2Pt%
.554
16.7
FT
14.6
20.4
FTA
18.5
.819
FT%
.790
10.6
ORB
12.1
34.2
DRB
34.1
44.8
TRB
46.2
26.9
AST
28.0
10.3
STL
8.1
5.7
BLK
4.3
11.7
TOV
13.7
19.9
PF
17.4
120.5
PTS
116.7

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
SA
82
Games
82
37.9
FG
41.8
87.0
FGA
89.8
.436
FG%
.465
13.5
3Pt-FG
14.1
39.3
3Pt-FGA
39.6
.342
3Pt%
.357
24.5
2Pt-FG
27.7
47.6
2Pt-FGA
50.2
.513
2Pt%
.551
18.3
FT
16.2
23.7
FTA
21.0
.774
FT%
.774
11.6
ORB
10.9
33.3
DRB
32.7
44.9
TRB
43.7
24.6
AST
28.6
6.7
STL
8.2
4.8
BLK
5.5
17.0
TOV
13.9
18.1
PF
16.6
107.6
PTS
113.9

Offense/Defense

OKC
Four Factors
SA
.560
eFG%
.551
10.3
TOV%
12.0
24.2
RB%
73.0
.180
FT/FGA
.158

Defense/Offense

OKC
Four Factors
SA
.513
eFG%
.544
14.9
TOV%
12.3
74.6
RB%
24.3
.211
FT/FGA
.181

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
SA
82
Games
82
44.6
FG
44.0
92.6
FGA
92.9
.482
FG%
.474
14.5
3Pt-FG
14.4
38.8
3Pt-FGA
39.5
.374
3Pt%
.365
30.1
2Pt-FG
29.6
53.8
2Pt-FGA
53.4
.559
2Pt%
.554
16.7
FT
14.7
20.4
FTA
18.6
.819
FT%
.790
10.6
ORB
12.1
34.1
DRB
34.2
44.7
TRB
46.4
26.8
AST
28.1
10.3
STL
8.1
5.7
BLK
4.4
11.7
TOV
13.7
19.9
PF
17.5
120.3
PTS
117.2

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
SA
82
Games
82
37.9
FG
42.0
86.8
FGA
90.2
.436
FG%
.465
13.4
3Pt-FG
14.2
39.3
3Pt-FGA
39.8
.342
3Pt%
.357
24.4
2Pt-FG
27.8
47.6
2Pt-FGA
50.4
.513
2Pt%
.551
18.3
FT
16.3
23.7
FTA
21.1
.774
FT%
.774
11.6
ORB
11.0
33.2
DRB
32.9
44.8
TRB
43.9
24.6
AST
28.8
6.7
STL
8.3
4.8
BLK
5.6
17.0
TOV
13.9
18.1
PF
16.7
107.5
PTS
114.4

OKC
Analytics
SA
68
Pythag Wins
34
14
Pythag Losses
48
12.87
Margin Of Victory
-2.76
120.3
O Rtg
114.4
107.5
D Rtg
117.2
100.0
Pace
99.3
.220
FTr
.234
.419
3PAr
.441
.593
TS%
.575

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OKC SA
OKC SA
Consensus
-14.5 (-112)
+14.5 (-105)
-13.0 (-112)
+13.0 (-107)
-13.0 (-110)
+13.0 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
+12.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-108)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.0 (-108)
+13.0 (-112)
-13.5 (-112)
+13.5 (-109)
-13.0 (-112)
+13.0 (-109)
-14.5 (-115)
+14.5 (-105)
-13.0 (-115)
+13.0 (-105)
-12.5 (-115)
+12.5 (-105)
-12.5 (-115)
+12.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
OKC SA
OKC SA
Consensus
-800
+550
-797
+552
-750
+525
-750
+525
-820
+570
-770
+530
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-112)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
239.0 (-110)
239.0 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-112)
238.5 (-109)
238.5 (-112)
238.5 (-109)
240.0 (-115)
240.0 (-105)
238.0 (-110)
238.0 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)

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