Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 24, 2025

Memphis Grizzlies

Memphis Grizzlies
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Game 3 Prediction – 4/24/2025

With the Oklahoma City Thunder holding a commanding 2-0 lead over the Memphis Grizzlies, Game 3 of their first-round playoff series shifts to FedExForum on Thursday, April 24, 2025. The Thunder have showcased dominance throughout the series, while the Grizzlies aim to leverage their home court to mount a comeback.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies Game 3 Preview

The Thunder have been firing on all cylinders, led by MVP frontrunner Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. In Game 2, they secured a 118-99 victory, with Gilgeous-Alexander contributing significantly. His season averages of 32.9 points, 6.3 assists, and 5.0 rebounds per game underscore his pivotal role. Complementing him, Jalen Williams adds 21.3 points and 5.5 rebounds per game, while rookie Chet Holmgren provides a strong presence inside.

Defensively, Oklahoma City has been stifling, allowing just 104.6 points per game, the best in the league. Their ability to force turnovers and limit opponents' shooting percentages has been instrumental in their success.

On the other side, the Grizzlies face challenges going into Game 3. The team has struggled defensively, allowing over 115 points in consecutive games to the top seed in the Western Conference. If the Grizzlies cannot get right on the defensive end of the floor in Game 3 at home, their season could effectively be over heading into the fourth game of this series. Memphis' offense also needs to step up, having failed to reach 100 points in each of their first two games in this series.

Betting Insights

  • Spread: Thunder -8.5
  • Moneyline: Thunder -425, Grizzlies +320
  • Over/Under: 226.5

Oklahoma City has been reliable against the spread, especially on the road, while Memphis has struggled to cover so far in this series. While that could change with the series shifting to Memphis, the Grizzlies need to play better basketball for that to happen.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Game 3 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 124.94, Memphis Grizzlies 111.91

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Game 3 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Thunder78%87%
Grizzlies22%13%

Stay informed with the most recent NBA news and our analytics-driven NBA picks and predictions all season long.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-9.0/-110
85% OKC
+9.0/-110
15% MEM

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-380
88% OKC
+300
12% MEM

Total Pick Consensus

226.5/-110
21% UN
226.5/-110
79% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
MEM
82
Games
82
44.6
FG
41.9
92.7
FGA
91.8
.482
FG%
.456
14.5
3Pt-FG
14.2
38.8
3Pt-FGA
39.4
.374
3Pt%
.360
30.1
2Pt-FG
27.7
53.9
2Pt-FGA
52.4
.559
2Pt%
.529
16.7
FT
18.9
20.4
FTA
24.5
.819
FT%
.770
10.6
ORB
11.5
34.2
DRB
32.0
44.8
TRB
43.5
26.9
AST
27.0
10.3
STL
8.7
5.7
BLK
5.5
11.7
TOV
15.1
19.9
PF
20.2
120.5
PTS
116.9

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
MEM
82
Games
82
37.9
FG
44.8
87.0
FGA
93.3
.436
FG%
.479
13.5
3Pt-FG
13.9
39.3
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.342
3Pt%
.367
24.5
2Pt-FG
30.8
47.6
2Pt-FGA
55.5
.513
2Pt%
.556
18.3
FT
18.3
23.7
FTA
23.3
.774
FT%
.786
11.6
ORB
12.9
33.3
DRB
34.4
44.9
TRB
47.3
24.6
AST
28.4
6.7
STL
8.9
4.8
BLK
5.6
17.0
TOV
15.7
18.1
PF
20.9
107.6
PTS
121.7

Offense/Defense

OKC
Four Factors
MEM
.560
eFG%
.533
10.3
TOV%
12.9
24.2
RB%
74.9
.180
FT/FGA
.206

Defense/Offense

OKC
Four Factors
MEM
.513
eFG%
.554
14.9
TOV%
13.1
74.6
RB%
28.7
.211
FT/FGA
.196

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MEM
82
Games
82
44.6
FG
40.5
92.6
FGA
88.8
.482
FG%
.456
14.5
3Pt-FG
13.7
38.8
3Pt-FGA
38.1
.374
3Pt%
.360
30.1
2Pt-FG
26.8
53.8
2Pt-FGA
50.7
.559
2Pt%
.529
16.7
FT
18.3
20.4
FTA
23.7
.819
FT%
.770
10.6
ORB
11.1
34.1
DRB
31.0
44.7
TRB
42.1
26.8
AST
26.2
10.3
STL
8.4
5.7
BLK
5.3
11.7
TOV
14.6
19.9
PF
19.5
120.3
PTS
113.0

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MEM
82
Games
82
37.9
FG
43.3
86.8
FGA
90.3
.436
FG%
.479
13.4
3Pt-FG
13.5
39.3
3Pt-FGA
36.6
.342
3Pt%
.367
24.4
2Pt-FG
29.8
47.6
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.513
2Pt%
.556
18.3
FT
17.7
23.7
FTA
22.5
.774
FT%
.786
11.6
ORB
12.5
33.2
DRB
33.3
44.8
TRB
45.7
24.6
AST
27.5
6.7
STL
8.6
4.8
BLK
5.4
17.0
TOV
15.2
18.1
PF
20.2
107.5
PTS
117.7

OKC
Analytics
MEM
68
Pythag Wins
52
14
Pythag Losses
30
12.87
Margin Of Victory
4.85
120.3
O Rtg
117.7
107.5
D Rtg
113.0
100.0
Pace
103.3
.220
FTr
.249
.419
3PAr
.406
.593
TS%
.588

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OKC MEM
OKC MEM
Consensus
-9.0 (-109)
+9.0 (-110)
-10.0 (-109)
+10.0 (-111)
-9.0 (-110)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-108)
+9.0 (-112)
-9.5 (-108)
+9.5 (-112)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-108)
-10.0 (-110)
+10.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-115)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-115)
+9.0 (-105)
-8.5 (-105)
+8.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-105)
+9.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
OKC MEM
OKC MEM
Consensus
-380
+298
-426
+330
-375
+295
-380
+300
-390
+310
-450
+350
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-109)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
227.5 (-112)
227.5 (-108)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
226.5 (-113)
226.5 (-108)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
226.5 (-115)
226.5 (-105)
226.5 (-115)
226.5 (-105)

Related Articles