Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 24, 2025

Memphis Grizzlies

Memphis Grizzlies
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Game 3 Prediction – 4/24/2025

With the Oklahoma City Thunder holding a commanding 2-0 lead over the Memphis Grizzlies, Game 3 of their first-round playoff series shifts to FedExForum on Thursday, April 24, 2025. The Thunder have showcased dominance throughout the series, while the Grizzlies aim to leverage their home court to mount a comeback.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies Game 3 Preview

The Thunder have been firing on all cylinders, led by MVP frontrunner Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. In Game 2, they secured a 118-99 victory, with Gilgeous-Alexander contributing significantly. His season averages of 32.9 points, 6.3 assists, and 5.0 rebounds per game underscore his pivotal role. Complementing him, Jalen Williams adds 21.3 points and 5.5 rebounds per game, while rookie Chet Holmgren provides a strong presence inside.

Defensively, Oklahoma City has been stifling, allowing just 104.6 points per game, the best in the league. Their ability to force turnovers and limit opponents' shooting percentages has been instrumental in their success.

On the other side, the Grizzlies face challenges going into Game 3. The team has struggled defensively, allowing over 115 points in consecutive games to the top seed in the Western Conference. If the Grizzlies cannot get right on the defensive end of the floor in Game 3 at home, their season could effectively be over heading into the fourth game of this series. Memphis' offense also needs to step up, having failed to reach 100 points in each of their first two games in this series.

Betting Insights

  • Spread: Thunder -8.5
  • Moneyline: Thunder -425, Grizzlies +320
  • Over/Under: 226.5

Oklahoma City has been reliable against the spread, especially on the road, while Memphis has struggled to cover so far in this series. While that could change with the series shifting to Memphis, the Grizzlies need to play better basketball for that to happen.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Game 3 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 124.94, Memphis Grizzlies 111.91

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Game 3 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Thunder78%87%
Grizzlies22%13%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-10.0/-112
76% OKC
+10.0/-108
24% MEM

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-449
88% OKC
+350
12% MEM

Total Pick Consensus

230.5/-110
17% UN
230.5/-110
83% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
MEM
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
MEM
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Offense/Defense

OKC
Four Factors
MEM
eFG%
TOV%
RB%
FT/FGA

Defense/Offense

OKC
Four Factors
MEM
eFG%
TOV%
RB%
FT/FGA

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MEM
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MEM
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

OKC
Analytics
MEM
Pythag Wins
Pythag Losses
Margin Of Victory
O Rtg
D Rtg
Pace
FTr
3PAr
TS%

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OKC MEM
OKC MEM
Consensus
-9.0 (-111)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.5 (-111)
+9.5 (-108)
-9.0 (-112)
+9.0 (-110)
-10.0 (-112)
+10.0 (-108)
-9.0 (-112)
+9.0 (-112)
-10.0 (-112)
+10.0 (-108)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-108)
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
-9.0 (-115)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.5 (-115)
+9.5 (-105)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
OKC MEM
OKC MEM
Consensus
-380
+298
-449
+350
-375
+295
-455
+350
-390
+310
-480
+370
-345
+275
-480
+370
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-111)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
227.5 (-112)
227.5 (-108)
230.0 (-110)
230.0 (-110)
226.5 (-113)
226.5 (-108)
230.5 (-109)
230.5 (-112)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
230.5 (-115)
230.5 (-105)
226.5 (-115)
226.5 (-105)
229.5 (-115)
229.5 (-105)

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Home NBA Picks Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Game 3 Prediction – 4/24/2025