Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Jun 13, 2025

Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Game 4 Pick – 6/13/2025

Friday, June 13 delivers Game 4 of the 2025 NBA Finals as the Oklahoma City Thunder travel to Indianapolis to face the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. With Indiana holding a 2–1 lead in the series, Oklahoma City’s quest to avoid a 3–1 hole hinges on reasserting control after a Game 3 loss. The Thunder need to restore their defensive intensity, while the Pacers look to reinforce momentum behind their offensive balance and a home crowd desperate to see them succeed.

Our Thunder vs Pacers Game 4 Pick

  • Spread: Thunder -6
  • Total: Over 226.5
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Oklahoma City Thunder at Indiana Pacers
  • Date & Time: Friday, June 13, 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Broadcast: ABC

Thunder vs Pacers Game 4 Odds

SpreadThunder -6
MoneylinePacers +175, Thunder -220
Total226.5

Key Storylines

  1. The Pacers are riding high after a strong Game 3 win (116–107), paced by Tyrese Haliburton’s near triple-double and Bennedict Mathurin’s 27 off the bench.
  2. Myles Turner had five blocked shots in Game 3 and will be key for Indiana’s defense and rebounding effort.
  3. The Thunder struggled defensively, surrendering 51.8 % shooting to their opponents. They must clamp down here.
  4. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander remains central to OKC's success. Despite being limited late in Game 3, he still posted 24 points, 8 rebounds, and 4 assists.

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

During this series, Game 3 shifted momentum toward Indiana, but regular-season play favored Oklahoma City. The Thunder went 2–0 straight-up against the Pacers and covered both times. OKC is 3-2 against the Pacers overall this year, but that will mean nothing if the Thunder can't get a win tonight to avoid falling behind 3-1 in the Finals.

Best Player Props to Watch

PlayerPropAnalysis
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOver 33.5 PTSSGA remains the engine for OKC, expect a bounce-back scoring night.
Chet HolmgrenOver 8.5 REBHolmgren grabbed 10 boards in Game 3 and should clean up on the glass again.
Myles TurnerUnder 5.5 REBTurner had two rebounds in Game 3 and should struggle in that department as he contends with Holmgren/Hartenstein.

Advanced Metrics & Trends

OKC boasts the best defensive rating in the playoffs, leading in opponent turnovers. The Pacers, meanwhile, show elite offensive efficiency, ranking near the top in eFG%, offensive rating, and assists. The key matchup in this game will be whether or not Indiana’s sharpshooters can find space against Oklahoma City’s length and versatile perimeter defense.

Thunder vs Pacers Game 4 Model Projection

Score ProjectionWin Probability
Thunder 120 – Pacers 109OKC 57% / Indiana 43%

Final Thoughts

Expect a tight contest with the Thunder pushing hard to even the series. Our lean is toward the Thunder doing just that, winning and covering the spread to send this series back to OKC tied at two, while the Thunder reclaim home-court advantage for the rest of the series.

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-6.0/-112
38% OKC
+6.0/-108
62% IND

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-235
37% OKC
+194
63% IND

Total Pick Consensus

228.0/-110
7% UN
228.0/-110
93% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
IND
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
IND
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Offense/Defense

OKC
Four Factors
IND
eFG%
TOV%
RB%
FT/FGA

Defense/Offense

OKC
Four Factors
IND
eFG%
TOV%
RB%
FT/FGA

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

OKC
Analytics
IND
Pythag Wins
Pythag Losses
Margin Of Victory
O Rtg
D Rtg
Pace
FTr
3PAr
TS%

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OKC IND
OKC IND
Consensus
-6.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-109)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-109)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-110)
-6.0 (-112)
+6.0 (-108)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-108)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-113)
+6.0 (-109)
-6.0 (-113)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-102)
+5.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-102)
+6.5 (-118)
Open
Current
Book
OKC IND
OKC IND
Consensus
-225
+185
-235
+194
-225
+185
-238
+195
-240
+198
-245
+200
-245
+195
-235
+190
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-112)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
225.5 (-112)
225.5 (-112)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-112)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)

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Home NBA Picks Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Game 4 Pick – 6/13/2025