Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Nov 6, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks – 11/6/2024

  • Date: November 6, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Betting Odds

Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -7 (-110), Denver Nuggets 7 (-110)
Over/Under: 223
Moneyline: Oklahoma City Thunder -270, Denver Nuggets 230

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Oklahoma City Thunder - 71% Oklahoma City Thunder - 61%
Denver Nuggets - 29% Denver Nuggets - 39%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder, riding the momentum of a 7-0 start, face off against a divisional rival, the Denver Nuggets, who hold a 4-3 record. This matchup at Denver's Ball Arena on Wednesday night has all the makings of an intense battle, with both teams eager to assert their dominance early in the season. Tip-off is at 9:00 PM ET.

Despite being on the road, the Thunder are considered strong favorites, reflected by a -7.0 spread. Their moneyline odds stand at -270, suggesting a 71% implied probability of victory. Oklahoma City has been on a roll, winning seven consecutive games, including a commanding 102-86 victory over the Orlando Magic. The Nuggets, however, have also shown resilience, winning four of their last five games, including a narrow 121-119 win against the Toronto Raptors.

For bettors, this game offers intriguing opportunities, particularly in the player prop markets. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been a focal point, with many eyeing his points and assists total. The current line for his combined points and assists is set at over 34.5, priced at -130, indicating significant action on the over. Sharp bettors believe this line offers value, given Gilgeous-Alexander's recent performances.

With the Thunder's hot streak and the Nuggets' recent success, this game promises to be an exciting clash. Both teams have plenty of motivation, not just for the win but for the bragging rights in this divisional rivalry. As the Thunder aim to extend their unbeaten run and the Nuggets look to defend their home court, fans and bettors alike will be in for a thrilling night of basketball.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 110.45 vs Denver Nuggets 106.47

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Subscribe to our newsletter to get our best bets every week!

*By clicking the "Subscribe" button, you agree to receive promotional emails.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-7.0/-112
51% OKC
+7.0/-108
49% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-266
81% OKC
+220
19% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

224.5/-112
8% UN
224.5/-108
92% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
26
Games
25
42.8
FG
43.6
92.0
FGA
93.3
.465
FG%
.467
13.7
3Pt-FG
14.0
39.3
3Pt-FGA
39.1
.350
3Pt%
.358
29.1
2Pt-FG
29.6
52.8
2Pt-FGA
54.2
.551
2Pt%
.546
15.8
FT
15.7
19.5
FTA
20.6
.814
FT%
.763
10.2
ORB
12.1
33.1
DRB
31.8
43.3
TRB
43.8
25.6
AST
29.5
12.3
STL
9.0
6.3
BLK
5.9
11.8
TOV
14.8
21.0
PF
21.1
115.2
PTS
116.9

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
26
Games
25
36.1
FG
44.4
84.9
FGA
89.4
.425
FG%
.496
12.5
3Pt-FG
11.7
37.9
3Pt-FGA
30.5
.331
3Pt%
.383
23.6
2Pt-FG
32.7
47.0
2Pt-FGA
58.9
.502
2Pt%
.555
18.5
FT
19.0
25.2
FTA
25.3
.736
FT%
.752
12.8
ORB
10.9
34.9
DRB
33.9
47.7
TRB
44.8
24.0
AST
31.0
7.0
STL
9.0
5.0
BLK
4.6
19.1
TOV
14.7
18.2
PF
18.4
103.3
PTS
119.4

Offense/Defense

OKC
Four Factors
DEN
.540
eFG%
.542
10.5
TOV%
12.6
22.5
RB%
73.7
.172
FT/FGA
.168

Defense/Offense

OKC
Four Factors
DEN
.499
eFG%
.562
16.6
TOV%
12.8
72.2
RB%
25.5
.218
FT/FGA
.213

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
26
Games
25
42.9
FG
42.7
92.3
FGA
91.3
.465
FG%
.467
13.8
3Pt-FG
13.7
39.4
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.350
3Pt%
.358
29.2
2Pt-FG
29.0
52.9
2Pt-FGA
53.1
.551
2Pt%
.546
15.9
FT
15.4
19.5
FTA
20.1
.814
FT%
.763
10.2
ORB
11.8
33.2
DRB
31.1
43.4
TRB
42.9
25.7
AST
28.9
12.3
STL
8.9
6.3
BLK
5.8
11.9
TOV
14.5
21.1
PF
20.6
115.6
PTS
114.5

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
26
Games
25
36.2
FG
43.4
85.2
FGA
87.5
.425
FG%
.496
12.6
3Pt-FG
11.4
38.0
3Pt-FGA
29.9
.331
3Pt%
.383
23.7
2Pt-FG
32.0
47.1
2Pt-FGA
57.7
.502
2Pt%
.555
18.6
FT
18.6
25.3
FTA
24.8
.736
FT%
.752
12.8
ORB
10.7
35.0
DRB
33.2
47.8
TRB
43.9
24.1
AST
30.4
7.0
STL
8.8
5.0
BLK
4.5
19.2
TOV
14.4
18.2
PF
18.1
103.6
PTS
116.9

OKC
Analytics
DEN
21
Pythag Wins
14
5
Pythag Losses
11
11.88
Margin Of Victory
2.52
115.6
O Rtg
116.9
103.6
D Rtg
114.5
99.7
Pace
101.3
.211
FTr
.283
.427
3PAr
.341
.573
TS%
.594

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OKC DEN
OKC DEN
Consensus
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+7.0 (-111)
-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-110)
-7.0 (-112)
+7.0 (-108)
-3.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+7.0 (-110)
-3.5 (-108)
+3.5 (-108)
-7.0 (-108)
+7.0 (-113)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
-7.5 (-105)
+7.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
OKC DEN
OKC DEN
Consensus
-166
+138
-266
+220
-166
+140
-278
+225
-156
+132
-260
+215
-155
+128
-265
+215
-165
+140
-190
+158
-165
+140
-275
+225
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
224.5 (-112)
224.5 (-106)
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
225.0 (-108)
225.0 (-112)
223.0 (-110)
223.0 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
223.0 (-108)
223.0 (-113)
224.0 (-112)
224.0 (-109)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
224.5 (-115)
224.5 (-105)