Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Nov 6, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks – 11/6/2024

  • Date: November 6, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Betting Odds

Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -7 (-110), Denver Nuggets 7 (-110)
Over/Under: 223
Moneyline: Oklahoma City Thunder -270, Denver Nuggets 230

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Oklahoma City Thunder - 71% Oklahoma City Thunder - 61%
Denver Nuggets - 29% Denver Nuggets - 39%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder, riding the momentum of a 7-0 start, face off against a divisional rival, the Denver Nuggets, who hold a 4-3 record. This matchup at Denver's Ball Arena on Wednesday night has all the makings of an intense battle, with both teams eager to assert their dominance early in the season. Tip-off is at 9:00 PM ET.

Despite being on the road, the Thunder are considered strong favorites, reflected by a -7.0 spread. Their moneyline odds stand at -270, suggesting a 71% implied probability of victory. Oklahoma City has been on a roll, winning seven consecutive games, including a commanding 102-86 victory over the Orlando Magic. The Nuggets, however, have also shown resilience, winning four of their last five games, including a narrow 121-119 win against the Toronto Raptors.

For bettors, this game offers intriguing opportunities, particularly in the player prop markets. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been a focal point, with many eyeing his points and assists total. The current line for his combined points and assists is set at over 34.5, priced at -130, indicating significant action on the over. Sharp bettors believe this line offers value, given Gilgeous-Alexander's recent performances.

With the Thunder's hot streak and the Nuggets' recent success, this game promises to be an exciting clash. Both teams have plenty of motivation, not just for the win but for the bragging rights in this divisional rivalry. As the Thunder aim to extend their unbeaten run and the Nuggets look to defend their home court, fans and bettors alike will be in for a thrilling night of basketball.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 110.45 vs Denver Nuggets 106.47

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-7.0/-110
56% OKC
+7.0/-110
44% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-278
78% OKC
+225
22% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

222.5/-108
8% UN
222.5/-112
92% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
7
Games
7
42.7
FG
43.3
92.9
FGA
93.0
.460
FG%
.465
13.7
3Pt-FG
13.4
39.4
3Pt-FGA
39.9
.348
3Pt%
.337
29.0
2Pt-FG
29.9
53.4
2Pt-FGA
53.1
.543
2Pt%
.562
14.1
FT
16.6
18.0
FTA
21.1
.786
FT%
.784
8.6
ORB
11.3
36.4
DRB
32.4
45.0
TRB
43.7
25.3
AST
30.9
13.1
STL
7.3
7.4
BLK
7.3
12.6
TOV
15.4
20.4
PF
24.1
113.3
PTS
116.6

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
7
Games
7
34.0
FG
41.9
87.1
FGA
92.0
.390
FG%
.455
10.7
3Pt-FG
11.4
37.4
3Pt-FGA
30.7
.286
3Pt%
.372
23.3
2Pt-FG
30.4
49.7
2Pt-FGA
61.3
.468
2Pt%
.497
17.1
FT
23.1
23.1
FTA
29.3
.741
FT%
.790
12.3
ORB
14.4
37.1
DRB
32.9
49.4
TRB
47.3
24.0
AST
28.7
8.6
STL
9.6
5.1
BLK
4.9
20.6
TOV
13.9
16.0
PF
20.0
95.9
PTS
118.3

Offense/Defense

OKC
Four Factors
DEN
.534
eFG%
.538
11.1
TOV%
13.1
18.8
RB%
74.4
.152
FT/FGA
.178

Defense/Offense

OKC
Four Factors
DEN
.452
eFG%
.517
17.4
TOV%
11.7
74.8
RB%
30.8
.197
FT/FGA
.252

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
7
Games
7
41.6
FG
42.4
90.5
FGA
91.0
.460
FG%
.465
13.4
3Pt-FG
13.1
38.4
3Pt-FGA
39.0
.348
3Pt%
.337
28.3
2Pt-FG
29.2
52.1
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.543
2Pt%
.562
13.8
FT
16.2
17.5
FTA
20.7
.786
FT%
.784
8.4
ORB
11.0
35.5
DRB
31.7
43.9
TRB
42.8
24.6
AST
30.2
12.8
STL
7.1
7.2
BLK
7.1
12.3
TOV
15.1
19.9
PF
23.6
110.4
PTS
114.1

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
7
Games
7
33.1
FG
41.0
84.9
FGA
90.0
.390
FG%
.455
10.4
3Pt-FG
11.2
36.5
3Pt-FGA
30.1
.286
3Pt%
.372
22.7
2Pt-FG
29.8
48.5
2Pt-FGA
60.0
.468
2Pt%
.497
16.7
FT
22.7
22.6
FTA
28.7
.741
FT%
.790
12.0
ORB
14.1
36.2
DRB
32.2
48.2
TRB
46.3
23.4
AST
28.1
8.4
STL
9.4
5.0
BLK
4.8
20.1
TOV
13.6
15.6
PF
19.6
93.4
PTS
115.8

OKC
Analytics
DEN
6
Pythag Wins
4
1
Pythag Losses
3
17.43
Margin Of Victory
1.71
110.4
O Rtg
115.8
93.4
D Rtg
114.1
102.6
Pace
99.2
.194
FTr
.318
.425
3PAr
.334
.562
TS%
.564

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OKC DEN
OKC DEN
Consensus
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+7.0 (-112)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+7.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-108)
+3.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-108)
+7.0 (-112)
-3.5 (-108)
+3.5 (-108)
-7.0 (-108)
+7.0 (-113)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-115)
-6.5 (-115)
+6.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
OKC DEN
OKC DEN
Consensus
-166
+138
-269
+221
-166
+140
-278
+225
-156
+132
-280
+230
-155
+128
-265
+215
-165
+140
-190
+158
-165
+140
-275
+225
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
223.0 (-110)
223.0 (-111)
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
222.5 (-112)
222.5 (-108)
223.0 (-110)
223.0 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
223.0 (-108)
223.0 (-113)
223.0 (-110)
223.0 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)