Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Nov 6, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks – 11/6/2024

  • Date: November 6, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Betting Odds

Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -7 (-110), Denver Nuggets 7 (-110)
Over/Under: 223
Moneyline: Oklahoma City Thunder -270, Denver Nuggets 230

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Oklahoma City Thunder - 71% Oklahoma City Thunder - 61%
Denver Nuggets - 29% Denver Nuggets - 39%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder, riding the momentum of a 7-0 start, face off against a divisional rival, the Denver Nuggets, who hold a 4-3 record. This matchup at Denver's Ball Arena on Wednesday night has all the makings of an intense battle, with both teams eager to assert their dominance early in the season. Tip-off is at 9:00 PM ET.

Despite being on the road, the Thunder are considered strong favorites, reflected by a -7.0 spread. Their moneyline odds stand at -270, suggesting a 71% implied probability of victory. Oklahoma City has been on a roll, winning seven consecutive games, including a commanding 102-86 victory over the Orlando Magic. The Nuggets, however, have also shown resilience, winning four of their last five games, including a narrow 121-119 win against the Toronto Raptors.

For bettors, this game offers intriguing opportunities, particularly in the player prop markets. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been a focal point, with many eyeing his points and assists total. The current line for his combined points and assists is set at over 34.5, priced at -130, indicating significant action on the over. Sharp bettors believe this line offers value, given Gilgeous-Alexander's recent performances.

With the Thunder's hot streak and the Nuggets' recent success, this game promises to be an exciting clash. Both teams have plenty of motivation, not just for the win but for the bragging rights in this divisional rivalry. As the Thunder aim to extend their unbeaten run and the Nuggets look to defend their home court, fans and bettors alike will be in for a thrilling night of basketball.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 110.45 vs Denver Nuggets 106.47

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-7.0/-112
51% OKC
+7.0/-108
49% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-266
81% OKC
+220
19% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

224.5/-112
8% UN
224.5/-108
92% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
16
Games
13
42.3
FG
43.1
92.6
FGA
93.5
.457
FG%
.461
13.7
3Pt-FG
13.3
39.8
3Pt-FGA
39.0
.344
3Pt%
.341
28.6
2Pt-FG
29.8
52.8
2Pt-FGA
54.5
.542
2Pt%
.546
15.9
FT
15.6
19.4
FTA
20.3
.823
FT%
.769
9.8
ORB
12.1
32.7
DRB
32.8
42.4
TRB
44.9
25.3
AST
29.5
12.4
STL
8.2
7.0
BLK
6.8
11.8
TOV
15.1
21.3
PF
21.9
114.3
PTS
115.1

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
16
Games
13
35.9
FG
42.3
85.3
FGA
90.3
.421
FG%
.468
12.9
3Pt-FG
12.3
37.2
3Pt-FGA
32.4
.346
3Pt%
.380
23.1
2Pt-FG
30.0
48.1
2Pt-FGA
57.9
.479
2Pt%
.518
18.9
FT
19.6
25.8
FTA
25.4
.731
FT%
.773
13.4
ORB
12.1
36.4
DRB
34.1
49.9
TRB
46.2
24.6
AST
29.6
7.0
STL
9.2
4.9
BLK
4.8
20.0
TOV
14.2
18.0
PF
19.1
103.6
PTS
116.5

Offense/Defense

OKC
Four Factors
DEN
.531
eFG%
.532
10.5
TOV%
12.8
21.1
RB%
73.8
.172
FT/FGA
.167

Defense/Offense

OKC
Four Factors
DEN
.497
eFG%
.537
17.1
TOV%
12.3
70.9
RB%
26.9
.221
FT/FGA
.217

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
16
Games
13
42.1
FG
42.3
92.1
FGA
91.9
.457
FG%
.461
13.6
3Pt-FG
13.1
39.6
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.344
3Pt%
.341
28.5
2Pt-FG
29.3
52.5
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.542
2Pt%
.546
15.9
FT
15.3
19.3
FTA
20.0
.823
FT%
.769
9.7
ORB
11.9
32.5
DRB
32.3
42.2
TRB
44.2
25.1
AST
29.0
12.4
STL
8.1
7.0
BLK
6.7
11.7
TOV
14.8
21.2
PF
21.5
113.6
PTS
113.1

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
16
Games
13
35.7
FG
41.6
84.9
FGA
88.8
.421
FG%
.468
12.8
3Pt-FG
12.1
37.0
3Pt-FGA
31.8
.346
3Pt%
.380
22.9
2Pt-FG
29.5
47.9
2Pt-FGA
56.9
.479
2Pt%
.518
18.8
FT
19.3
25.7
FTA
24.9
.731
FT%
.773
13.4
ORB
11.9
36.2
DRB
33.5
49.6
TRB
45.4
24.4
AST
29.1
7.0
STL
9.1
4.8
BLK
4.7
19.9
TOV
14.0
17.9
PF
18.7
103.1
PTS
114.5

OKC
Analytics
DEN
13
Pythag Wins
7
3
Pythag Losses
6
10.63
Margin Of Victory
1.46
113.6
O Rtg
114.5
103.1
D Rtg
113.1
100.5
Pace
100.1
.209
FTr
.281
.430
3PAr
.359
.565
TS%
.574

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OKC DEN
OKC DEN
Consensus
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+7.0 (-111)
-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-110)
-7.0 (-112)
+7.0 (-108)
-3.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+7.0 (-110)
-3.5 (-108)
+3.5 (-108)
-7.0 (-108)
+7.0 (-113)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
-7.5 (-105)
+7.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
OKC DEN
OKC DEN
Consensus
-166
+138
-266
+220
-166
+140
-278
+225
-156
+132
-260
+215
-155
+128
-265
+215
-165
+140
-190
+158
-165
+140
-275
+225
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
224.5 (-112)
224.5 (-106)
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
225.0 (-108)
225.0 (-112)
223.0 (-110)
223.0 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
223.0 (-108)
223.0 (-113)
224.0 (-112)
224.0 (-109)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
224.5 (-115)
224.5 (-105)