Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oct 24, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets Prediction For 10/24/2024

  • Date: October 24, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Betting Odds

Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder 2 (-110), Denver Nuggets -2 (-110)
Over/Under: 226.5
Moneyline: Oklahoma City Thunder 110, Denver Nuggets -130

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Oklahoma City Thunder - 46% Oklahoma City Thunder - 53%
Denver Nuggets - 54% Denver Nuggets - 47%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

As the Oklahoma City Thunder prepare to face off against the Denver Nuggets on Thursday night, fans and bettors alike can expect an electrifying matchup between two divisional rivals at Ball Arena. Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET, and with both teams riding strong recent performances—each having won 34 of their last 50 games—this contest promises to be a tightly contested battle.

The Nuggets enter the game as slight favorites, reflected by the betting lines featuring a -2.0 spread in their favor. Denver's moneyline is set at -130, suggesting a 54% implied win probability. Meanwhile, the Thunder are at +110 on the moneyline, giving them a 46% chance of clinching victory. The closely matched odds indicate that this game could go either way, making it a challenging prediction for bettors.

One intriguing aspect of this matchup is the player prop market, specifically focusing on Jamal Murray's points and assists. This has been the most popular betting market for the game. Initially set at under 26.5 points and assists (-125), the total has since drawn significant interest, moving to 25.5 (-120). This shift suggests that sharp bettors are favoring the under, potentially anticipating a strong defensive effort from Oklahoma City or a more balanced offensive approach from Denver.

Both teams will have extra motivation to secure a victory, not just for divisional pride but also to maintain their upward momentum in the standings. With a close contest expected, basketball fans and bettors should be in for an exciting night of action as the Thunder and the Nuggets collide in what promises to be a thrilling showdown.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 114.53 vs Denver Nuggets 113.43

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.0/-108
41% OKC
-2.0/-112
59% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+112
20% OKC
-133
80% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

228.5/-112
15% UN
228.5/-108
85% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
16
Games
13
42.3
FG
43.1
92.6
FGA
93.5
.457
FG%
.461
13.7
3Pt-FG
13.3
39.8
3Pt-FGA
39.0
.344
3Pt%
.341
28.6
2Pt-FG
29.8
52.8
2Pt-FGA
54.5
.542
2Pt%
.546
15.9
FT
15.6
19.4
FTA
20.3
.823
FT%
.769
9.8
ORB
12.1
32.7
DRB
32.8
42.4
TRB
44.9
25.3
AST
29.5
12.4
STL
8.2
7.0
BLK
6.8
11.8
TOV
15.1
21.3
PF
21.9
114.3
PTS
115.1

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
16
Games
13
35.9
FG
42.3
85.3
FGA
90.3
.421
FG%
.468
12.9
3Pt-FG
12.3
37.2
3Pt-FGA
32.4
.346
3Pt%
.380
23.1
2Pt-FG
30.0
48.1
2Pt-FGA
57.9
.479
2Pt%
.518
18.9
FT
19.6
25.8
FTA
25.4
.731
FT%
.773
13.4
ORB
12.1
36.4
DRB
34.1
49.9
TRB
46.2
24.6
AST
29.6
7.0
STL
9.2
4.9
BLK
4.8
20.0
TOV
14.2
18.0
PF
19.1
103.6
PTS
116.5

Offense/Defense

OKC
Four Factors
DEN
.531
eFG%
.532
10.5
TOV%
12.8
21.1
RB%
73.8
.172
FT/FGA
.167

Defense/Offense

OKC
Four Factors
DEN
.497
eFG%
.537
17.1
TOV%
12.3
70.9
RB%
26.9
.221
FT/FGA
.217

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
16
Games
13
42.1
FG
42.3
92.1
FGA
91.9
.457
FG%
.461
13.6
3Pt-FG
13.1
39.6
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.344
3Pt%
.341
28.5
2Pt-FG
29.3
52.5
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.542
2Pt%
.546
15.9
FT
15.3
19.3
FTA
20.0
.823
FT%
.769
9.7
ORB
11.9
32.5
DRB
32.3
42.2
TRB
44.2
25.1
AST
29.0
12.4
STL
8.1
7.0
BLK
6.7
11.7
TOV
14.8
21.2
PF
21.5
113.6
PTS
113.1

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
16
Games
13
35.7
FG
41.6
84.9
FGA
88.8
.421
FG%
.468
12.8
3Pt-FG
12.1
37.0
3Pt-FGA
31.8
.346
3Pt%
.380
22.9
2Pt-FG
29.5
47.9
2Pt-FGA
56.9
.479
2Pt%
.518
18.8
FT
19.3
25.7
FTA
24.9
.731
FT%
.773
13.4
ORB
11.9
36.2
DRB
33.5
49.6
TRB
45.4
24.4
AST
29.1
7.0
STL
9.1
4.8
BLK
4.7
19.9
TOV
14.0
17.9
PF
18.7
103.1
PTS
114.5

OKC
Analytics
DEN
13
Pythag Wins
7
3
Pythag Losses
6
10.63
Margin Of Victory
1.46
113.6
O Rtg
114.5
103.1
D Rtg
113.1
100.5
Pace
100.1
.209
FTr
.281
.430
3PAr
.359
.565
TS%
.574

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OKC DEN
OKC DEN
Consensus
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-109)
+2.0 (-108)
-2.0 (-112)
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.0 (-108)
-2.0 (-112)
+2.5 (-112)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.0 (-112)
-2.0 (-108)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-108)
+2.0 (-108)
-2.0 (-113)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
OKC DEN
OKC DEN
Consensus
+122
-147
+112
-133
+124
-148
+114
-135
+122
-144
+108
-126
+130
-155
+110
-130
+126
-150
+110
-130
+120
-145
+110
-135
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
225.5 (-111)
225.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
225.5 (-112)
225.5 (-108)
228.5 (-108)
228.5 (-112)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
228.5 (-112)
228.5 (-108)
225.0 (-108)
225.0 (-113)
227.5 (-109)
227.5 (-112)
225.5 (-115)
225.5 (-105)
227.5 (-105)
227.5 (-115)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)