Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oct 24, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets Prediction For 10/24/2024

  • Date: October 24, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Betting Odds

Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder 2 (-110), Denver Nuggets -2 (-110)
Over/Under: 226.5
Moneyline: Oklahoma City Thunder 110, Denver Nuggets -130

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Oklahoma City Thunder - 46% Oklahoma City Thunder - 53%
Denver Nuggets - 54% Denver Nuggets - 47%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

As the Oklahoma City Thunder prepare to face off against the Denver Nuggets on Thursday night, fans and bettors alike can expect an electrifying matchup between two divisional rivals at Ball Arena. Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET, and with both teams riding strong recent performances—each having won 34 of their last 50 games—this contest promises to be a tightly contested battle.

The Nuggets enter the game as slight favorites, reflected by the betting lines featuring a -2.0 spread in their favor. Denver's moneyline is set at -130, suggesting a 54% implied win probability. Meanwhile, the Thunder are at +110 on the moneyline, giving them a 46% chance of clinching victory. The closely matched odds indicate that this game could go either way, making it a challenging prediction for bettors.

One intriguing aspect of this matchup is the player prop market, specifically focusing on Jamal Murray's points and assists. This has been the most popular betting market for the game. Initially set at under 26.5 points and assists (-125), the total has since drawn significant interest, moving to 25.5 (-120). This shift suggests that sharp bettors are favoring the under, potentially anticipating a strong defensive effort from Oklahoma City or a more balanced offensive approach from Denver.

Both teams will have extra motivation to secure a victory, not just for divisional pride but also to maintain their upward momentum in the standings. With a close contest expected, basketball fans and bettors should be in for an exciting night of action as the Thunder and the Nuggets collide in what promises to be a thrilling showdown.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 114.53 vs Denver Nuggets 113.43

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.0/-108
41% OKC
-2.0/-112
59% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+112
20% OKC
-133
80% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

228.5/-112
15% UN
228.5/-108
85% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
25
Games
24
42.9
FG
43.5
92.4
FGA
93.1
.465
FG%
.468
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.9
39.6
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.351
3Pt%
.359
29.0
2Pt-FG
29.6
52.8
2Pt-FGA
54.3
.550
2Pt%
.545
15.9
FT
15.5
19.6
FTA
20.4
.810
FT%
.759
10.4
ORB
12.0
33.3
DRB
31.8
43.7
TRB
43.8
25.7
AST
29.5
12.2
STL
9.1
6.3
BLK
5.8
11.8
TOV
15.0
21.1
PF
21.2
115.6
PTS
116.5

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
25
Games
24
36.2
FG
44.3
85.2
FGA
89.5
.424
FG%
.494
12.6
3Pt-FG
11.5
38.0
3Pt-FGA
30.4
.331
3Pt%
.380
23.6
2Pt-FG
32.7
47.2
2Pt-FGA
59.1
.500
2Pt%
.553
18.6
FT
19.2
25.2
FTA
25.5
.737
FT%
.753
12.9
ORB
11.0
35.1
DRB
34.0
48.0
TRB
45.0
24.0
AST
30.8
7.0
STL
9.1
5.0
BLK
4.7
19.1
TOV
14.9
18.3
PF
18.4
103.5
PTS
119.2

Offense/Defense

OKC
Four Factors
DEN
.540
eFG%
.542
10.5
TOV%
12.8
22.9
RB%
74.0
.172
FT/FGA
.166

Defense/Offense

OKC
Four Factors
DEN
.498
eFG%
.559
16.5
TOV%
12.9
72.1
RB%
25.7
.218
FT/FGA
.214

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
25
Games
24
43.0
FG
42.6
92.6
FGA
91.0
.465
FG%
.468
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.6
39.7
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.351
3Pt%
.359
29.1
2Pt-FG
29.0
52.9
2Pt-FGA
53.1
.550
2Pt%
.545
15.9
FT
15.2
19.6
FTA
20.0
.810
FT%
.759
10.4
ORB
11.7
33.4
DRB
31.1
43.8
TRB
42.8
25.8
AST
28.9
12.2
STL
8.9
6.3
BLK
5.7
11.8
TOV
14.6
21.1
PF
20.7
115.8
PTS
113.9

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
25
Games
24
36.2
FG
43.3
85.3
FGA
87.5
.424
FG%
.494
12.6
3Pt-FG
11.3
38.1
3Pt-FGA
29.7
.331
3Pt%
.380
23.6
2Pt-FG
32.0
47.2
2Pt-FGA
57.8
.500
2Pt%
.553
18.6
FT
18.7
25.2
FTA
24.9
.737
FT%
.753
12.9
ORB
10.8
35.1
DRB
33.2
48.0
TRB
44.0
24.0
AST
30.1
7.1
STL
8.9
5.0
BLK
4.6
19.1
TOV
14.5
18.3
PF
18.0
103.7
PTS
116.5

OKC
Analytics
DEN
21
Pythag Wins
14
4
Pythag Losses
10
12.12
Margin Of Victory
2.71
115.8
O Rtg
116.5
103.7
D Rtg
113.9
99.8
Pace
101.4
.212
FTr
.284
.429
3PAr
.339
.572
TS%
.592

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OKC DEN
OKC DEN
Consensus
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-109)
+2.0 (-108)
-2.0 (-112)
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.0 (-108)
-2.0 (-112)
+2.5 (-112)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.0 (-112)
-2.0 (-108)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-108)
+2.0 (-108)
-2.0 (-113)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
OKC DEN
OKC DEN
Consensus
+122
-147
+112
-133
+124
-148
+114
-135
+122
-144
+108
-126
+130
-155
+110
-130
+126
-150
+110
-130
+120
-145
+110
-135
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
225.5 (-111)
225.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
225.5 (-112)
225.5 (-108)
228.5 (-108)
228.5 (-112)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
228.5 (-112)
228.5 (-108)
225.0 (-108)
225.0 (-113)
227.5 (-109)
227.5 (-112)
225.5 (-115)
225.5 (-105)
227.5 (-105)
227.5 (-115)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)