New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers Game 6 Prediction – 5/31/2025

The stakes could not be higher on Saturday night as the Eastern Conference Finals return to Indianapolis for Game 6 with Indiana holding a 3-2 edge over New York. The Pacers looked flat in Thursday’s 111-94 defeat at Madison Square Garden, yet their up-tempo offense has blitzed opponents inside Gainbridge Fieldhouse throughout the postseason. Meanwhile the Knicks bring fresh belief after smothering Tyrese Haliburton and forcing 20 turnovers in Game 5. One more Knicks win would drag this compelling series back to Broadway for a decisive Game 7, while a Pacers victory would punch their first NBA Finals ticket since 2000.

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers Game 6 Preview

At home this postseason the Pacers are 5-2. Haliburton posts 18.6 points and 9.5 assists per game in these playoffs, though New York held him to eight points on two made field goals in Game 5 by blitzing pick-and-roll actions and crowding passing lanes. Pascal Siakam supplies 23.6 points and 5.0 boards per game in this series, and Myles Turner has added 13.4 points per game, but will need to be more effective after scoring just five points in Game 5.

The Knicks have leaned on Jalen Brunson’s scoring punch in this series. He averages 33 points in this series and has topped 30 in four of his last five playoff outings. Karl-Anthony Towns shook off knee soreness to produce 24 points and 13 rebounds on Thursday, giving New York a vital stretch-five who drags Turner away from the basket. Josh Hart keeps piling up double-digit rebounds, and Mikal Bridges’ length has become Tom Thibodeau’s preferred answer on Haliburton. The question will be whether the Knicks can avoid turnovers on the road to extend this series.

The series trends tell two different stories. Indiana has cracked 110 points in all three wins and failed to reach that mark in two defeats. New York’s defense travels, but Thibodeau’s group gives up 1.5 more first-quarter points per game on the road, an area Indiana exploits by averaging 32 in the opening 12 minutes at home. Expect Rick Carlisle to script early actions that free Haliburton in space and create weak-side looks for Aaron Nesmith and Bennedict Mathurin, whose bench spark has been vital.

Betting Insights

• Spread: Pacers -3.5
• Moneyline: Pacers -192, Knicks +165
• Total: 219.5
• Series price: Pacers -165, Knicks +140

Against the spread records remain close. New York owns a 50-48-1 mark, Indiana stands 46-48-3. Totals have been split in this series. Indiana’s lightning tempo collides with New York’s grind-it-out half-court approach, but rebounding and turnovers have settled every game. In the two Knicks victories they are have dominated the glass and in second-chance points. In the three Pacers wins they have the edge in fast-break scoring and points off turnovers.

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers Game 6 Prediction

Expect Indiana to answer the wake-up call from their last time out. Carlisle should stagger Haliburton and Siakam to guarantee a primary creator on the floor, while Turner’s pick-and-pop game will drag Towns away from the rim and clear lanes for cutters. New York will keep it tight behind Brunson’s mid-range artistry and Hart’s relentless work on the glass, yet the Knicks have struggled on defense in road playoff games. Indiana’s home form, elite first-quarter production, and deeper bench tilt the balance in their favor. Lay the small number and look to the over with both offenses trending upward after two nights of rest.

Pick: Pacers -3.5 and Over 220.5
Projected final score: Indiana 114, New York 108

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers Game 6 Win Probabilities

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