New York Knicks

New York Knicks

May 5, 2025

Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics Game 1 Prediction – 5/5/2025

The New York Knicks are set to clash with the Boston Celtics in Game 1 of their second-round Eastern Conference playoff series on May 5, 2025, at TD Garden, starting at 7:00 PM ET. This game carries significant weight, as both teams look to secure a victory to start this series. The Celtics made quick work of the Orlando Magic in the first round of the playoffs, while the Knicks knocked off the Detroit Pistons in six games.

The Celtics enter this contest as substantial favorites, boasting a record of 65-22 and an implied win probability of 76%. Their Moneyline sits at -380, indicating strong confidence from oddsmakers in Boston's ability to perform at home. Conversely, the Knicks, with a record of 55-33, have an implied win probability of 24% and a Moneyline of +305. Despite being the underdogs, the Knicks have shown resilience, winning 30 of their last 50 games, and will benefit from the extra rest, having last played four days ago.

Both teams are riding a wave of momentum, with the Celtics winning 38 of their last 50 games. Their last outing resulted in a victory over the Detroit Pistons, as did the Knicks, who edged out the same team 116-113 in their previous game. The extra days off could be a double-edged sword, but both squads will be well-rested heading into this rivalry match.

One player to watch is Jayson Tatum, particularly in the Points and Assists prop market, which has garnered significant attention from bettors. The prop total opened at Under 34.5 Points and Assists, but sharp money has pushed it down to 33.5, indicating a trend toward betting the Under. As the Knicks look to pull off an upset, the Celtics will aim to solidify their dominance in this storied rivalry.

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics Game 1 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: New York Knicks 105, Boston Celtics 112.49

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics Game 1 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Knicks23%29%
Celtics77%71%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+9.0/-110
47% NY
-9.0/-110
53% BOS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+300
17% NY
-380
83% BOS

Total Pick Consensus

213.0/-108
6% UN
213.0/-112
94% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

NY
Team Stats Per Game
BOS
82
Games
82
43.3
FG
40.3
89.2
FGA
89.4
.486
FG%
.450
12.6
3Pt-FG
12.9
34.1
3Pt-FGA
37.1
.369
3Pt%
.347
30.8
2Pt-FG
27.4
55.1
2Pt-FGA
52.3
.558
2Pt%
.524
16.5
FT
13.8
20.7
FTA
17.7
.800
FT%
.777
10.9
ORB
10.7
31.8
DRB
33.0
42.6
TRB
43.7
27.5
AST
24.0
8.2
STL
6.9
4.0
BLK
3.6
13.3
TOV
12.8
17.2
PF
17.5
115.8
PTS
107.2

Defense/Offense

NY
Team Stats Per Game
BOS
82
Games
82
41.6
FG
41.6
87.7
FGA
90.0
.474
FG%
.462
13.1
3Pt-FG
17.8
35.7
3Pt-FGA
48.2
.367
3Pt%
.368
28.5
2Pt-FG
23.9
52.0
2Pt-FGA
41.8
.548
2Pt%
.571
15.4
FT
15.3
19.5
FTA
19.1
.789
FT%
.799
10.9
ORB
11.4
31.0
DRB
33.9
41.8
TRB
45.3
25.2
AST
26.1
7.0
STL
7.2
5.0
BLK
5.5
14.5
TOV
11.9
19.0
PF
15.9
111.7
PTS
116.3

Offense/Defense

NY
Four Factors
BOS
.556
eFG%
.522
11.9
TOV%
11.6
26.0
RB%
76.0
.186
FT/FGA
.154

Defense/Offense

NY
Four Factors
BOS
.549
eFG%
.561
13.1
TOV%
10.8
74.5
RB%
25.7
.176
FT/FGA
.169

Offense/Defense

NY
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
BOS
82
Games
82
44.3
FG
41.8
91.3
FGA
92.7
.486
FG%
.450
12.9
3Pt-FG
13.3
34.9
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.369
3Pt%
.347
31.5
2Pt-FG
28.4
56.4
2Pt-FGA
54.2
.558
2Pt%
.524
16.9
FT
14.3
21.2
FTA
18.3
.800
FT%
.777
11.1
ORB
11.1
32.5
DRB
34.2
43.6
TRB
45.3
28.1
AST
24.9
8.4
STL
7.2
4.0
BLK
3.7
13.6
TOV
13.3
17.6
PF
18.2
118.5
PTS
111.1

Defense/Offense

NY
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
BOS
82
Games
82
42.6
FG
43.2
89.8
FGA
93.3
.474
FG%
.462
13.4
3Pt-FG
18.4
36.5
3Pt-FGA
50.0
.367
3Pt%
.368
29.2
2Pt-FG
24.7
53.3
2Pt-FGA
43.3
.548
2Pt%
.571
15.8
FT
15.8
20.0
FTA
19.8
.789
FT%
.799
11.1
ORB
11.8
31.7
DRB
35.2
42.8
TRB
47.0
25.8
AST
27.1
7.2
STL
7.4
5.1
BLK
5.7
14.8
TOV
12.3
19.4
PF
16.5
114.3
PTS
120.6

NY
Analytics
BOS
51
Pythag Wins
62
31
Pythag Losses
20
4.10
Margin Of Victory
9.11
118.5
O Rtg
120.6
114.3
D Rtg
111.1
96.7
Pace
95.7
.232
FTr
.212
.382
3PAr
.536
.589
TS%
.591

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
NY BOS
NY BOS
Consensus
+8.5 (-109)
-8.5 (-111)
+9.0 (-109)
-9.0 (-112)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-108)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-115)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
+8.5 (-108)
-8.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-108)
-9.0 (-113)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
+8.5 (-115)
-8.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
NY BOS
NY BOS
Consensus
+292
-373
+322
-411
+300
-380
+300
-380
+300
-375
+310
-390
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
213.0 (-112)
213.0 (-110)
212.5 (-111)
212.5 (-109)
213.5 (-112)
213.5 (-108)
213.0 (-112)
213.0 (-108)
213.0 (-110)
213.0 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
213.0 (-113)
213.0 (-108)
212.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
213.0 (-110)
213.0 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)

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