Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers Game 5 Prediction – 4/30/2025

The Minnesota Timberwolves (52-34) are set to face off against the Los Angeles Lakers (51-35) in Game 5 of their Western Conference first-round playoff series on Wednesday, April 30, 2025, at 10:00 PM ET at Crypto.com Arena. This matchup comes just three days after the Timberwolves edged out the Lakers in their last encounter, winning 116-113 to take a 3-1 lead in this best-of-seven series. Both teams entered that game with fresh legs, and they'll have the same advantage again, as each squad had three days off prior to this contest.

However, the Timberwolves will be at a disadvantage, having traveled cross-country for this matchup. The fatigue from a longer-than-normal road trip could impact their performance against a Lakers team that is favored at home, with a current spread of Lakers -5.5. The Lakers have been solid at Crypto.com Arena, winning 29 of their last 40 home games.

Betting markets indicate a clear favorite in this matchup, with the Lakers holding a moneyline of -225, translating to an implied win probability of 67%. In contrast, the Timberwolves' moneyline sits at +195, giving them an implied win probability of 33%. Despite the odds, the Timberwolves have been playing well, winning 33 of their last 50 games.

For those looking to place player prop bets, Rudy Gobert's Points and Assists are garnering attention, as it has become the most popular betting market for this game. Additionally, sharp bettors seem to be leaning towards the Under, particularly on Gobert's line set at Under 8.5 Points and Assists (-120), suggesting they believe it may be mispriced. This matchup promises to be an intriguing battle with playoff implications on the line.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers Game 5 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Minnesota Timberwolves 106.61, Los Angeles Lakers 110.92

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers Game 5 Win Probabilities

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