Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves

May 12, 2025

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Game 4 Prediction – 5/12/2025

With the Minnesota Timberwolves leading the series 2-1, Game 4 against the Golden State Warriors on Monday, May 12, 2025, at Chase Center in San Francisco is pivotal. The Timberwolves aim to extend their advantage, while the Warriors seek to even the series on their home court.

Timberwolves vs Warriors Game 4 Preview

In Game 3, Minnesota capitalized on a late-game surge to secure a 2-1 series lead. Anthony Edwards, despite an ankle concern, contributed significantly, while Julius Randle recorded a triple-double. The Timberwolves' defense tightened in the fourth quarter, limiting Golden State's scoring opportunities.

Golden State's performance was hindered by the absence of Stephen Curry, who is sidelined with a hamstring injury. Draymond Green fouled out with over four minutes remaining, which impacted the Warriors' defensive stability. The team struggled to maintain momentum in the closing stages of the game without two of their best players on the floor.

For Game 4, the Timberwolves will rely on their defensive prowess, anchored by Rudy Gobert, and the offensive contributions of Edwards and Randle. The Warriors will need increased production from veterans like Jimmy Butler and Buddy Hield to compensate for Curry's absence.

Betting Insights

  • Point Spread: Timberwolves favored by 5.5 points
  • Over/Under: 200.5 total points
  • Moneyline: Timberwolves -215, Warriors +185

Anthony Edwards has been a consistent scorer for Minnesota, averaging 26.3 points per game during this series. Rudy Gobert's defensive impact is notable, with averages of 11.0 rebounds and 2.3 blocks per game.

Timberwolves vs Warriors Game 4 Prediction

Considering the Timberwolves' current form and the Warriors' challenges without Curry, Minnesota is positioned to secure a victory in Game 4. The team's defensive strength and balanced scoring provide a solid foundation. A win would give the Timberwolves a commanding 3-1 series lead as they return home for Game 5.

Predicted Final Score: Minnesota Timberwolves 107.85, Golden State Warriors 99.5

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Game 4 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Timberwolves65%74%
Warriors35%26%

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-4.5/-112
43% MIN
+4.5/-108
57% GS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-191
51% MIN
+161
49% GS

Total Pick Consensus

201.5/-110
7% UN
201.5/-110
93% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
GS
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
GS
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Offense/Defense

MIN
Four Factors
GS
eFG%
TOV%
RB%
FT/FGA

Defense/Offense

MIN
Four Factors
GS
eFG%
TOV%
RB%
FT/FGA

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

MIN
Analytics
GS
Pythag Wins
Pythag Losses
Margin Of Victory
O Rtg
D Rtg
Pace
FTr
3PAr
TS%

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIN GS
MIN GS
Consensus
-6.0 (-113)
+6.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-113)
+4.5 (-108)
-6.0 (-112)
+6.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-108)
-5.0 (-112)
+5.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-108)
-5.0 (-113)
+5.0 (-109)
-4.5 (-113)
+4.5 (-108)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-115)
+6.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIN GS
MIN GS
Consensus
-241
+195
-191
+161
-238
+195
-198
+164
-200
+168
-198
+166
-210
+170
-190
+160
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
199.5 (-110)
199.5 (-110)
201.5 (-111)
201.5 (-108)
199.5 (-110)
199.5 (-110)
201.0 (-110)
201.0 (-110)
198.5 (-112)
198.5 (-108)
201.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
198.5 (-110)
198.5 (-110)
201.0 (-110)
201.0 (-110)
199.5 (-110)
199.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
199.5 (-110)
199.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)

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Home NBA Picks Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Game 4 Prediction – 5/12/2025