Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves

May 12, 2025

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Game 4 Prediction – 5/12/2025

With the Minnesota Timberwolves leading the series 2-1, Game 4 against the Golden State Warriors on Monday, May 12, 2025, at Chase Center in San Francisco is pivotal. The Timberwolves aim to extend their advantage, while the Warriors seek to even the series on their home court.

Timberwolves vs Warriors Game 4 Preview

In Game 3, Minnesota capitalized on a late-game surge to secure a 2-1 series lead. Anthony Edwards, despite an ankle concern, contributed significantly, while Julius Randle recorded a triple-double. The Timberwolves' defense tightened in the fourth quarter, limiting Golden State's scoring opportunities.

Golden State's performance was hindered by the absence of Stephen Curry, who is sidelined with a hamstring injury. Draymond Green fouled out with over four minutes remaining, which impacted the Warriors' defensive stability. The team struggled to maintain momentum in the closing stages of the game without two of their best players on the floor.

For Game 4, the Timberwolves will rely on their defensive prowess, anchored by Rudy Gobert, and the offensive contributions of Edwards and Randle. The Warriors will need increased production from veterans like Jimmy Butler and Buddy Hield to compensate for Curry's absence.

Betting Insights

  • Point Spread: Timberwolves favored by 5.5 points
  • Over/Under: 200.5 total points
  • Moneyline: Timberwolves -215, Warriors +185

Anthony Edwards has been a consistent scorer for Minnesota, averaging 26.3 points per game during this series. Rudy Gobert's defensive impact is notable, with averages of 11.0 rebounds and 2.3 blocks per game.

Timberwolves vs Warriors Game 4 Prediction

Considering the Timberwolves' current form and the Warriors' challenges without Curry, Minnesota is positioned to secure a victory in Game 4. The team's defensive strength and balanced scoring provide a solid foundation. A win would give the Timberwolves a commanding 3-1 series lead as they return home for Game 5.

Predicted Final Score: Minnesota Timberwolves 107.85, Golden State Warriors 99.5

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Game 4 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Timberwolves65%74%
Warriors35%26%

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-5.5/-110
50% MIN
+5.5/-110
50% GS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-225
44% MIN
+185
56% GS

Total Pick Consensus

199.5/-110
10% UN
199.5/-110
90% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
GS
82
Games
82
41.0
FG
40.4
87.6
FGA
86.9
.468
FG%
.465
15.0
3Pt-FG
13.2
39.9
3Pt-FGA
36.3
.377
3Pt%
.363
26.0
2Pt-FG
27.3
47.7
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.545
2Pt%
.539
17.2
FT
16.4
21.8
FTA
21.4
.789
FT%
.769
11.1
ORB
10.6
33.2
DRB
33.5
44.3
TRB
44.1
26.1
AST
25.9
8.0
STL
7.6
5.0
BLK
5.4
14.5
TOV
15.7
18.3
PF
18.6
114.3
PTS
110.5

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
GS
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
40.8
88.0
FGA
90.4
.460
FG%
.451
12.7
3Pt-FG
15.4
36.0
3Pt-FGA
42.4
.353
3Pt%
.364
27.8
2Pt-FG
25.3
52.0
2Pt-FGA
48.0
.534
2Pt%
.528
15.7
FT
16.9
20.4
FTA
22.1
.767
FT%
.764
11.0
ORB
12.5
31.8
DRB
32.8
42.9
TRB
45.4
24.8
AST
29.1
8.4
STL
9.4
4.5
BLK
4.8
14.7
TOV
14.0
19.2
PF
19.2
109.3
PTS
113.8

Offense/Defense

MIN
Four Factors
GS
.554
eFG%
.541
13.0
TOV%
14.1
25.8
RB%
75.6
.196
FT/FGA
.189

Defense/Offense

MIN
Four Factors
GS
.532
eFG%
.536
13.2
TOV%
12.3
75.1
RB%
27.3
.178
FT/FGA
.187

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
82
Games
82
41.8
FG
40.9
89.3
FGA
87.8
.468
FG%
.465
15.3
3Pt-FG
13.3
40.7
3Pt-FGA
36.7
.377
3Pt%
.363
26.5
2Pt-FG
27.6
48.7
2Pt-FGA
51.2
.545
2Pt%
.539
17.6
FT
16.6
22.3
FTA
21.6
.789
FT%
.769
11.3
ORB
10.7
33.9
DRB
33.8
45.2
TRB
44.5
26.6
AST
26.1
8.1
STL
7.7
5.1
BLK
5.4
14.8
TOV
15.9
18.6
PF
18.8
116.6
PTS
111.7

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
82
Games
82
41.3
FG
41.2
89.7
FGA
91.4
.460
FG%
.451
12.9
3Pt-FG
15.6
36.7
3Pt-FGA
42.8
.353
3Pt%
.364
28.3
2Pt-FG
25.6
53.0
2Pt-FGA
48.5
.534
2Pt%
.528
16.0
FT
17.0
20.8
FTA
22.3
.767
FT%
.764
11.3
ORB
12.7
32.5
DRB
33.2
43.7
TRB
45.9
25.3
AST
29.4
8.5
STL
9.5
4.6
BLK
4.8
15.0
TOV
14.2
19.5
PF
19.4
111.5
PTS
115.0

MIN
Analytics
GS
53
Pythag Wins
49
29
Pythag Losses
33
5.00
Margin Of Victory
3.30
116.6
O Rtg
115.0
111.5
D Rtg
111.7
97.3
Pace
98.7
.249
FTr
.244
.455
3PAr
.469
.588
TS%
.568

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIN GS
MIN GS
Consensus
-6.0 (-108)
+6.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-108)
+5.5 (-113)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.0 (-108)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-108)
+5.5 (-112)
-5.0 (-109)
+5.0 (-109)
-5.5 (-109)
+5.5 (-112)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-6.5 (-105)
+6.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-105)
+5.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
MIN GS
MIN GS
Consensus
-241
+195
-213
+180
-238
+195
-225
+185
-200
+168
-225
+188
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
199.5 (-110)
199.5 (-110)
200.5 (-110)
200.5 (-110)
199.5 (-110)
199.5 (-110)
199.5 (-110)
199.5 (-110)
198.5 (-112)
198.5 (-108)
200.5 (-108)
200.5 (-112)
198.5 (-110)
198.5 (-110)
200.5 (-110)
200.5 (-110)
199.5 (-110)
199.5 (-110)
200.0 (-110)
200.0 (-110)
199.5 (-110)
199.5 (-110)
199.5 (-115)
199.5 (-105)

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Home NBA Picks Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Game 4 Prediction – 5/12/2025