Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves

May 19, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets Game 7 Pick For 5/19/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Game 7 Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 19, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Betting Odds

Spread: Minnesota Timberwolves 5 (-110), Denver Nuggets -5 (-110)
Over/Under Total: 198
Moneyline: Minnesota Timberwolves 165, Denver Nuggets -195

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Minnesota Timberwolves - 36% Minnesota Timberwolves - 38%
Denver Nuggets - 64% Denver Nuggets - 62%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Game 7 Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves (63-29) are set to face off against the Denver Nuggets (64-29) in Game 7 of their second-round playoff series in the Western Conference at Ball Arena on Sunday night. This game carries extra significance as these two divisional rivals aim to assert their dominance over one another, with a spot in the Western Conference Finals on the line.

As the home team, the Nuggets hold the upper hand in this matchup. They are favored by sportsbooks with a spread of -5.0, indicating that they are expected to win by a margin of at least five points.

In terms of the betting odds, the Nuggets hold a stronger position. Their moneyline is currently set at -190, suggesting that they have a higher likelihood of winning the game. On the other hand, the Timberwolves' moneyline is listed at +165, giving them a lower implied probability of victory at 37%.

In their previous encounter, the Timberwolves emerged victorious with an impressive 115-70 win over the Nuggets. This result may serve as extra motivation for the Nuggets to seek redemption and even the score.

For those interested in player prop bets, keep an eye on Nikola Jokic's Points and Assists. It has already become the most popular betting market for this game, indicating significant interest from bettors. The prop total for Jokic's Points and Assists opened at Over 38.5 (-115) but quickly moved to 39.5 (-110), indicating sharp bettors favoring the Over.

Both teams have been performing well in recent games, with the Timberwolves winning 33 of their last 50 games and the Nuggets victorious in 35 of their last 50. This suggests that we can expect a competitive and thrilling matchup between these two talented squads.

As the Timberwolves and Nuggets take the court at 8:00 PM ET, basketball fans and sports bettors alike will be eagerly watching to see which team will emerge victorious in this divisional clash.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Minnesota Timberwolves 101.41 vs Denver Nuggets 105.52

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.5/-108
45% MIN
-4.5/-112
55% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+158
18% MIN
-191
82% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

201.5/-110
3% UN
201.5/-110
97% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
25
Games
24
39.2
FG
43.5
85.4
FGA
93.1
.459
FG%
.468
14.8
3Pt-FG
13.9
40.0
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.371
3Pt%
.359
24.4
2Pt-FG
29.6
45.4
2Pt-FGA
54.3
.537
2Pt%
.545
16.5
FT
15.5
20.8
FTA
20.4
.794
FT%
.759
9.5
ORB
12.0
33.3
DRB
31.8
42.8
TRB
43.8
24.8
AST
29.5
8.8
STL
9.1
4.8
BLK
5.8
16.0
TOV
15.0
18.2
PF
21.2
109.8
PTS
116.5

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
25
Games
24
39.4
FG
44.3
87.0
FGA
89.5
.454
FG%
.494
11.6
3Pt-FG
11.5
35.0
3Pt-FGA
30.4
.333
3Pt%
.380
27.8
2Pt-FG
32.7
52.0
2Pt-FGA
59.1
.535
2Pt%
.553
15.0
FT
19.2
19.1
FTA
25.5
.788
FT%
.753
10.6
ORB
11.0
32.4
DRB
34.0
43.0
TRB
45.0
23.8
AST
30.8
9.3
STL
9.1
4.8
BLK
4.7
16.1
TOV
14.9
19.4
PF
18.4
105.6
PTS
119.2

Offense/Defense

MIN
Four Factors
DEN
.546
eFG%
.542
14.4
TOV%
12.8
22.7
RB%
74.0
.193
FT/FGA
.166

Defense/Offense

MIN
Four Factors
DEN
.520
eFG%
.559
14.5
TOV%
12.9
75.9
RB%
25.7
.173
FT/FGA
.214

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
25
Games
24
39.8
FG
42.6
86.8
FGA
91.0
.459
FG%
.468
15.1
3Pt-FG
13.6
40.7
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.371
3Pt%
.359
24.8
2Pt-FG
29.0
46.1
2Pt-FGA
53.1
.537
2Pt%
.545
16.7
FT
15.2
21.1
FTA
20.0
.794
FT%
.759
9.7
ORB
11.7
33.8
DRB
31.1
43.5
TRB
42.8
25.2
AST
28.9
8.9
STL
8.9
4.8
BLK
5.7
16.2
TOV
14.6
18.5
PF
20.7
111.5
PTS
113.9

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
25
Games
24
40.0
FG
43.3
88.3
FGA
87.5
.454
FG%
.494
11.8
3Pt-FG
11.3
35.5
3Pt-FGA
29.7
.333
3Pt%
.380
28.2
2Pt-FG
32.0
52.8
2Pt-FGA
57.8
.535
2Pt%
.553
15.3
FT
18.7
19.4
FTA
24.9
.788
FT%
.753
10.7
ORB
10.8
32.9
DRB
33.2
43.7
TRB
44.0
24.1
AST
30.1
9.5
STL
8.9
4.9
BLK
4.6
16.4
TOV
14.5
19.7
PF
18.0
107.2
PTS
116.5

MIN
Analytics
DEN
16
Pythag Wins
14
9
Pythag Losses
10
4.24
Margin Of Victory
2.71
111.5
O Rtg
116.5
107.2
D Rtg
113.9
97.7
Pace
101.4
.243
FTr
.284
.469
3PAr
.339
.580
TS%
.592

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIN DEN
MIN DEN
Consensus
+5.0 (-111)
-5.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-111)
-4.5 (-110)
+5.0 (-108)
-5.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-108)
-4.5 (-112)
+5.0 (-114)
-5.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-114)
-4.5 (-106)
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-109)
+5.0 (-105)
-5.0 (-105)
+4.0 (-105)
-4.0 (-115)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIN DEN
MIN DEN
Consensus
+167
-200
+158
-191
+170
-205
+164
-198
+166
-198
+152
-180
+160
-190
+155
-186
+162
-195
+162
-195
+165
-200
+165
-200
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
197.5 (-110)
197.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
201.5 (-111)
198.0 (-110)
198.0 (-110)
200.5 (-110)
200.5 (-110)
197.5 (-110)
197.5 (-110)
201.0 (-112)
201.0 (-108)
197.5 (-110)
197.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
197.5 (-105)
197.5 (-115)
201.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
197.5 (-110)
197.5 (-110)
201.5 (-105)
201.5 (-115)