Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks

Apr 5, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Pick – 4/5/2025


The Milwaukee Bucks (43-34) are set to face off against the Miami Heat (35-42) on Saturday night, April 5, 2025, at 8:00 PM ET. The game will take place at the Kaseya Center, where the Heat are slight favorites with a spread of Heat -1.0. Both teams are evenly matched according to the Moneyline, with each team sitting at -110, indicating an implied win probability of 50% for both squads.

Recent performance paints a stark contrast between the two teams. The Bucks have been playing well, winning 28 of their last 50 games, and come off a solid victory against the Philadelphia 76ers, where they triumphed 126-113. Conversely, the Heat have struggled, losing 25 of their last 40 games, including a narrow defeat to the Memphis Grizzlies, 110-108.

For bettors looking at player props, Kel'el Ware's Points, Rebounds, and Assists market has garnered significant attention, becoming the most popular betting option for this matchup. The prop total opened at Over 23.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-105) and has since moved to 24.5 (-120), indicating sharp betting action on the Over.

As both teams gear up for this pivotal matchup, the Bucks will look to leverage their recent form, while the Heat aim to turn their fortunes around at home. With the stakes high and both teams needing a win, this game promises to deliver excitement for fans and bettors alike.


Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Milwaukee Bucks 106.24 vs Miami Heat 105.69


Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Bucks50%52%
Heat50%48%

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.0/-112
57% MIL
-1.0/-108
43% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-106
51% MIL
-113
49% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

209.5/-108
6% UN
209.5/-112
94% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
42.0
FG
41.3
86.4
FGA
88.6
.486
FG%
.466
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.6
36.6
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.387
3Pt%
.360
27.9
2Pt-FG
27.6
49.7
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.560
2Pt%
.545
17.3
FT
13.9
23.1
FTA
17.9
.750
FT%
.776
8.2
ORB
10.7
35.1
DRB
33.9
43.4
TRB
44.7
25.5
AST
26.5
7.3
STL
7.5
4.7
BLK
4.7
13.4
TOV
13.8
17.9
PF
17.0
115.5
PTS
110.0

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
41.6
FG
40.5
91.1
FGA
87.0
.457
FG%
.465
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.7
39.4
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.353
3Pt%
.367
27.7
2Pt-FG
26.8
51.7
2Pt-FGA
49.7
.536
2Pt%
.538
15.9
FT
16.0
20.3
FTA
20.2
.783
FT%
.791
11.0
ORB
9.7
34.3
DRB
33.7
45.3
TRB
43.4
26.4
AST
26.4
7.3
STL
8.1
3.8
BLK
3.8
12.9
TOV
13.6
18.9
PF
15.5
113.0
PTS
110.6

Offense/Defense

MIL
Four Factors
MIA
.568
eFG%
.543
12.2
TOV%
12.5
19.3
RB%
75.8
.201
FT/FGA
.157

Defense/Offense

MIL
Four Factors
MIA
.533
eFG%
.544
11.4
TOV%
12.4
76.2
RB%
22.3
.174
FT/FGA
.183

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
42.2
FG
42.3
86.7
FGA
90.9
.486
FG%
.466
14.2
3Pt-FG
14.0
36.7
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.387
3Pt%
.360
28.0
2Pt-FG
28.3
49.9
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.560
2Pt%
.545
17.4
FT
14.3
23.2
FTA
18.4
.750
FT%
.776
8.2
ORB
11.0
35.3
DRB
34.8
43.5
TRB
45.8
25.6
AST
27.2
7.4
STL
7.7
4.7
BLK
4.8
13.4
TOV
14.2
18.0
PF
17.4
115.9
PTS
112.9

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
41.8
FG
41.5
91.4
FGA
89.3
.457
FG%
.465
14.0
3Pt-FG
14.1
39.6
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.353
3Pt%
.367
27.8
2Pt-FG
27.5
51.9
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.536
2Pt%
.538
15.9
FT
16.4
20.3
FTA
20.7
.783
FT%
.791
11.0
ORB
10.0
34.4
DRB
34.5
45.4
TRB
44.5
26.5
AST
27.1
7.4
STL
8.4
3.9
BLK
3.9
12.9
TOV
13.9
19.0
PF
16.0
113.4
PTS
113.5

MIL
Analytics
MIA
47
Pythag Wins
42
35
Pythag Losses
40
2.48
Margin Of Victory
0.56
115.9
O Rtg
113.5
113.4
D Rtg
112.9
99.3
Pace
96.2
.268
FTr
.232
.424
3PAr
.429
.598
TS%
.576

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIL MIA
MIL MIA
Consensus
-1.5 (-111)
+1.5 (-110)
+1.0 (-111)
-1.0 (-109)
-1.5 (-112)
+1.5 (-108)
+1.0 (-112)
-1.0 (-108)
-1.0 (-114)
+1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-114)
-1.0 (-106)
-2.0 (-114)
+2.0 (-109)
+1.0 (-114)
-1.0 (-107)
-1.5 (-105)
+1.5 (-110)
+1.0 (-105)
-1.0 (-115)
-1.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIL MIA
MIL MIA
Consensus
-124
+101
-106
-113
-125
+105
-105
-115
-118
+100
-102
-116
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
209.5 (-112)
209.5 (-108)
215.0 (-110)
215.0 (-110)
209.5 (-112)
209.5 (-108)
215.5 (-108)
215.5 (-113)
210.0 (-109)
210.0 (-112)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
209.5 (-105)
209.5 (-115)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)

Related Articles

Home NBA Picks Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Pick – 4/5/2025