Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks

Apr 5, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Pick – 4/5/2025


The Milwaukee Bucks (43-34) are set to face off against the Miami Heat (35-42) on Saturday night, April 5, 2025, at 8:00 PM ET. The game will take place at the Kaseya Center, where the Heat are slight favorites with a spread of Heat -1.0. Both teams are evenly matched according to the Moneyline, with each team sitting at -110, indicating an implied win probability of 50% for both squads.

Recent performance paints a stark contrast between the two teams. The Bucks have been playing well, winning 28 of their last 50 games, and come off a solid victory against the Philadelphia 76ers, where they triumphed 126-113. Conversely, the Heat have struggled, losing 25 of their last 40 games, including a narrow defeat to the Memphis Grizzlies, 110-108.

For bettors looking at player props, Kel'el Ware's Points, Rebounds, and Assists market has garnered significant attention, becoming the most popular betting option for this matchup. The prop total opened at Over 23.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-105) and has since moved to 24.5 (-120), indicating sharp betting action on the Over.

As both teams gear up for this pivotal matchup, the Bucks will look to leverage their recent form, while the Heat aim to turn their fortunes around at home. With the stakes high and both teams needing a win, this game promises to deliver excitement for fans and bettors alike.


Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Milwaukee Bucks 106.24 vs Miami Heat 105.69


Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Bucks50%52%
Heat50%48%

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.0/-110
56% MIL
-1.0/-110
44% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-105
56% MIL
-115
44% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

213.0/-110
6% UN
213.0/-110
94% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
76
Games
77
41.8
FG
41.2
86.2
FGA
88.5
.485
FG%
.465
14.1
3Pt-FG
13.7
36.6
3Pt-FGA
38.1
.385
3Pt%
.359
27.7
2Pt-FG
27.5
49.6
2Pt-FGA
50.4
.558
2Pt%
.546
17.2
FT
13.8
22.9
FTA
17.7
.751
FT%
.778
8.3
ORB
10.8
35.0
DRB
33.8
43.3
TRB
44.7
25.2
AST
26.4
7.3
STL
7.6
4.7
BLK
4.7
13.5
TOV
13.9
18.1
PF
17.1
114.9
PTS
109.8

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
76
Games
77
41.4
FG
40.0
90.7
FGA
86.4
.457
FG%
.463
13.8
3Pt-FG
13.6
39.1
3Pt-FGA
37.2
.352
3Pt%
.366
27.7
2Pt-FG
26.3
51.6
2Pt-FGA
49.2
.536
2Pt%
.536
16.3
FT
16.2
20.7
FTA
20.4
.788
FT%
.793
10.9
ORB
9.6
34.2
DRB
33.4
45.2
TRB
43.0
26.2
AST
26.3
7.5
STL
8.1
3.9
BLK
3.8
12.9
TOV
13.8
18.9
PF
15.6
112.9
PTS
109.8

Offense/Defense

MIL
Four Factors
MIA
.567
eFG%
.543
12.3
TOV%
12.6
19.5
RB%
75.5
.200
FT/FGA
.156

Defense/Offense

MIL
Four Factors
MIA
.533
eFG%
.542
11.4
TOV%
12.6
76.2
RB%
22.1
.180
FT/FGA
.187

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
76
Games
77
42.0
FG
42.4
86.7
FGA
91.0
.485
FG%
.465
14.2
3Pt-FG
14.1
36.8
3Pt-FGA
39.2
.385
3Pt%
.359
27.8
2Pt-FG
28.3
49.8
2Pt-FGA
51.8
.558
2Pt%
.546
17.3
FT
14.2
23.0
FTA
18.2
.751
FT%
.778
8.3
ORB
11.2
35.2
DRB
34.8
43.5
TRB
46.0
25.4
AST
27.2
7.3
STL
7.8
4.7
BLK
4.8
13.6
TOV
14.3
18.2
PF
17.6
115.5
PTS
113.0

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
76
Games
77
41.7
FG
41.1
91.2
FGA
88.9
.457
FG%
.463
13.8
3Pt-FG
14.0
39.3
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.352
3Pt%
.366
27.8
2Pt-FG
27.1
51.9
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.536
2Pt%
.536
16.4
FT
16.6
20.8
FTA
21.0
.788
FT%
.793
11.0
ORB
9.9
34.4
DRB
34.4
45.4
TRB
44.3
26.4
AST
27.0
7.6
STL
8.4
3.9
BLK
3.9
13.0
TOV
14.2
19.0
PF
16.1
113.5
PTS
113.0

MIL
Analytics
MIA
43
Pythag Wins
38
33
Pythag Losses
38
1.95
Margin Of Victory
0.00
115.5
O Rtg
113.0
113.5
D Rtg
113.0
99.3
Pace
96.0
.266
FTr
.236
.425
3PAr
.431
.597
TS%
.576

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIL MIA
MIL MIA
Consensus
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-109)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-108)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-112)
+2.0 (-109)
+1.0 (-112)
-1.0 (-109)
-1.5 (-105)
+1.5 (-110)
+1.0 (-105)
-1.0 (-115)
-1.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIL MIA
MIL MIA
Consensus
-124
+101
-104
-115
-125
+105
-105
-125
-118
+100
-104
-112
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
213.0 (-108)
213.0 (-112)
215.0 (-110)
215.0 (-110)
214.0 (-110)
214.0 (-110)
215.5 (-108)
215.5 (-113)
214.0 (-108)
214.0 (-113)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
213.0 (-105)
213.0 (-115)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)

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