Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks

Apr 29, 2025

Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Game 5 Prediction – 4/29/2025

On April 29, 2025, the Milwaukee Bucks will face off against the Indiana Pacers in Game 5 of their first-round playoff series in the Eastern Conference. Tip-off is set for 6:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, where fans will witness two divisional rivals battle it out. Indiana has a 3-1 series lead and will look to close out the series here.

The Pacers enter this contest as significant favorites, boasting a 53-33 record compared to the Bucks' 50-37. With a spread currently set at Pacers -7.5 and a moneyline of -325 for Indiana, the odds reflect a 74% implied win probability for the Pacers, while the Bucks sit at just 26% with a moneyline of +270. This matchup carries an extra layer of significance, as both teams are motivated to assert dominance in their division.

Recent performances have favored the Pacers, who have won 35 of their last 50 games and recently defeated the Bucks 129-103. In contrast, the Bucks have shown resilience, winning 29 of their last 50 contests. However, their last encounter was a tough loss, and they will be eager to bounce back.

Betting enthusiasts are particularly eyeing Kevin Porter Jr.'s Points, Rebounds, and Assists prop market, which has gained traction as a key area for potential value. The current line sits at Over 26.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-110), and sharp bettors are leaning toward the Over, believing it to be mispriced.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Game 5 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Milwaukee Bucks 113.5, Indiana Pacers 117.56

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Game 5 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Bucks25%38%
Pacers75%62%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+7.5/-108
17% MIL
-7.5/-112
83% IND

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+270
8% MIL
-340
92% IND

Total Pick Consensus

222.0/-110
17% UN
222.0/-110
83% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
IND
82
Games
82
42.0
FG
42.6
86.4
FGA
89.9
.486
FG%
.474
14.2
3Pt-FG
12.9
36.6
3Pt-FGA
36.3
.387
3Pt%
.355
27.9
2Pt-FG
29.7
49.7
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.560
2Pt%
.554
17.3
FT
17.0
23.1
FTA
22.0
.750
FT%
.773
8.2
ORB
11.2
35.1
DRB
33.8
43.4
TRB
45.0
25.5
AST
26.0
7.3
STL
7.2
4.7
BLK
4.5
13.4
TOV
15.0
17.9
PF
18.8
115.5
PTS
115.1

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
IND
82
Games
82
41.6
FG
43.6
91.1
FGA
89.3
.457
FG%
.488
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.2
39.4
3Pt-FGA
35.8
.353
3Pt%
.368
27.7
2Pt-FG
30.4
51.7
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.536
2Pt%
.568
15.9
FT
17.0
20.3
FTA
21.6
.783
FT%
.789
11.0
ORB
9.2
34.3
DRB
32.7
45.3
TRB
41.8
26.4
AST
29.2
7.3
STL
8.5
3.8
BLK
5.5
12.9
TOV
13.2
18.9
PF
18.7
113.0
PTS
117.4

Offense/Defense

MIL
Four Factors
IND
.568
eFG%
.546
12.2
TOV%
13.1
19.3
RB%
74.5
.201
FT/FGA
.190

Defense/Offense

MIL
Four Factors
IND
.533
eFG%
.562
11.4
TOV%
11.8
76.2
RB%
21.3
.174
FT/FGA
.190

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
82
Games
82
42.2
FG
42.3
86.7
FGA
89.2
.486
FG%
.474
14.2
3Pt-FG
12.8
36.7
3Pt-FGA
36.0
.387
3Pt%
.355
28.0
2Pt-FG
29.5
49.9
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.560
2Pt%
.554
17.4
FT
16.9
23.2
FTA
21.9
.750
FT%
.773
8.2
ORB
11.1
35.3
DRB
33.6
43.5
TRB
44.7
25.6
AST
25.8
7.4
STL
7.1
4.7
BLK
4.4
13.4
TOV
14.9
18.0
PF
18.7
115.9
PTS
114.3

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
82
Games
82
41.8
FG
43.3
91.4
FGA
88.7
.457
FG%
.488
14.0
3Pt-FG
13.1
39.6
3Pt-FGA
35.5
.353
3Pt%
.368
27.8
2Pt-FG
30.2
51.9
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.536
2Pt%
.568
15.9
FT
16.9
20.3
FTA
21.4
.783
FT%
.789
11.0
ORB
9.1
34.4
DRB
32.4
45.4
TRB
41.5
26.5
AST
29.0
7.4
STL
8.4
3.9
BLK
5.4
12.9
TOV
13.1
19.0
PF
18.6
113.4
PTS
116.5

MIL
Analytics
IND
47
Pythag Wins
46
35
Pythag Losses
36
2.48
Margin Of Victory
2.23
115.9
O Rtg
116.5
113.4
D Rtg
114.3
99.3
Pace
99.9
.268
FTr
.241
.424
3PAr
.400
.598
TS%
.594

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIL IND
MIL IND
Consensus
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-110)
+8.0 (-108)
-8.0 (-111)
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-108)
-7.5 (-112)
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-110)
+8.0 (-108)
-8.0 (-112)
+7.5 (-107)
-7.5 (-109)
+8.0 (-107)
-8.0 (-114)
+6.5 (100)
-6.5 (-110)
+7.5 (+100)
-7.5 (-120)
+7.5 (-105)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-105)
-7.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
MIL IND
MIL IND
Consensus
+211
-260
+274
-339
+210
-258
+270
-340
+220
-270
+280
-350
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
222.5 (-111)
222.5 (-109)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
225.5 (-109)
225.5 (-112)
222.5 (-113)
222.5 (-108)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
222.5 (-105)
222.5 (-115)

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